EUR/CHF rose to as high as 1.1888 last week and finally resumed medium term up trend. As a temporary top is in place, initial bias is neutral this week first for some consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.1748 minor support to bring another rally. Above 1.1888 will target 1.2 handle, and then 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.1832 should now extend the medium term up trend through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. 2013 high at 1.2649 should be the next target. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1445 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0819; (P) 1.0841; (R1) 1.0860; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0811 continues. Outlook is unchanged that rebound from 1.0694 has possibly completed at 1.0936 already. Break of 1.0811 will turn bias to the downside and resume the fall for retesting 1.0694 low. On the upside, however, above 1.0884 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0936 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the stronger than expected rebound from 1.0694 and break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.0861) mixes up the medium term outlook. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0505 (2020 low). On the downside, break of 1.0694 will revive some medium term bearishness for 1.0505 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1345; (P) 1.1356; (R1) 1.1371; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation in range of 1.1310/1444. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rally is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume whole rally from 1.1181 for 1.1501 key resistance next. However, break of 1.1310 will argue that the rebound from 1.1181 might be completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0548; (P) 1.0575; (R1) 1.0602; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in corrective pattern from 1.0503. Stronger rebound might be seen through 1.0611. But upside should be limited by 1.0653 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9537; (P) 0.9562; (R1) 0.9576; More…

Outlook in EUR/CHF is unchanged and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 0.9647 will resume the rebound from 0.9520. Further sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 0.9520 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9859). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 1.1336 last week. Break of 1.1366 confirmed resumption of whole decline from 1.2004. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1366 from 1.1713 at 1.1319. Decisive break there will target key support zone between 1.1154/98. On the upside, above 1.1415 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recover should be limited below 1.1489 support turned resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9413; (P) 0.9449; (R1) 0.9470; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside at this point. Current decline from 1.0095 is in progress for 0.9407 medium term bottom. Decisive break there will confirm larger down trend resumption. On the upside, break of 0.9532 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish with the cross capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9782). Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will confirm resumption of larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. On the upside, break of 0.9691 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1166; (P) 1.1194; (R1) 1.1214; More…

EUR/CHF drops to as low as 1.1173 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Decisive break of 1.1173 low (inside 1.1154/98 key support zone) will carry larger bearish implication and could trigger downside acceleration. Next downside target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1444 at 1.0930. On the upside, though, break of 1.1256 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery to 1.1310 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0707; (P) 1.0721; (R1) 1.0741; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays mildly on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.1149 should target is 61.8% projection of 1.0985 to 1.0715 from 1.0839 at 1.0672 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.0569 next. On the upside, above 1.0756 minor resistance will bring recovery. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0839 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0863) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

EUR/CHF’s down trend extended last week and hit as low as 1.3074. Initial bias remains on the downside this week. Current fall from 1.1149 would target 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, break of 1.0511 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1015) maintains long term bearishness. Down trend from 1.2004 is now in progress for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9409; (P) 0.9430; (R1) 0.9448; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 0.9402 and intraday bias stays neutral. With 0.9543 resistance intact, deeper decline is expected. On the downside, firm break of 0.9407 will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9325. However, sustained break of 0.9543 will bring further rally back to 0.9683 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1700; (P) 1.1722; (R1) 1.1752; More…

EUR/CHF’s rise and break of 1.1740 indicates resumption of rebound from 1.1445. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.1832 high. At this point, we’ll stay cautious strong resistance from there to bring another fall. Corrective pattern from 1.1832 might still have an attempt on 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372) before completion. On the downside, below 1.1672 minor support will target 1.1445 low again. However, decisive break of 1.1832 will confirm up trend resumption for 1.2 handle next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9494; (P) 0.9504; (R1) 0.9522; More…

EUR/CHF’s rise from 0.9252 is trying to resume by breaching 0.9510 and intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rally should be seen to 0.9574 fibonacci level next. On the downside, below 0.9466 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574 and possibly above. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9503; (P) 0.9521; (R1) 0.9546; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the upside with breach of 0.9533 temporary top. Further rally would be seen to 0.9574 fibonacci level. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside. On the downside, break of 0.9466 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574 and possibly above. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1642; (P) 1.1683; (R1) 1.1716; More…

EUR/CHF break of 1.1672 minor support indicates that rebound from 1.1445 has completed at 1.1748. And, the corrective pattern from 1.1832 is extending with another falling leg. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1634). Sustained break will target 1.1445 support and possibly below. But we’d expect strong support from 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372) to complete the correction and break up trend resumption. On the upside, above 1.1748 will bring retest of 1.1832 high instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0379; (P) 1.0408; (R1) 1.0443; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside for 1.0413 resistance. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 0.9970, for 1.0610 structural resistance. On the downside, below 1.0327 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9319; (P) 0.9342; (R1) 0.9359; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.9252 is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish with 0.9402 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9252 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9104 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

EUR/CHF’s fall from 1.2004 accelerated steeply to as low as 1.1531 last week. The development confirmed medium term topping at 1.2004. Initial bias is on the downside this week for 1.1445 key support zone. For now, we’d expect strong support from 1.1445 to contain downside, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.1641 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 1.1445 will target next key cluster level at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1785; (P) 1.1805; (R1) 1.1843; More…

EUR/CHF surges to as high as 1.1875 so far today. The strong break of 1.1832 high confirms medium term up trend resumption. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.2 handle first. Break will target 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188 next. On the downside, below 1.1804 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But retreat should be contained well above 1.1649 support to bring another rise.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.1832 should now extend the medium term up trend through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. 2013 high at 1.2649should be the next target. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1445 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.