Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indictor dropped from record high of 119.0 to 117.5 in August, below expectation of 118.6. Employment Expectations Indictor rose 1.2 pts to 112.8, hitting the highest level since November 2018. Looking at some more details, industry confidence dropped from 14.5 to 13.7. Services confidence dropped from 18.9 to 16.8. Consumer confidence dropped from -4.4 to -5.3. Retail trade confidence rose from 4.4 to 4.6. Construction confidence rose from 4.0 to 5.5.
EU ESI dropped -1.5 pts from record high 118.0 to 116.5. Amongst the largest EU economies, the ESI fell sharply in France (-4.5) and in the Netherlands (-3.0), and to a lesser extent, in Italy (-1.9), Poland (-1.7) and Spain (-1.2). Sentiment in Germany (-0.3) was virtually unchanged. Employment Expectation Indicator rose 1.0 pts to 112.6, highest since November 2018.















New Zealand ANZ business confidence dropped to -14.2 on Delta lockdown
New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence dropped sharply from -3.8 to -14.2 in August. Own Activity Outlook dropped from 26.3 to 19.2. Looking at some more details, export intentions ticked down from 7.6 to 7.4. Investment intentions dropped from 17.4 to 14.4. Employment intentions dropped from 21.4 to 17.0. Profit expectations dropped from 0.0 to -5.5. Inflation expectations, however, rose further from 2.70 to 3.05, above RBNZ’s target band. ANZ said that the “initial responses after level 4 lockdown look encouragingly robust”.
ANZ also noted while Delta is a “formidable opponent”, there are some reasons to the “glass-half-full about the situation”. The economy had “significant momentum” going into the lockdown. People will be a lot more confidence than last time regarding their job. Also evidence there and overseas suggests that the bounce out of lockdowns tends to be vigorous. But it’s still too soon to be sure when the level 4 restrictions will stamp out Delta.
Full release here.