EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1789; (P) 1.1805; (R1) 1.1829; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, break of 1.1724 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.1668). Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that 1.1917 is already a medium term top. Deeper fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support next. However, sustained break of 1.1917 will resume larger up trend to 1.2 psychological level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1214).

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1789; (P) 1.1805; (R1) 1.1829; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.1724 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.1668). Considering bearish divergence condition in D EMA, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that 1.1917 is already a medium term top. Deeper fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support next. However, sustained break of 1.1917 will resume larger up trend to 1.2 psychological level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1214).

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1751; (P) 1.1777; (R1) 1.1829; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.1724 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.1663). Considering bearish divergence condition in D EMA, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that 1.1917 is already a medium term top. Deeper fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support next. However, sustained break of 1.1917 will resume larger up trend to 1.2 psychological level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1214).

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1751; (P) 1.1777; (R1) 1.1829; More

EUR/USD’s recovery from 1.1724 extended higher but upside momentum is unconvincing. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.1724 will resume the fall from 1.1917 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.1663). Considering bearish divergence condition in D EMA, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that 1.1917 is already a medium term top. Deeper fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support next. However, sustained break of 1.1917 will resume larger up trend to 1.2 psychological level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1214).

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1718; (P) 1.1756; (R1) 1.1782; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays mildly on the downside with 1.1793 minor resistance intact. Fall from 1.1917 short term top should continued to 55 D EMA (now at 1.1657). Considering bearish divergence condition in D EMA, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that 1.1917 is already a medium term top. Deeper fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support next. On the upside, though, above 1.1793 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 1.1917 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1214).

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1718; (P) 1.1756; (R1) 1.1782; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the downside for the moment. Fall from 1.1917 short term top should continued to 55 D EMA (now at 1.1657). Considering bearish divergence condition in D EMA, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that 1.1917 is already a medium term top. Deeper fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support next. On the upside, though, above 1.1793 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 1.1917 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1214).

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

A short term top should be formed in EUR/USD at 1.1917 with subsequent deep pullback. Initial bias is staying on the downside this week for 55 D EMA (now at 1.1653). Considering bearish divergence condition in D EMA, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that 1.1917 is already a medium term top. Deeper fall should then be seen to 1.1390 support next. On the upside, though, above 1.1847 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 1.1917 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0176 (2025 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low). 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916 was already met. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1390 support holds, and firm break of 1.2000 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.1390 will suggest that rise from 1.0176 has already completed and bring deeper fall to 55 W EMA (now at 1.1214).

In the long term picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 0.9534 at 1.2019, which is close to 1.2000 psychological level is the key for the outlook. Rejection by this level will keep the multi decade down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) intact, and keep outlook neutral at best. However, decisive break of 1.2000/19, will suggest long term bullish trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.3554.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1743; (P) 1.1795; (R1) 1.1841; More

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1741 resistance turned support indicates short term topping at 1.1917, after rejection by 1.1916 projection level. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Deeper fall should be seen to 1.1573 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1917 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. Further rise could still be seen as long as 1.1390 support holds. Break of 1.1917 will target 1.2 psychological level. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, firm break of 1.1390 will indicate medium term topping.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1743; (P) 1.1795; (R1) 1.1841; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. Further rise will remain in favor as long as 1.1741 resistance turned support holds. Above 1.1917 will resume larger up trend to 1.2 psychological level. However, firm break of 1.1741 should confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1573 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Sustained break of 1.2 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 138.2% projection at 1.2581. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1215) holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1774; (P) 1.1847; (R1) 1.1885; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and more consolidations would be seen below 1.1917. Further rise is expected as long as 1.1741 resistance turned support holds. Above 1.1917 will resume larger up trend to 1.2 psychological level. However, firm break of 1.1741 should confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1607 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Sustained break of 1.2 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 138.2% projection at 1.2581. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1215) holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1774; (P) 1.1847; (R1) 1.1885; More

Intraday bias in EUR?USD is turned neutral first with current retreat. Some consolidations would be seen below 1.1917 temporary top first. Further rise is expected as long as 1.1741 resistance turned support holds. Above 1.1917 will resume larger up trend to 1.2 psychological level. However, firm break of 1.1741 should confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1607 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Sustained break of 1.2 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 138.2% projection at 1.2581. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1215) holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1790; (P) 1.1834; (R1) 1.1911; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Current up trend should target 1.1916 projection, and then 1.2 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.1779 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Sustained break of 1.2 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 138.2% projection at 1.2581. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1215) holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1790; (P) 1.1834; (R1) 1.1911; More

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1829 confirms resumption of larger uptrend. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.1916 projection, and then 1.2 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.1779 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Sustained break of 1.2 psychological level will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 138.2% projection at 1.2581. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1215) holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1728; (P) 1.1751; (R1) 1.1786; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside with immediate focus on 1.1829 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.1916 projection level next. On the downside, below 1.1757 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916, and further to 1.2 psychological level. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1215) holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1728; (P) 1.1751; (R1) 1.1786; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is back on the upside with breach of 1.1779 resistance. Rise from 1.1390 should extend to retest 1.1829 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.1916 projection level next. On the downside, below 1.1715 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1215) holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1709; (P) 1.1728; (R1) 1.1756; More

EUR/USD rebounded today but stays below 1.1779 temporary and intraday bias stays neutral. With 1.1607 support intact, further rise is expected. On the upside, above 1.1779 will target a retest of 1.1829 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.1916 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1215) holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1709; (P) 1.1728; (R1) 1.1756; More

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.1607 support intact, further rise is expected. On the upside, above 1.1779 will target a retest of 1.1829 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.1916 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1174) holds.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD edged higher to 1.1779 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further rise is expected as long as 1.1607 support holds. Above 1.1779 will target a retest of 1.1829 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.1916 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1174) holds.

In the long term picture, a long term bottom was in place already at 0.9534, on bullish convergence condition in M MACD. Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 0.9534 at 1.2019. Rejection by 1.2019 will keep the price actions from 0.9534 as a corrective pattern. But sustained break of 1.2019 will suggest long term bullish trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.3554.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1682; (P) 1.1714; (R1) 1.1766; More

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rise is expected with 1.1607 support intact. Above 1.1779 will bring retest of 1.1829 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.1916 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1604 support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1682; (P) 1.1714; (R1) 1.1766; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as range trading continues below 1.1779. Further rise is expected with 1.1607 support intact. Above 1.1779 will bring retest of 1.1829 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.1916 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1604 support holds.