Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5153; (P) 1.5217; (R1) 1.5265; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, sustained break of 1.5354 support turned resistance will indicate medium term bottoming at 1.4318. Stronger rally would be seen back to 100% projection of 1.4318 to 1.5277 from 1.4759 at 1.5718. On the downside, however, break of 1.5083 minor support will retain medium term bearishness, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.4759 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) is still expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). However, firm break of 1.5354 will indicate medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4849; (P) 1.4887; (R1) 1.4939; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral at this point. Near term outlook remains bullish with 1.4777 support intact and further rally is expected. As noted before, correction from 1.5226 should have completed with three waves down to 1.4421 already. Above 1.4964 will target 1.5073 resistance first. Break of 1.5073 will likely resume the rise from 1.3624 and target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4421 at 1.5411 next. However, firm break of 1.4777 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias to the downside for 1.4564 support. Break will extend the correction from 1.5226 through 1.4421.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to resume to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the fall from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, another decline will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4456; (P) 1.4492; (R1) 1.4540; More…

EUR/AUD recovers ahead of 4 hour 55 EMA but it’s still staying in range below 1.4649 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Also, we’re holding on to the view of trend reversal after defending 1.3671 key support. Hence, in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 1.4334 resistance turned support and rise resumption. Above 1.4649 will target 1.4721 key resistance. Decisive break of 1.4721 will confirm our bullish view. However, break of 1.4334 will suggest rejection from 1.4721 and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3980 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after defending 1.3671 key support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we’d expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn extend the fall from 1.6587 towards 1.1602 long term bottom.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6106; (P) 1.6154; (R1) 1.6210; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.6262 temporary top first. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.5683 to 1.6262 at 1.6041 to bring rise resumption. Current development argues that correction from 1.6765 has completed with three waves down to 1.5683. On the upside, break of 1.6262 will target retest of 1.6765 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4823; (P) 1.4872; (R1) 1.4933; More….

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook. With 1.4994 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is expected to 1.4732 support. Decisive break there will confirm that fall from 1.5173 is the third leg of consolidation pattern from 1.5226. In that case, further fall should be seen to 1.4421 again. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.4994 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.5173/5226 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the price actions from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.4421 support will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5986; (P) 1.6031; (R1) 1.6067; More…

EUR/AUD’s rebound from 1.5907 extends higher today and focus is now on 1.6116 resistance. Firm break there will argue that pull back from 1.6434 has completed after defending 1.5898 structural support. Larger rise from 15250 is still in progress. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.6434 first. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.5898 will argue that corrective rise from 1.5250 has already completed. Near term outlook will be turned bearish for 1.5614 support next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5250 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. We’d tentatively expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.5898 support will indicate that the rebound has completed. Larger down trend from 1.9799 might be ready to resume through 1.5250 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5678; (P) 1.5706; (R1) 1.5744; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains mildly on the downside at this point. Consolidation pattern from 1.5250 might have completed at 1.5849, just missing 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.5148 support first. Sustained break there will solidify this bearish case and target a retest of 1.5250 low. But on the upside, sustained break of 1.5852 will bring further rally back to 1.6033 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5500; (P) 1.5578; (R1) 1.5655; More….

A temporary top is in place at 1.5656 with today’s sharp fall. Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen. But downside should be contained by 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.5390) and bring rise resumption. Above 1.5656 will extend the rally from 1.3624 and target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top (2015 high) has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. We’ll hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.5226 resistance turned support holds. Firm break of 1.6587 will resume long term rise from 1.1602 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6363; (P) 1.6436; (R1) 1.6480; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/AUD and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, sustained break of 1.6586 will suggest that it’s at least in correction to the fall from 1.9799 to 1.6033. Further rise should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.6033 at 1.7472. However, rejection by 1.6586 will maintain near term bearishness for another fall through 1.6033 later.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall might be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.5816). Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. However, strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.6458) would neutralize the long term bearishness and argues that price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a sideway range pattern instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6329; (P) 1.6383; (R1) 1.6439; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral with current retreat. Some consolidations could be seen but downside should be contained by 1.6182 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.6434 will resume larger rise from 1.5250 to 1.6827 resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 1.6182 will bring deeper pull back to 1.5898 structural support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5250 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. We’d tentatively expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.5898 support will indicate that the rebound has completed and bring retest of 1.5250 low.

EUR/AUD’s rally and break of 1.5019 last week suggests that rebound from 1.4421 has resumed. More importantly, it revived the case that correction from 1.5226 has completed with three waves down to 1.4421. Initial bias is back on the upside this week for 1.5073 resistance first. Break there will affirm the case that whole rebound from 1.3624 is resuming and target 1.5226 high. On the downside, below 1.4882 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain cautiously bullish as long as 1.4732 support holds.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the fall from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.4421 will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should confirm trend reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6237; (P) 1.6262; (R1) 1.6291; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral for consolidation below 1.6323. With 1.6202 minor support intact, further rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, above 1.6323 will target 1.6432 resistance. However, break of 1.6202 will argue that rebound from 1.5976 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.5894/5905 key support zone again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6069) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6542; (P) 1.6573; (R1) 1.6607; More…

EUR/AUD’s rally from 1.6368 resumed after brief consolidations. Breach of 1.6677 resistance argues that fall from 1.6742 has completed as a three-wave corrective move to 1.6368. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.6742. On the downside, below 1.6534 support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of another fall, Strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.

EUR/AUD was bounded in tight range last week but outlook is unchanged. With 1.5042 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is expected to 1.4732 support. Decisive break there confirm that fall from 1.5173 is the third leg of consolidation pattern from 1.5226. In that case, further fall should be seen to 1.4421 again. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.5042 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.5173/5226 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the price actions from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.4421 support will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should confirm trend reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6538; (P) 1.6569; (R1) 1.6602; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/AUD and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.6439 support holds. On the upside, above 1.6677 will target 1.6742 first. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 1.6127 and target 1.6844 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6167; (P) 1.6209; (R1) 1.6243; More…

No change in EUR/AUD and intraday bias remains neutral for consolidation from 1.6033. Further decline is expected as long as 1.6772 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.6033 will resume the fall from 1.9799 and target next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, however, break of 1.6772 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3925; (P) 1.3975; (R1) 1.4009; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. We’re still mildly favoring the case of trend reversal after defending key support level at 1.3671. Another rise is expected as long as 1.3872 minor support holds. Break of 1.4309 will extend the rebound from 1.3624 to 1.4721 key resistance level next. Break should confirm larger trend reversal. However, firm break of 1.3872 support will dampen our bullish view. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.3624 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after testing 1.3671 support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we’d expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn extend the fall from 1.6587 towards 1.1602 long term bottom.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5507; (P) 1.5568; (R1) 1.5656; More….

EUR/AUD rebounds further today but it’s staying below 1.5770 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Overall, price actions from 1.5770 is seen as a consolidation pattern. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support above 1.5226 key support to bring rebound. Medium term rally is still expected to resume later and break of 1.5770 will target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top (2015 high) has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. We’ll hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.5226 resistance turned support holds. Firm break of 1.6587 will resume long term rise from 1.1602 (2012 low).

EUR/AUD breached 1.5770 resistance last week but there was no follow through buying yet. Nonetheless, further rise is expected this week as long as 1.5633 minor support holds. Sustained trading above 1.5770 will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5633 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6195; (P) 1.6263; (R1) 1.6376; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside for 1.6448 resistance/. Break there will bring retest 1.6593 high. On the downside, below 1.6288 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.6085 support instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is still struggling in established range of 1.5905/6786. And it’s trying to draw support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.6113) again. For now, larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in favor to continue as long as 1.5962 support holds. Break of 1.6503 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488.