EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s rise from 0.9704 extended higher to 0.9995 last week but retreated sharply since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Another rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 0.9837 minor support holds. Break of 0.9995 will affirm the case that correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Further rally should be seen through 1.0040 to retest 1.0095 high. However, firm break of 0.9837 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.1002) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 month EMA and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9900; (P) 0.9949; (R1) 0.9978; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Outlook is unchanged that corrective decline from 1.0095 should have completed at 0.9704. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.9856 minor support holds. Above 0.9995 will target 1.0040 and then 1.0095. However, firm break of 0.9856 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9930; (P) 0.9956; (R1) 0.9986; More

EUR/CHF edged higher to 0.9995 earlier today but quickly retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook is unchanged that corrective decline from 1.0095 should have completed at 0.9704. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.9856 minor support holds. Above 0.9995 will target 1.0040 and then 1.0095. However, firm break of 0.9856 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9914; (P) 0.9946; (R1) 0.9966; More

A temporary top was formed at 0.9976 in EUR/CHF with current retreat. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Outlook is unchanged that corrective decline from 1.0095 should have completed at 0.9704. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.9856 minor support holds. Above 0.9976 will target 1.0004 and then 1.0095. However, firm break of 0.9856 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9894; (P) 0.9930; (R1) 1.0001; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside for the moment. Current development argues that decline from 1.0095 has completed as a correction, with three waves down to 0.9704. Further rally would be seen to 1.0040 resistance first. Firm break there would argue that larger rise from 0.9407 is resuming through 1.0095. On the downside, though, break of 0.9856 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9843; (P) 0.9877; (R1) 0.9915; More

EUR/CHF’s rise from 0.9704 accelerations higher today and the development argues that decline form 1.0095 has completed as a correction, with three waves down to 0.9704. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0040 resistance first. Firm break there would argue that larger rise from 0.9407 is resuming through 1.0095. On the downside, though, break of 0.9837 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9843; (P) 0.9877; (R1) 0.9915; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Near term risk stays on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9899) holds. Rebound 0.9407 could have completed at 1.0095 already. Below 0.9711 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Firm break there will bring deeper fall to retest 0.9407 low. However, sustained trading above 55 day EMA will bring stronger rise back to retest 1.0095 instead.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.0095 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF rebounded strongly after initial fall to 0.9704 last week. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9899) holds. Rebound 0.9407 could have completed at 1.0095 already. Below 0.9711 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Firm break there will bring deeper fall to retest 0.9407 low. However, sustained trading above 55 day EMA will bring stronger rise back to retest 1.0095 instead.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.0095 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 month EMA and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9815; (P) 0.9849; (R1) 0.9898; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first and risks stays on the downside with 55 day EMA (now at 0.9899) intact. Rebound 0.9407 could have completed at 1.0095 already. Below 0.9711 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Firm break there will bring deeper fall to retest 0.9407 low. However, sustained trading above 55 day EMA will bring stronger rise back to retest 1.0095 instead.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.0095 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9766; (P) 0.9794; (R1) 0.9841; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and some more consolidations could be seen above 0.9711. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9844 support turned resistance to bring another decline. As noted before, rebound 0.9407 could have completed at 1.0095 already. Below 0.9711 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Sustained break there will bring deeper fall to retest 0.9407 low. Overall, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9906) holds.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.0095 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9722; (P) 0.9778; (R1) 0.9843; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first as it recovered after hitting 0.9711. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9844 support turned resistance to bring another decline. As noted before, rebound 0.9407 could have completed at 1.0095 already. Below 0.9711 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Sustained break there will bring deeper fall to retest 0.9407 low. Overall, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9906) holds.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.0095 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9769; (P) 0.9828; (R1) 0.9861; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Rebound from 0.9407 could have completed at 1.0095 already, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Sustained break there will bring deeper fall to retest 0.9407 low. On the upside, above 0.9860 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9910) holds.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.0095 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9832 support argues that rebound form 0.9407 has completed at 1.0095 already, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Sustained break there will bring deeper fall to retest 0.9407 low. On the upside, above 0.9860 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9910) holds.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.0095 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 month EMA and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9846; (P) 0.9889; (R1) 0.9912; More….

EUR/CHF’s decline continues today and immediate focus is now on 0.9832. Strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 0.9892 minor resistance, will argue that fall from 1.0040 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.0040/95 resistance zone. However, sustained break of 0.9832 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9407 low again.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9909; (P) 0.9927; (R1) 0.9943; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside as fall from 1.0040 is in progress. Such decline is seen as another falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 1.0095. Deeper fall would be seen back to 0.9844 support. But downside should be contained by 0.9832 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9963 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0040 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9921; (P) 0.9943; (R1) 0.9960; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside and outlook is unchanged. Fall from 1.0040 is seen as another falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 1.0095. Deeper decline would be seen back to 0.9844 support. But downside should be contained by 0.9832 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9986 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0040 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9922; (P) 0.9945; (R1) 0.9965; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from is seen as another falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 1.0095. Deeper decline would be seen back to 0.9844 support. But downside should be contained by 0.9832 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9986 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0040 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9938; (P) 0.9963; (R1) 0.9979; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 4 hour 55 EMA suggests that rebound from 0.9844 has completed at 1.0040. Corrective pattern from 1.0095 is extending with another falling leg. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9844 support. But downside should be contained by 0.9832 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.0040 will bring retest of 1.0095 high.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9938; (P) 0.9963; (R1) 0.9979; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. The favored case is that corrective pattern from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9844 already. Above 1.0040 will target a test on 1.0095. However, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now 0.9942) will delay the bullish case and bring deeper pull back first.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF surged to as high as 1.0040 last week but retreated sharply since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. The favored case is that corrective pattern from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9844 already. Above 1.0040 will target a test on 1.0095. However, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now 0.9941) will delay the bullish case and bring deeper pull back first.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

In the long term picture, it’s still way to early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 month EMA and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low).