Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0878; (P) 1.0906 (R1) 1.0957; More….
EUR/USD rebounds strongly today but it’s staying below 1.1020 resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Break of 1.1020 will resume the corrective rise from 1.0339. In the case, we’d expect upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0569 at 1.1058 to bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 1.0838 will argue that the corrective rise from 1.0339 has completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0770).
In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. However, considering bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD, break of 1.1298 will indicate long term reversal.