USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD’s recovered further to 1.3259 last week but lost momentum well ahead of 55 day EMA and retreated. Initial bias is neutral this week first, and further rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.3086 minor support holds. On the upside, break of 1.3259 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2994 at 1.3633, to correct the whole fall from 1.4667. Nevertheless, on the downside, break of 1.3086 will bring retest of 1.2994 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break of 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

In the longer term picture, the bullish case of resuming the up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is delayed. Consolidation from 1.4689 is extending for another medium term fall. As long as 1.2061 support holds, such up trend should still resume through 1.4689 at a later stage.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3141; (P) 1.3172; (R1) 1.3224; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point. Further rise remains in favor with 1.3086 minor support holds. Above 1.3259 will extend the rebound from 1.2994 short term bottom to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3319), and then 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2994 at 1.3633. On the downside, though, below 1.3086 minor support will bring retest of 1.2994 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3109; (P) 1.3184; (R1) 1.3223; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral as it retreated deeply after hitting 1.3259. But further rise remains in favor with 1.3086 minor support holds. Above 1.3259 will extend the rebound from 1.2994 short term bottom to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3319), and then 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2994 at 1.3633. On the downside, though, below 1.3086 minor support will bring retest of 1.2994 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3137; (P) 1.3187; (R1) 1.3288; More….

USD/CAD’s break of 1.3239 resistance suggests short term bottoming at 1.2994 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.3328). Firm break there will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2994 at 1.3633. On the downside, though, below 1.3086 minor support will bring retest of 1.2994 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3022; (P) 1.3082; (R1) 1.3118; More….

Consolidation form 1.2994 is still extending and intraday bias remains neutral in USD/CAD. With 1.3239 resistance intact, further decline is in favor. On the downside, break of 1.2994 should target 161.8% projection of 1.4048 to 1.3315 from 1.3715 at 1.2529. However, on the upside, firm break of 1.3239 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3022; (P) 1.3082; (R1) 1.3118; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2944 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.3239 resistance intact, further decline is in favor. On the downside, break of 1.2994 should target 161.8% projection of 1.4048 to 1.3315 from 1.3715 at 1.2529. However, on the upside, firm break of 1.3239 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD dropped further to 1.2994 last week but recovered just ahead of 100% projection of 1.4048 to 1.3315 from 1.3715 at 1.2982. Initial bias is neutral this week for some more consolidations first. But outlook stays bearish as long as 1.3239 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.2982 should target 161.8% projection at 1.2529. Though, on the upside, firm break of 1.3239 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break of 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

In the longer term picture, the bullish case of resuming the up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is delayed. Consolidation from 1.4689 is extending for another medium term fall. As long as 1.2061 support holds, such up trend should still resume through 1.4689 at a later stage.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3055; (P) 1.3109; (R1) 1.3178; More….

USD/CAD’s recovery from 1.2944 extends higher but stays well below 1.3239 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish for further decline. On the downside, break of 1.2994 should target 161.8% projection of 1.4048 to 1.3315 from 1.3715 at 1.2529. However, on the upside, firm break of 1.3239 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3023; (P) 1.3059; (R1) 1.3081; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.2994 temporary low. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3239 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.2994 should target 161.8% projection of 1.4048 to 1.3315 from 1.3715 at 1.2529. However, on the upside, firm break of 1.3239 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3013; (P) 1.3050; (R1) 1.3106; More….

A temporary low is formed at 1.2994 ahead of 100% projection of 1.4048 to 1.3315 from 1.3715 at 1.2982. Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral first. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3239 resistance holds. Break of 1.2982 will target 161.8% projection at 1.2529. However, firm break of 1.3239 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3010; (P) 1.3058; (R1) 1.3097; More….

USD/CAD’s decline is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 100% projection of 1.4048 to 1.3315 from 1.3715 at 1.2982. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.2529. On the upside, break of 1.3125 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 1.3239 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3052; (P) 1.3092; (R1) 1.3138; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside as fall from 1.4667 is in progress. Deeper decline should be seen to 100% projection of 1.4048 to 1.3315 from 1.3715 at 1.2982. On the upside, break of 1.3239 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD’s decline from 1.4667 continued last week and reached as low as 1.3047. Intraday bias remains on the downside this week. Next near term target is 100% projection of 1.4048 to 1.3315 from 1.3715 at 1.2982. On the upside, break of 1.3239 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

In the longer term picture, the bullish case of resuming the up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is delayed. Consolidation from 1.4689 is extending for another medium term fall. As long as 1.2061 support holds, such up trend should still resume through 1.4689 at a later stage.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3119; (P) 1.3162; (R1) 1.3192; More….

USD/CAD’s break of 1.3133 confirms resumption of decline from 1.4667. Intraday bias is back on the downside for long term fibonacci level at 1.3056. Break will target 1.2951 support next. On the upside, break of 1.3239 resistance should confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3410).

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3715 resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3715 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3119; (P) 1.3162; (R1) 1.3192; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation above 1.3133 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook remains bearish for further decline with 1.3271 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.3133 will resume larger fall from 1.4667 to long term fibonacci level at 1.3056. On the upside, considering bullish convergence condition, firm break of 1.3271 should confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3411).

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3715 resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3715 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3146; (P) 1.3193; (R1) 1.3218; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.3133 is extending. As long as 1.3271 resistance holds, further decline remains in favor. On the downside, break of 1.3133 will resume larger fall from 1.4667 to long term fibonacci level at 1.3056. On the upside, considering bullish convergence condition, firm break of 1.3271 should confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3422).

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3715 resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3715 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3155; (P) 1.3196; (R1) 1.3258; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation above 1.3133 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. As long as 1.3271 resistance holds, further decline remains in favor. On the downside, break of 1.3133 will resume larger fall from 1.4667 to long term fibonacci level at 1.3056. On the upside, considering bullish convergence condition, firm break of 1.3271 should confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3433).

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3715 resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3715 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3154; (P) 1.3194; (R1) 1.3229; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidations. Further decline is expected as long as 1.3271 resistance holds. Break of 1.3133 will resume larger fall from 1.4667 to long term fibonacci level at 1.3056. On the upside, considering bullish convergence condition, firm break of 1.3271 should confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3439).

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3715 resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3715 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD edged lower to 1.3133 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.3271 resistance holds. Break of 1.3133 will resume larger fall from 1.4667 to long term fibonacci level at 1.3056. On the upside, considering bullish convergence condition, firm break of 1.3271 should confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3448).

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3715 resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3715 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

In the longer term picture, the bullish case of resuming the up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is delayed. Consolidation from 1.4689 is extending for another medium term fall. As long as 1.2061 support holds, such up trend should still resume through 1.4689 at a later stage.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3152; (P) 1.3199; (R1) 1.3228; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for consolidations above 1.3133 temporary low. Outlook stays bearish with 1.3271 resistance intact. Break of 1.3133 will resume the fall from 1.4667 to long term fibonacci level at 1.3056. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition, firm break of 1.3271 should confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3448).

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3715 resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3715 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.