Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0653; (P) 1.0668; (R1) 1.0699; More…

EUR/CHF recovered after forming a temporary low at 1.0635. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation. But break of 1.0749 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook remains bearish and deeper fall is expected. Below 1.0635 will target 1.0620 support. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.1198. In that case, next downside target will be 1.0485 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1439; (P) 1.1454; (R1) 1.1472; More…

EUR/CHF’s recovery from 1.1343 might extend further but after all it’s still limited well below 1.1501 resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.1501 will revive the case of bullish reversal. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.1343 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1154/98 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1243) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0415; (P) 1.0453; (R1) 1.0492; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.0360 will suggest that rebound from 0.9970 has completed as a three-wave corrective move at 1.0513. That came after rejection by 100% projection of 0.9970 to 1.0086 from 1.0400 at 1.0516 and 1.0505. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0186 support first. On the upside, however, sustained break of 1.0505 long term resistance will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 161.8% projection at 1.0782.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF dropped further to 0.9602 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited well below 0.9948 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 0.9602 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support (2020 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1358; (P) 1.1373; (R1) 1.1404; More…

EUR/CHF’s consolidation from 1.1537 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 1.1477 resistance will argue that the consolidation from 1.1537 has completed and larger rise is resuming. However, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 will extend the correction to 61.8% retracement at 1.1100 before completion.

In the bigger picture, firm break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF’s decline extended last week and reached as low as 1.1185. The cross is now in key support zone of 1.1154/98. We’re still expect strong support from the current level to contain downside and bring rebound. And break of 1.1319 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1452 resistance next. However, sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1196) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1037; (P) 1.1105; (R1) 1.1152; More…

EUR/CHF recovers after hitting 1.1056. But with 1.1145 minor resistance intact, intraday bias stays on the downside for further decline. Current down trend should target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next. On the upside, above 1.1145 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first. But recovery should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring further decline.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9550; (P) 0.9578; (R1) 0.9603; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 0.9252 is in progress for 161.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9658 next. For now, further rally is expected as long as 0.9510 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9622) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.9% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

EUR/CHF’s strong rebound last week indicates that corrective pull back from 1.0986 has completed at 1.0830, after drawing support from 55 day EMA. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 1.0986/99 resistance zone. Break there will resume whole rise from 1.0629 and target 61.8% projection of 1.0652 to 1.0986 from 1.0830 at 1.1036. On the downside, below 1.0920 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0830 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1419; (P) 1.1441; (R1) 1.1455; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. With 1.1487 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is expected. Fall from 1.1622 is a correction and would target 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251). Strong support is expected there to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 1.1487 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is completed and bring retest of 1.1622.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9646; (P) 0.9666; (R1) 0.9681; More…

A temporary top is formed at 0.9683 in EUR/CHF with current retreat. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. But further rally is expected as long as 0.9602 support intact. On the upside, above 0.9683 will resume the rise from 0.9513 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9513 at 0.9735. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9873.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9799). That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) could still resume through 0.9407 (2022 low). However, sustained trading above the 55 W EMA will raise the chance that 0.9470 is already a long term bottom. Further rise would then be seen to 1.0095 resistance to indicate bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0921; (P) 1.0951; (R1) 1.0982; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0811 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, sustained break of 1.0811 will resume larger down trend and target 1.0629 key support next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1673; (P) 1.1691; (R1) 1.1725; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Further rise would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. However, as rebound from 1.1366 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 1.2004, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1760 to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.1618 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1478 support and below. However, sustained trading above 1.1760 will pave the way to retest 1.2004 high next.

In the bigger picture, 1.2004 is seen as a medium term top with bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. 1.2000 is also an important resistance level. Hence, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend for a while before completion. Hence, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0752; (P) 1.0771; (R1) 1.0789; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in range of 1.0737/0798 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.0737 will target 1.0658 support, to extend the consolidation pattern from 1.0915. On the upside, break of 1.0798 minor resistance will argue that the fall from 1.0890 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.0866 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1337; (P) 1.1353; (R1) 1.1365; More…

EUR/CHF is still staying in range of 1.1310/1444 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.1310 intact, further rise is in favor. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume whole rally from 1.1181 for 1.1501 key resistance next. However, break of 1.1310 will argue that the rebound from 1.1181 might be completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0255; (P) 1.0282; (R1) 1.0316; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. Outlook is unchanged that corrective rebound from 0.9970 should have completed with three waves up to 1.0513, after rejection by 1.0505 key resistance. Below 1.0228 will target 1.0086 support. Firm break there will bring retest of 0.9970 low. However, break of 1.0359 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger recovery back towards 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0857; (P) 1.0880; (R1) 1.0895; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 1.0832 in in progress. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside above 1.0928 will extend the recovery but upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0832 at 1.1078. On the downside, break of 1.0832 will resume larger down trend from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9845; (P) 0.9872; (R1) 0.9888; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832, to complete the corrective pattern from 1.0095. Break of 0.9923 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound towards 1.0067/0095 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0025) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1439; (P) 1.1467; (R1) 1.1483; More…

Despite breaching 1.1487 minor resistance, EUR/CHF fails to sustain above so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.1487 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is completed and bring retest of 1.1622. Meanwhile, below 1.1387 will extend the correction from 1.1622 to 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251). Strong support is expected there to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0001; (P) 1.0023; (R1) 1.0047; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation below 1.0095 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9953 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.0095 will resume the rise to 100% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9953 from 0.9720 at 1.0266 next.

In the bigger picture, break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 and 55 week EMA (now at 1.0041) is taken as an initial sign of long term bullish reversal. Further rally is expected as long as 55 days EMA (now at 0.9866) holds. Next target is 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). Reactions from there should reveal long term momentum.