EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1655; (P) 1.1675; (R1) 1.1706; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is still expected with 1.1778 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.1540 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 1.1390 , or further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252. However, firm break of 1.1778 will suggest that pullback from 1.1917 has completed, and bring retest of this high.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1274) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still extended to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1617; (P) 1.1632; (R1) 1.1663; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen above 1.1540. But further decline is still expected with 1.1778 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.1540 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 1.1390 , or further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1274) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still extended to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1617; (P) 1.1632; (R1) 1.1663; More

EUR/USD’s recovery from 1.1540 extends higher but stays well below 1.7778 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is still expected. On the downside, break of 1.1540 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 1.1390 , or further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1274) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still extended to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1562; (P) 1.1588; (R1) 1.1634; More

EUR/USD recovers mildly today as consolidations continue. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.1778 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1540 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 1.1390 , or further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1274) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still extended to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1562; (P) 1.1588; (R1) 1.1634; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as consolidations continue above 1.1540. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.1778 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1540 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 1.1390 , or further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1274) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still extended to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1542; (P) 1.1586; (R1) 1.1614; More

EUR/USD is staying in range above 1.1540 and intraday bias stays neutral. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.1778 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1540 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 1.1390 , or further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1274) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still extended to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1542; (P) 1.1586; (R1) 1.1614; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as consolidations continue above 1.1540. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.1778 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1540 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 1.1390 , or further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1274) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still extended to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1573; (P) 1.1601; (R1) 1.1651; More

EUR/USD dips mildly today but stays above 1.1540 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral for more consolidations. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.1778 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1540 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 1.1390 , or further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1247) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still extended to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1573; (P) 1.1601; (R1) 1.1651; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral and some consolidations could be seen above 1.1540. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.1778 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1540 will resume the fall form 1.1917 to 1.1390 , or further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1247) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still extended to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1917 resumed last week, but recovered after hitting 1.1540. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for consolidations. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.1778 resistance holds. Below 1.1540 will target 1.1390 support or further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1247) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still extended to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep outlook bearish.

In the long term picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 0.9534 at 1.2019, which is close to 1.2000 psychological level is the key for the outlook. Rejection by this level will keep the multi decade down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) intact, and keep outlook neutral at best. However, decisive break of 1.2000/19, will suggest long term bullish trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.3554.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1521; (P) 1.1585; (R1) 1.1627; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral. Fall from 1.1917 is in progress for 1.1390 support. Break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252. On the upside, above 1.1647 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1778 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1265) and below.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1521; (P) 1.1585; (R1) 1.1627; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the downside, as fall from 1.1917 is in progress for 1.1390 support. Break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252. On the upside, above 1.1647 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1778 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1265) and below.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1598; (P) 1.1631; (R1) 1.1662; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Fall from 1.1917 is in progress and deeper decline should be seen to 1.1390 support, or even further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252. On the upside, above 1.1682 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1778 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1265) and below.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1598; (P) 1.1631; (R1) 1.1662; More

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1917 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Deeper decline should be seen to 1.1390 support, or even further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252. On the upside, above 1.1682 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1778 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1265) and below.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1668; (P) 1.1699; (R1) 1.1747; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. A medium term top is likely formed at 1.1917. Deeper fall should be seen to 1.1390 support, or even further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252. On the upside, above 1.1682 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1778 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1265) and below.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1632; (P) 1.1675; (R1) 1.1701; More

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1917 resumed by breaking through 1.1644 and intraday bias is back on the downside. Also, the break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.1679) suggests that a medium term top was already formed on bearish divergence condition D MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 1.1390 support, or even further to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1917 at 1.1252. On the upside, above 1.1682 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1778 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1265) and below.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1668; (P) 1.1699; (R1) 1.1747; More

EUR/USD is still holding in range above 1.1644 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is mildly in favor as long as 1.1778 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1644 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.1679) will indicate medium term topping at 1.1917, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Further fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support. Nevertheless, break of 1.1778 resistance will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 1.1917 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1265).

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1668; (P) 1.1699; (R1) 1.1747; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment, and further decline is mildly in favor as long as 1.1778 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1644 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.1679) will indicate medium term topping at 1.1917, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Further fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support. Nevertheless, break of 1.1778 resistance will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 1.1917 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1265).

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1717; (P) 1.1738; (R1) 1.1763; More

EUR/USD falls notably today but stays above 1.1644 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.1644 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.1679) will indicate medium term topping at 1.1917, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Further fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support. Nevertheless, break of 1.1778 resistance will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 1.1917 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1265).

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1717; (P) 1.1738; (R1) 1.1763; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment, and further fall is in favor as long as 1.1819 resistance holds. Break of 1.1644 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.1679) will indicate medium term topping at 1.1917, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Further fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support. Nevertheless, break of 1.1819 will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 1.1917 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1231).