EUR/AUD stayed in consolidation below 1.6189 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. As long as 1.5857 minor support holds, further rally is expected in the cross. On the upside, above 1.6084 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.6189 first. Break will resume larger rally towards 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.5857 will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn bias to the downside for 1.5621 support to confirm.

In the bigger picture,rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. And it’s still in progress for 1.6587 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But for now, break of 1.5621 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stays bullish even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5800; (P) 1.5859; (R1) 1.5932; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and consolidation from 1.5721 might extend further. On the downside, break of 1.5721 low will resume the fall from 1.6765 and target 1.5346 support next. On the upside, though, break of 1.6122 will extend the pattern from 1.5721 with another rise.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6178; (P) 1.6232; (R1) 1.6261; More….

EUR/AUD is staying in range of 1.6145/6351 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise remains mildly in favor. On the upside, sustained break of 1.6353 will resume larger up trend and target 1.6587 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.6145 support will likely extend the corrective pattern from 1.6353 with another leg back to 1.5984.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5984 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5617; (P) 1.5680; (R1) 1.5740; More…

EUR/AUD’s break of 55 day EMA suggests that a short term top was formed at 1.5976. Intraday bias is now on the downside for correction to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.5976 at 1.5329. On the upside, above 1.5739 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back has finished, and bring retest of 1.5976 high.

In the bigger picture, strong support from 55 week EMA affirms underlying bullishness. As long as 1.5271 support holds, rise from 1.4281 medium term bottom is expected to continue to 1.6434 key resistance next. Decisive break there should confirm medium term bullish trend reversal.

EUR/AUD stayed in consolidation from 1.9799 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.6085 to 1.9799 at 1.7504 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.8747 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.9799 high first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and further rally would be seen to 2.1127 (2008 high) and possibly to 161.8% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 2.1706. On the downside, for now, touching of 1.6597 resistance turned support (2015 high), is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress next target would be the resistance zone between 2.1127 (2008 high) and 161.8% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 2.1706.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6272; (P) 1.6339; (R1) 1.6383; More…

EUR/AUD drops notably today but stays in range above 1.6033. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 1.6772 resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 1.6033 will resume the decline from 1.9799 for next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, however, break of 1.6772 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5864; (P) 1.5941; (R1) 1.5991; More….

At this point, EUR/AUD is staying in range of 1.5852/6084 and intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 1.5857 minor support holds, further rally is expected in the cross. On the upside, above 1.6084 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.6189 first. Break will resume larger rally towards 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.5857 will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn bias to the downside for 1.5621 support to confirm.

In the bigger picture,rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. And it’s still in progress for 1.6587 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But for now, break of 1.5621 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stays bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6243; (P) 1.6271; (R1) 1.6318; More…

EUR/AUD’s rebound from 1.5905 is still in progress. Firm break of 1.6308 support turned resistance should confirm completion of whole fall from 1.6789 and target this resistance again. On the downside, break of 1.6128 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.5894 key support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6008) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6468; (P) 1.6539; (R1) 1.6599; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as range trading continues. Near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.6439 support holds. On the upside, above 1.6677 will target 1.6742 first. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 1.6127 and target 1.6844 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5439; (P) 1.5484; (R1) 1.5512; More….

EUR/AUD’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 1.5437 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside. Current fall from 1.6189 should target 1.5153 key support next. On the upside, break of 1.5617 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rally from 1.3624 (2017 low) should have completed at 1.6189 already, ahead of 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). 1.6189 is seen as a medium term top. Deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 first. Decisive break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.4604. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming again below 1.4604. On the upside, firm break of 1.5773 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 1.6189. Otherwise, further fall is expected in medium term, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5626; (P) 1.5725; (R1) 1.5776; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside for 1.5626 support. Break of 1.5626 will extend the decline from 1.5976 to 61.8% retracement of 1.5153 to 1.5976 at 1.5467 and below. On the upside above 1.5787 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will for now stay on the downside as long as 1.5976 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, change of medium term reversal is increasing with EUR/AUD just missing double projection target. They are 61.8% projection of 1.4421 to 1.5770 from 1.5153 at 1.5987, and 100% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4421at 1.6023. Also, bearish divergence condition remains in daily MACD. Break of 1.5626 support will add to this bearish case and target 1.5153 key support for confirmation. Nonetheless, before that happens, as long as 1.5153 support holds, medium term rise from 1.3624 could still extend to retest 1.6587 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5682; (P) 1.5721; (R1) 1.5748; More…

EUR/AUD’s rise from 1.5254 resumed after brief consolidations. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Outlook is unchanged that corrective fall from 1.5976 has completed at 1.5254. Further rally is expected to retest 1.5976 high. On the downside, however, break of1.5690 support will delay the bullish case and extend the corrective pattern from 1.5976 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, it’s still early to confirm if rise from 1.4281 represents bullish trend reversal. But as long as 1.5271 support holds, such rally is in favor to continue. Break of 1.5976 will target 1.6434 key resistance next. On the other hand, firm break of 1.5271 will retain medium term bearishness instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6751; (P) 1.6792; (R1) 1.6840; More…

Immediate focus stays on 1.6843 resistance in EUR/AUD. Decisive break there will resume the rebound from 1.6319 for retesting 1.7062 high next. On the downside, however, below 1.6666 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.6449 support instead.

In the bigger picture, while 1.7062 is a medium term top, there is no clear sign of trend reversal as EUR/AUD continues to draw strong support from the medium term trend line. Break of 1.7062 will resume the larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) to 1.7691 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 1.6449 support will argue that deeper correction is underway to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6151; (P) 1.6178; (R1) 1.6213; More…

At this point, EUR/AUD is still staying in range below 1.6262. Intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidation could still be seen. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.5683 to 1.6262 at 1.6041 to bring rise resumption eventually. Correction from 1.6765 has completed with three waves down to 1.5683. On the upside, break of 1.6262 will pave the way to retest 1.6765 high. However, firm break of 1.6041 will dampen this view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.5904.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD edged higher to 1.7194 last week but was rejected by 55 day EMA and reversed. Though, downside is contained above 1.6538 support and initial bias remains neutral this week first. Focus is back on 1.6538 and break will resume whole fall from 1.9799. Also, sustained trading below 1.6597 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.5962 support next. On the upside, break of 1.7194 resistance should confirm short term bottoming and turn near term outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6597 key cluster support, (2015 high and 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668, 55 week EMA (now at 1.6532). Strong rebound from current level will retain medium term bullishness. Larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) would extend through 1.9799 high. However, sustained break of 1.6597 will suggest bearish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4733.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress, with 2.1127 (2008 high) as next target. However, sustained break of 1.6597 (2015 high) cluster support, with 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668, will argue that such rally is completed. Outlook will then be turned bearish for 61.8% retracement at 1.4733.

EUR/AUD’s rise from 1.5683 resumed last week by breaking 1.6262 resistance. But as a temporary top was formed at 1.6363, initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained well above 1.6052 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.6363 will turn bias back to the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.5683 to 1.6262 from 1.6052 at 1.6410 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.6631 next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5346 remains intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.8300; (P) 1.8359; (R1) 1.8462; More…

EUR/AUD’s deep pull back suggests short term topping at 1.9799. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some more consolidations. Downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.6085 to 1.9799 at 1.7504 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.9799 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and further rally would be seen to 2.1127 (2008 high) and possibly to 161.8% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 2.1706. On the downside, for now, touching of 1.6597 resistance turned support (2015 high), is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deeper pull back.

EUR/AUD’s stayed in consolidation from 1.6785 last week with some volatility seen. But overall near term outlook is unchanged. Downside of the consolidation should be contained by 1.6247 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.6786 will resume larger up trend to 1.7488 projection level. However, sustained break of 1.6247 will bring deeper fall towards 1.5894 support instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bullish and up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in progress. Prior support from 55 week EMA indicates medium term bullishness. Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. In any case, break of 1.5894 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5894 remains intact. However, firm break of 1.5894 will be an early sign of major topping and turn focus to 1.5346 key support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5885; (P) 1.5937; (R1) 1.5977; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral at this point. With 1.5857 support intact, another rise is expected. On the upside, above 1.6084 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.6189 first. Break will resume the whole rally from 1.5153 and target 1.6587 key resistance. Nonetheless, break of 1.5857 will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn bias to the downside for 1.5621 support to confirm.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. And it’s still in progress for 1.6587 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But for now, break of 1.5621 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stays bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5863; (P) 1.5903; (R1) 1.5956; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. Price actions from 1.6189 are forming a corrective pattern. Below 1.5837 will extend the leg fro 1.6139 and target 1.5773 support and below. But we’d expect strong support above 1.5621 to complete the pattern and bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.5966 support turned resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.6139 resistance.

In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. Current rally from 1.3624 could extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5621 support should confirm reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.5153 support and below.