Sat, May 26, 2018 @ 19:30 GMT

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s decline from 1.2555 extended to as low as 1.1643 last week. There is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 next. On the upside, above 1.1750 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2049) holds.

In the long term picture, the rejection from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 argues that long term down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) might not be over yet. EUR/USD is also held below decade long trend line resistance. Focus will now turn to 1.1553 support. Break there would raise the chance of retesting 1.0339 low. It’s early to tell, but the chance of long term bullish reversal is fading.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1691; (P) 1.1720 (R1) 1.1750; More…..

EUR/USD’s decline is still in progress and reaches as low as 1.1661 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside and the fall from 1.2555 should extend to 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 next. On the upside, above 1.1750 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 1.1822 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring lengthier consolidation.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2049) holds.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1652; (P) 1.1721 (R1) 1.1766; More….

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook. Intraday bias remains on the downside at this point. Current decline from 1.2555 would target 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 next. Though, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1829 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming. And, lengthier consolidation would be seen in this case, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2076) holds.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1652; (P) 1.1721 (R1) 1.1766; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current decline from 1.2555 would target 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 next. Though, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1829 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming. And, lengthier consolidation would be seen in this case, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2076) holds.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1747; (P) 1.1788 (R1) 1.1820; More….

EUR/USD’s decline resumed after brief recovery and breaks 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Whole decline from 1.2555 should target 50% retracement at 1.1447 next. Though, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1829 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming. And, lengthier consolidation would be seen in this year, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2076) holds.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1747; (P) 1.1788 (R1) 1.1820; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as it’s staying above 1.1716 for consolidation. Another rise cannot be ruled out. But in that case, upside should be limited by 1.1995 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 50% retracement at 1.1447 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2113) holds.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1740; (P) 1.1768 (R1) 1.1820; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.1716 short term bottom. Stronger recovery could be seen. But upside should be limited by 1.1995 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 50% retracement at 1.1447 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2113) holds.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1740; (P) 1.1768 (R1) 1.1820; More….

A short term bottom is in place at 1.1716 with the current recovery, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen. But upside of recovery should be limited by 1.1995 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, sustained break of 1.1708 will pave the way to 50% retracement at 1.1447 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2113) holds.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1739; (P) 1.1782 (R1) 1.1814; More….

EUR/USD recovers after dipping to 1.1716 but intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 50% retracement at 1.1447 next. However, considering possible bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1821 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back to 1.1995 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2113) holds.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1739; (P) 1.1782 (R1) 1.1814; More….

EUR/USD’s fall extends to as low as 1.1721 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level first. Decisive break there will target 50% retracement at 1.1447 next. On the upside, touching 1.1821 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2113) holds.

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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s fall extend to as low as 1.1749 last week and there is no clear sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias remains on the downside this week first. Current decline from 1.2555 should target 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next. Break will target 1.1553 support. On the upside, above 1.1821 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again. But outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2113) holds.

In the long term picture, the rejection from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 argues that long term down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) might not be over yet. EUR/USD is also held below decade long trend line resistance. Focus will now turn to 1.1553 support. Break there would raise the chance of retesting 1.0339 low. It’s early to tell, but the chance of long term bullish reversal is fading.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1770; (P) 1.1804 (R1) 1.1831; More….

Breach of 1.1762 temporary low suggests that recent decline is resuming. Intraday bias is EUR/USD is back on the downside. Current fall from 1.2555 is resuming for 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next. Break will target 1.1553 support. On the upside, above 1.1821 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again. But outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2162) holds.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1770; (P) 1.1804 (R1) 1.1831; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral for consolidation above 1.1762. Near term outlook remains bearish with 1.1995 resistance intact and further decline is expected. Below 1.1762 will resume the fall from 1.2555 for 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next. Break will target 1.1553 support.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2162) holds.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1763; (P) 1.1808 (R1) 1.1854; More….

EUR/USD’s decline is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next. Break will target 1.1553 support. On the upside, break of 1.1995 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2162) holds.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1763; (P) 1.1808 (R1) 1.1854; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the momentum. Current fall from 1.2555 is in progress for 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next. Break will target 1.1553 support. On the upside, break of 1.1995 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2162) holds.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1793; (P) 1.1866 (R1) 1.1912; More….

EUR/USD drops sharply to as low as 1.1762 as recent decline extends. Intraday bias stays on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.2555 should target 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next. Break will target 1.1553 support. And, on the upside, break of 1.1995 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2162) holds.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1793; (P) 1.1866 (R1) 1.1912; More….

Despite breaching 1.1822 support, there is no follow through selling seen in EUR/USD yet. Nonetheless, intraday bias remains on the downside side. The decline from 1.2555 is seen as resuming for 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next. Break will target 1.1553 support. And, on the upside, break of 1.1995 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2162) holds.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1903; (P) 1.1950 (R1) 1.1975; More….

EUR/USD drops to as low as 1.1819 so far today. Breach of 1.1822 indicate that recovery from there has completed at 1.1995 already. And larger decline from 1.2555 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next. Break will target 1.1553 support. On the upside, break of 1.1995 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2162) holds.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1903; (P) 1.1950 (R1) 1.1975; More….

EUR/USD’s recovery from 1.1822 short term bottom could have completed at 1.1995 already, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.2413 to 1.1822 at 1.2048. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1822 first. Break there will resume whole decline from 1.2555 and target 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next. In case of another recovery as the correction extends, upside should be limited by 1.2048 to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2179) holds.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1897; (P) 1.1932 (R1) 1.1974; More….

EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1822 short term is still in progress and reaches as high as 1.1992 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2413 to 1.1822 at 1.2048. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.1932 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.1822 first. Break will resume the whole decline from 1.2555 and target 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2179) holds.

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