Sun, Oct 24, 2021 @ 00:12 GMT

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF rose to as high as 1.1888 last week and finally resumed medium term up trend. As a temporary top is in place, initial bias is neutral this week first for some consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.1748 minor support to bring another rally. Above 1.1888 will target 1.2 handle, and then 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.1832 should now extend the medium term up trend through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. 2013 high at 1.2649 should be the next target. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1445 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0819; (P) 1.0841; (R1) 1.0860; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0811 continues. Outlook is unchanged that rebound from 1.0694 has possibly completed at 1.0936 already. Break of 1.0811 will turn bias to the downside and resume the fall for retesting 1.0694 low. On the upside, however, above 1.0884 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0936 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the stronger than expected rebound from 1.0694 and break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.0861) mixes up the medium term outlook. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0505 (2020 low). On the downside, break of 1.0694 will revive some medium term bearishness for 1.0505 and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1345; (P) 1.1356; (R1) 1.1371; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation in range of 1.1310/1444. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rally is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume whole rally from 1.1181 for 1.1501 key resistance next. However, break of 1.1310 will argue that the rebound from 1.1181 might be completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0548; (P) 1.0575; (R1) 1.0602; More

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in corrective pattern from 1.0503. Stronger rebound might be seen through 1.0611. But upside should be limited by 1.0653 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 1.1336 last week. Break of 1.1366 confirmed resumption of whole decline from 1.2004. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1366 from 1.1713 at 1.1319. Decisive break there will target key support zone between 1.1154/98. On the upside, above 1.1415 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recover should be limited below 1.1489 support turned resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1166; (P) 1.1194; (R1) 1.1214; More…

EUR/CHF drops to as low as 1.1173 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Decisive break of 1.1173 low (inside 1.1154/98 key support zone) will carry larger bearish implication and could trigger downside acceleration. Next downside target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1444 at 1.0930. On the upside, though, break of 1.1256 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery to 1.1310 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0707; (P) 1.0721; (R1) 1.0741; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays mildly on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.1149 should target is 61.8% projection of 1.0985 to 1.0715 from 1.0839 at 1.0672 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.0569 next. On the upside, above 1.0756 minor resistance will bring recovery. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0839 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0863) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1700; (P) 1.1722; (R1) 1.1752; More…

EUR/CHF’s rise and break of 1.1740 indicates resumption of rebound from 1.1445. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.1832 high. At this point, we’ll stay cautious strong resistance from there to bring another fall. Corrective pattern from 1.1832 might still have an attempt on 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372) before completion. On the downside, below 1.1672 minor support will target 1.1445 low again. However, decisive break of 1.1832 will confirm up trend resumption for 1.2 handle next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1642; (P) 1.1683; (R1) 1.1716; More…

EUR/CHF break of 1.1672 minor support indicates that rebound from 1.1445 has completed at 1.1748. And, the corrective pattern from 1.1832 is extending with another falling leg. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1634). Sustained break will target 1.1445 support and possibly below. But we’d expect strong support from 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372) to complete the correction and break up trend resumption. On the upside, above 1.1748 will bring retest of 1.1832 high instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1785; (P) 1.1805; (R1) 1.1843; More…

EUR/CHF surges to as high as 1.1875 so far today. The strong break of 1.1832 high confirms medium term up trend resumption. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.2 handle first. Break will target 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188 next. On the downside, below 1.1804 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But retreat should be contained well above 1.1649 support to bring another rise.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.1832 should now extend the medium term up trend through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. 2013 high at 1.2649should be the next target. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1445 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s fall from 1.2004 accelerated steeply to as low as 1.1531 last week. The development confirmed medium term topping at 1.2004. Initial bias is on the downside this week for 1.1445 key support zone. For now, we’d expect strong support from 1.1445 to contain downside, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.1641 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 1.1445 will target next key cluster level at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1271; (P) 1.1288; (R1) 1.1321; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside as rise from 1.1162 is in progress for 1.1310 support turned resistance. Firm break there will target 1.1444 key resistance next. On the downside, below 1.1245 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1154 key fibonacci level instead.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0734; (P) 1.0749; (R1) 1.0779; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and some more consolidations could be seen above 1.0715 temporary low. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0802 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0715 will resume larger fall from 1.1149 to retest 1.0505 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.0802 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound first.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.1149 resistance holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF rebounded to 1.1342 last week but retreated notably since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. In case of deeper fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from key support zone of 1.1154/98 to bring reversal. On the upside, above 1.1342 will target 1.1452 resistance first. Break should confirm that whole decline from 1.2004 has completed a target 1.1713 resistance next. However, sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0944; (P) 1.0960; (R1) 1.0971; More….

Further rebound could still be seen in EUR/CHF. But overall, outlook stays bearish as long as 1.1026 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0930 minor support will bring retest of 1.0863 low. Break there will resume whole fall from 1.1149. On the upside, break of 1.1026 will be the first sign of near term bullish reversal.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1077) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 support will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0879) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0945; (P) 1.0957; (R1) 1.0964; More….

With 1.0912 minor support intact, rebound could be seen in EUR/CHF. But overall, outlook stays bearish as long as 1.1026 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0912 minor support will bring retest of 1.0863 low. Break there will resume whole fall from 1.1149. On the upside, break of 1.1026 will be the first sign of near term bullish reversal.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1077) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 support will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0879) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1581; (P) 1.1601; (R1) 1.1637; More….

EUR/CHF rises further to as high as 1.1627 so far today. But upside is limited below 1.1656 resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.1656 will resume the rebound from 1.1366 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But we would expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.1478 will turn bias to the downside for 1.1366 first. Break will resume the corrective fall from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, EUR/CHF was solidly rejected by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s consolidation pattern from 1.0503 continued last week and near term outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and the consolidation might extend. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.0653 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Stronger rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1861; (P) 1.1873; (R1) 1.1892; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally resumed after brief consolidation and reaches as high as 1.1894 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.2 handle. Break there will extend the medium term up trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188. On the downside, below 1.1847 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation, below staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.1832 should now extend the medium term up trend through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. 2013 high at 1.2649 should be the next target. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1445 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1846; (P) 1.1903; (R1) 1.1940; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1888 support indicates short term topping at 1.2004, after rejection by 1.2 handle. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for pull back to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1816). For now, such decline is seen as correcting the rise from 1.1445 only. Hence, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1790 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.2004 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective trading in near term.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Break of 1.1445 will be an indicate of medium term reversal and will turn outlook bearish.