USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s fall from 158.86 extended lower last week but downside momentum was somewhat limited by near term falling channel. Still, initial bias stays on the downside this week. Sustained trading below 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 will pave the way to 139.57 support. On the upside, 149.32 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low), with fall from 158.86 as the third leg. Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

In the long term picture, it’s still early to conclude that up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) has completed. A medium term corrective phase should have commenced, with risk of deep correction towards 55 M EMA (now at 136.88).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.09; (P) 148.21; (R1) 149.11; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the downside. Fall from 158.86, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94 high, is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 139.57 low. On the upside, 149.32 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.09; (P) 148.21; (R1) 149.11; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Fall from 158.86, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94 high, is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 139.57 low. On the upside, 149.32 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.12; (P) 149.15; (R1) 149.91; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is back on the downside with break of 148.08 temporary low. Fall from 158.86, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94 high, has resumed. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 will pave the way back to 139.57 low. On the upside, 149.32 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.12; (P) 149.15; (R1) 149.91; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidations above 148.08. With 151.29 resistance intact, fall from 158.86 is expected to continue as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 171.96 high. Below 148.08 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 139.57 low. However, break of 151.29 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.64; (P) 149.26; (R1) 150.43; More…

Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. With 151.29 resistance intact, fall from 158.86 is still expected to continue as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 171.96 high. Below 148.08 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 139.57 low. However, break of 151.29 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.64; (P) 149.26; (R1) 150.43; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral again with current recovery. Fall from 158.86, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 171.96 high, is expected to continue as long as 151.29 resistance holds. Below 148.08 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 139.57 low. However, break of 151.29 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.63; (P) 149.97; (R1) 150.83; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 158.86 resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the downside. This decline is as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94 high. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 139.57 low. For now, risk will remain on the downside as long as 151.29 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.63; (P) 149.97; (R1) 150.83; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral again as it quickly reversed after recovering to 151.29. Overall outlook is unchanged that the decline from 158.86 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94 high. On the downside, below 148.55 will resume the fall and target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, break of 151.29 will delay the bearish case, and bring more consolidations.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.49; (P) 150.24; (R1) 151.38; More…

Break of 150.92 support turned resistance suggests short term bottoming at 148.55, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for stronger rebound to near term falling channel resistance (now at 152.61). On the downside, break of 148.55 will resume the fall from 158.86 to 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.49; (P) 150.24; (R1) 151.38; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Fall from 158.86 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94 high. Break of 148.55 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, however, break of 150.92 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s fall from 158.86 continued last week but recovered after hitting 148.55. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. This decline is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94 high. Break of 148.55 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, however, break of 150.92 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

In the long term picture, it’s still early to conclude that up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) has completed. A medium term corrective phase should have commenced, with risk of deep correction towards 55 M EMA (now at 136.50).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.98; (P) 149.57; (R1) 150.39; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral first. Further decline is expected with 150.92 support turned resistance intact. Current fall from 158.86 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 161.94 high. Below 148.55 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, however, break of 150.92 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.98; (P) 149.57; (R1) 150.39; More….

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and further decline is expected with 150.92 support turned resistance intact. Current fall from 158.86 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 161.94 high. Below 148.55 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, however, break of 150.92 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.52; (P) 149.20; (R1) 149.78; More….

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral first, but further fall is in favor with 150.92 support turned resistance intact. Current fall from 158.86 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 161.94 high. Below 148.55 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, however, break of 150.92 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.52; (P) 149.20; (R1) 149.78; More….

Further decline is expected in USD/JPY with 150.92 support turned resistance intact. Current fall from 158.86 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 161.94 high. Deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, however, break of 150.92 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.30; (P) 149.30; (R1) 150.03; More…

While downside momentum is not too convincing, further decline is expected in USD/JPY as long as 150.92 support turned resistance holds. Current fall from 158.86 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 161.94 high. Deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, however, break of 150.92 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.30; (P) 149.30; (R1) 150.03; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 158.86 resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias back on the downside. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 161.94 high. Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, however, break of 150.92 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.09; (P) 149.48; (R1) 150.12; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for consolidations above 148.83 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 154.79 resistance holds. Fall from 158.86 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 161.94 high. Below 148.83 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.09; (P) 149.48; (R1) 150.12; More…

A temporary low is formed at 148.83 with current recovery and intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 154.79 resistance holds. Fall from 158.86 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 161.94 high. Below 148.83 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.