EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral first and some more sideway trading could be seen. Further rise is expected with 1.1310 support intact. On the upside, firm break of 1.1444 resistance will resume the rebound from 1.1181 and target 1.1501 key resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 1.1310 will indicate completion of the rebound. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

In the long term picture, as long as key support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 holds, A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium to long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0874; (P) 1.0887; (R1) 1.0909; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains mildly on the upside with 1.0843 minor support intact. Current rise from 1.0694 would target 1.0985 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.0843 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations again first.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0859) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will bring retest of 1.1149 high instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1394; (P) 1.1465; (R1) 1.1519; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with today’s recovery. But still, a short term top should be formed at 1.1537 on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, after hitting a key projection level. More corrective trading and deeper fall is expected in near term. Below 1.1411 will target 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1365) and below. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0711; (P) 1.0723; (R1) 1.0745; More….

Further decline is expected in EUR/CHF with 1.0770 resistance intact. Sustained break of 1.0694 low will resume whole down trend from 1.1149. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0655. On the upside, though, break of 1.0770 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for rebound towards 1.0811 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Fall from 1.1149 (2021 high) is currently seen as the second leg of the patter from 1.0505 (2020 low) first. Hence, in case of deeper fall, we’d look for strong support from 1.0505 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.0505 will resume the long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Also, medium term outlook will now be neutral at best as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9744; (P) 0.9777; (R1) 0.9808; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for the moment and more consolidations could be seen below 0.9847. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9709 support holds. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 0.9709 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9603) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9370; (P) 0.9385; (R1) 0.9404; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as range trading continues inside 0.9359/9516. On the downside, firm break of 0.9359 will revive the case that choppy rise from 0.9204 is merely a correction and has completed. Deeper fall should then be seen back to retest 0.9204 low. However, firm break of 0.9516 and sustained trading above 0.9481 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication and extend the rise from 0.9204.

In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481 should confirm that whole fall from 0.9928 has completed at 0.9204. Further rally should then be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.9651 and above. However, another rejection by 0.9481 will keep outlook bearish for extending larger down trend through 0.9204 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0834; (P) 1.0853; (R1) 1.0868; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. We’d continue to expect strong support from 1.0791/0872 support zone, probably around 55 day EMA (now at 1.0830) to complete the correction from 1.0986. Break of 1.0902 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0986/0999. Overall, rise from 1.0629 is expected to resume later.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

EUR/CHF rose to as high as 1.1888 last week and finally resumed medium term up trend. As a temporary top is in place, initial bias is neutral this week first for some consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.1748 minor support to bring another rally. Above 1.1888 will target 1.2 handle, and then 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.1832 should now extend the medium term up trend through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. 2013 high at 1.2649 should be the next target. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1445 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9355; (P) 0.9377; (R1) 0.9417; More….

Sideway trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral. Corrective rebound from 0.9204 could still extend higher. But upside should be limited by 0.9481 fibonacci resistance. On the downside, firm break of 0.9329 support will argue that the correction has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9284 support first.

In the bigger picture, while corrective rebound from 0.9204 might extend higher, strong resistance could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481 to limit upside. Down trend from 0.9928 (2024 high) is still in favor to resume through 0.9204/9 support zone at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9328; (P) 0.9351; (R1) 0.9366; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first, with immediate focus on 0.9332 support. Firm break there will resume the fall from 0.9579 towards 0.9209, and argue that larger down trend might be ready to resume too. On the upside, though, break of 0.9506 will turn intraday bias to the upside for 0.9579 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.9928 is seen as part of the long term down trend. Repeated rejection by 55 D EMA (now at 0.9432) keeps outlook bearish for breaking through 0.9209 low at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 55 D EMA will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back towards 0.9928 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9591; (P) 0.9619; (R1) 0.9650; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the downside with break of 0.9601 support. Larger decline from 1.0095 is in progress for 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9670 from 0.9840 at 0.9515. On the upside, however, break of 0.9684 will indicate short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9889). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to extend through 0.9407 at a later stage. Nevertheless, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal.

EUR/CHF’s down trend continued last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, though, break of 1.0511 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1015) maintains long term bearishness. Down trend from 1.2004 is now in progress for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9480; (P) 0.9522; (R1) 0.9549; More….

EUR/CHF’s fall from 0.9928 resumed by breaking through 0.9476 support. Intraday bias is now on the downside. Further decline should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9928 to 0.94767 from 0.9772 at 0.9320. On the upside, break of 0.9605 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, with 1.0095 key medium term resistance intact, price actions from 0.9252 (2023 low) are seen as a corrective pattern. Fall from 0.9928 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress to retest 0.9252 low. But strong support should be seen there to extend the corrective pattern with another rising leg. In any case, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.0095 structural resistance holds.

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.1501 last week but dropped sharply since then. The development argues that corrective rise from 1.1173 has completed at 1.1501. Further decline is now expected this week as long as 1.1429 minor resistance holds. Deeper fall would be seen back to 1.1154/98 key support zone again. At this point, we’d still expect this key support zone to hold. On the upside, above 1.1429 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.1501 first. But still, break there is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1243) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.1348 last week but failed to take out 55 day EMA firmly and retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point first. We’re holding on to the view of short term bottoming at 1.1224, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Thus, current retreat should be contained well above 1.1224 low and further rally is favored. On the upside, break above 1.1348/1356 resistance zone will affirm this bullish view. Intraday bias will be turned back to term upside for retesting 1.1501 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0546; (P) 1.0564; (R1) 1.0578; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0523 and intraday bias remains neutral. Another rise cannot be ruled out but upside outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0710 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0523 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0710 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound would be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm of 1.0811 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0830; (P) 1.0846; (R1) 1.0868; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. But further fall is in favor with 1.0884 minor resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.0811 will resume the fall from 1.0936 to retest 1.0694 low. On the upside, break of 1.0884 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0936 again.

In the bigger picture, the stronger than expected rebound from 1.0694 and break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.0861) mixes up the medium term outlook. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0505 (2020 low). On the downside, break of 1.0694 will revive some medium term bearishness for 1.0505 and below.

Sideway trading continued in EUR/CHF last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first, and further rally is mildly in favor as long as 0.9306 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9428/45 resistance zone will resume the rebound from 0.9218. On the downside, break of 0.9306 will bring retest of 0.9218 low instead.

In the bigger picture, while downside momentum has been diminishing as seen in W MACD, there is no sign of bottoming yet. EUR/CHF is still staying below 55 W EMA and well inside long term falling channel. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9660 resistance holds. Break of 0.9204 (2024 low) will confirm resumption of down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high).

In the long term picture, overall long term down trend is still in progress in EUR/CHF. Outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 55 M EMA (now at 0.9901) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9418; (P) 0.9468; (R1) 0.9508; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9476 support turned resistance argues that stronger rebound is underway. Intraday bias is on the upside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.9600). On the downside, break of 0.9354 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9209 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term corrective pattern from 0.9407 (2022 low) might have completed with three waves to 0.9928. Decisive break of 0.9252 (2023 low) will confirm long term down trend resumption. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 0.9928 at 0.8851. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9928 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF’s decline last week suggests that recovery from 1.1260 has completed 1.1356 already. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 1.1260 support first. Break will resume the whole decline from 1.1501 and target 1.1173 low. On the upside, break of 1.1356 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will be mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.