EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0498; (P) 1.0597; (R1) 1.0647; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside as fall from 1.1032 is in progress. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463. Strong support could be seen there to bring reversal. But break of 1.0693 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming first. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0498; (P) 1.0597; (R1) 1.0647; More

EUR/USD’s decline from 1.1032 resumed by breaking 1.0532 support. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463. Strong support could be seen there to bring reversal. But break of 1.0693 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming first. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0638; (P) 1.0667; (R1) 1.0711; More

At this point, the favored case is still that correction from 1.1032 has completed at 1.0532 already. Further rise is expected to 1.0803 resistance first. However, on the downside, break of 1.0575 support will dampen this bullish view again and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0638; (P) 1.0667; (R1) 1.0711; More

Breach of 1.0690 minor resistance suggests that rebound from 1.0532 is resuming. The development revives the case that correction from 1.1032 has completed at 1.0532 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0803 resistance first. On the downside, however, break of 1.0575 support will dampen this bullish view again and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0602; (P) 1.0621; (R1) 1.0652; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. Fall from 1.1032 could still extend lower. But strong support is expected from 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring rebound. Break of 1.0690 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance first. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implication and bring deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0602; (P) 1.0621; (R1) 1.0652; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Fall from 1.1032 could still extend lower. But strong support is expected from 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring rebound. Break of 1.0690 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance first. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implication and bring deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD recovered after edging lower to 1.0532 last week, but failed to extend gain above 1.0690. Initial bias remains neutral first. While corrective fall from 1.1032 might still extend, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring reversal. On the upside, break of 1.0690 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

In the long term picture, while it’s too early to call for long term trend reversal at this point, the strong break of 1.0635 support turned resistance (2020 low) should at least turn outlook neutral. Focus will turn to 55 month EMA (now at 1.1165). Rejection by this EMA will revive long term bearishness.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0558; (P) 1.0616; (R1) 1.0654; More

EUR/USD is staying in range of 1.0532/0690 and intraday bias stays neutral. Fall from 1.1032 could still extend lower. But strong support is expected from 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring rebound. Break of 1.0690 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance first. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implication and bring deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0558; (P) 1.0616; (R1) 1.0654; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Fall from 1.1032 could still extend lower. But strong support is expected from 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring rebound. Break of 1.0690 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance first. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implication and bring deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0593; (P) 1.0642; (R1) 1.0719; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral again as it retreated sharply after hitting 1.0690, and failed to sustain above 4 hour 55 EMA. Fall from 1.1032 could still extend lower. But strong support is expected from 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring rebound. Break of 1.0690 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance first. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implication and bring deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0593; (P) 1.0642; (R1) 1.0719; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays mildly on the upside for the moment. Corrective decline from 1.1032 should have completed with three waves down to 1.0532 already. Further rise should be seen to 1.0803 resistance first. Firm break there will pave the way to retest 1.1032 high. For now, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 1.0532 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0552; (P) 1.0598; (R1) 1.0623; More

EUR/USD’s break of 1.0668 support turned resistance argues that corrective decline from 1.1032 has completed with three waves down to 1.0532 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0803 resistance first. Firm break there will pave the way to retest 1.1032 high. For now, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 1.0532 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0552; (P) 1.0598; (R1) 1.0623; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as range trading continues above 1.0532 temporary low. The decline from 1.1032 might still extend lower, but strong support could be seen around 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Break of 1.0668 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0555; (P) 1.0587; (R1) 1.0642; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. The decline from 1.1032 might still extend lower, but strong support could be seen around 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Break of 1.0668 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0555; (P) 1.0587; (R1) 1.0642; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.0532 temporary low. The decline from 1.1032 might still extend lower, but strong support could be seen around 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Break of 1.0668 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0516; (P) 1.0566; (R1) 1.0595; More

A temporary low is formed at 1.0532 with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral first. While fall from 1.1032 might extend, strong support could be seen around 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Break of 1.0668 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0516; (P) 1.0566; (R1) 1.0595; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.1032 is in progress for 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463. Strong support could be seen around there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Break of 1.0668 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s decline from 1.1032 continued last week and hit as low as 1.0535. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463. Strong support could be seen around there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Break of 1.0668 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

In the long term picture, while it’s too early to call for long term trend reversal at this point, the strong break of 1.0635 support turned resistance (2020 low) should at least turn outlook neutral. Focus will turn to 55 month EMA (now at 1.1208). Rejection by this EMA will revive long term bearishness.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0572; (P) 1.0600; (R1) 1.0623; More

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1032 continues today and intraday bias stays on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463. Strong support should be seen around there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. On the upside, above 1.0668 support turned will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, the rally from 0.9534 low (2022 low) is a medium term up trend rather than a correction. Further rise is in favor to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.0482 support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0572; (P) 1.0600; (R1) 1.0623; More

EUR/USD’s corrective decline from 1.1032 is still in progress. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463. Strong support should be seen around there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. On the upside, above 1.0703 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will continue to stay on the downside as long as 1.0803 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, the rally from 0.9534 low (2022 low) is a medium term up trend rather than a correction. Further rise is in favor to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.0482 support holds.