Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9705; (P) 0.9721; (R1) 0.9729; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation continues below 0.9818. Another rally is expected as long 0.9689 support holds. On the upside, above 0.9818 will resume the rise from 0.9252 towards 1.0095 key resistance next. Nevertheless, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 0.9689 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.9581) instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9576) holds.

EUR/CHF’s pull backed from 0.9471 continued last week but lost momentum and turned sideway after hitting 0.9304. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. While another decline cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained above 0.9252 low to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.9363 minor resistance will argue that the correction has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9471 first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Firm break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of long term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0945; (P) 1.0957; (R1) 1.0964; More….

With 1.0912 minor support intact, rebound could be seen in EUR/CHF. But overall, outlook stays bearish as long as 1.1026 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0912 minor support will bring retest of 1.0863 low. Break there will resume whole fall from 1.1149. On the upside, break of 1.1026 will be the first sign of near term bullish reversal.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1077) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 support will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0879) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1581; (P) 1.1601; (R1) 1.1637; More….

EUR/CHF rises further to as high as 1.1627 so far today. But upside is limited below 1.1656 resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.1656 will resume the rebound from 1.1366 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But we would expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.1478 will turn bias to the downside for 1.1366 first. Break will resume the corrective fall from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, EUR/CHF was solidly rejected by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9820; (P) 0.9846; (R1) 0.9881; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as corrective pattern form 0.9953 is still extending. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9970 support turned resistance retains medium term bearishness. That is, while 0.9407 is a medium term bottom, price actions from there would develope into a corrective pattern rather than a reversal. Down trend resumption through 0.9407 is mildly favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9251; (P) 0.9296; (R1) 0.9318; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 0.9252 could extend further. Outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9402 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9252 will resume larger down trend. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9104 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9530; (P) 0.9556; (R1) 0.9571; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. With 0.9501 resistance intact, larger down trend is still in favor to continue. On the downside, break of 0.9513 support will confirm this bearish case and target 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, break of 0.9601 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.9646 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9839). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1861; (P) 1.1873; (R1) 1.1892; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally resumed after brief consolidation and reaches as high as 1.1894 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.2 handle. Break there will extend the medium term up trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188. On the downside, below 1.1847 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation, below staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.1832 should now extend the medium term up trend through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. 2013 high at 1.2649 should be the next target. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1445 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1846; (P) 1.1903; (R1) 1.1940; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1888 support indicates short term topping at 1.2004, after rejection by 1.2 handle. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for pull back to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1816). For now, such decline is seen as correcting the rise from 1.1445 only. Hence, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1790 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.2004 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective trading in near term.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Break of 1.1445 will be an indicate of medium term reversal and will turn outlook bearish.

EUR/CHF extended the consolidation from 0.9691 last week and outlook is basically unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 0.9691 will resume whole rise from 0.9513 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9513 at 0.9735. However, firm break of 0.9611 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9513 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9793). That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) could still resume through 0.9407 (2022 low). However, sustained trading above the 55 W EMA will raise the chance that 0.9470 is already a long term bottom. Further rise would then be seen to 1.0095 resistance to indicate bullish trend reversal.

In the long term picture, outlook remains bearish as it’s staying well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0368). Break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bottoming, or the multi-decade down trend is expected to continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9121; (P) 0.9455; (R1) 0.9639; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for consolidation above 0.9252. While stronger recovery might be seen, further decline is expected as long as 0.9402 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9252 will resume larger down trend. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9104 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1948; (P) 1.1976; (R1) 1.2004; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral with focus on 1.2 key resistance. Further rally is expected as long as 1.1888 minor support holds. Firm break of 1.2 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188. However, consider bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1888 will indicate short term topping. In that case, deeper pull back would be seen back to 1.1445/1832 support zone.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2003 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9715; (P) 0.9739; (R1) 0.9758; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation above 0.9697 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. While further fall cannot be ruled out, some support might be seen from 0.9650 long term projection level to bring rebound. Break of 0.9948 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. nevertheless, firm break of 0.9650 will target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9621; (P) 0.9633; (R1) 0.9646; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the upside as rebound form 0.9416 resumes. Further rise should be seen to 0.9691 resistance. Firm break there will argue that whole decline from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Nevertheless, break of 0.9595 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0095 (2023 high) might have completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Sustained break of 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9836 and above. However, rejection by 0.9691 will maintain medium term bearishness for another test on 0.9407 at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9642; (P) 0.9657; (R1) 0.9680; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as recovery from 0.9530 extends. But outlook remains bearish with 0.9864 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9530 will extend larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0512 to 0.9550 from 0.9864 at 0.9269.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9864 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9418; (P) 0.9430; (R1) 0.9446; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally extends today, and it’s now pressing 0.9471 resistance. Intraday bias stays on the upside. Firm break of 0.9471 will confirm resumption of whole rebound from 0.9252. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9523. On the downside, below 0.9428 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1205; (P) 1.1223; (R1) 1.1237; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and corrective recovery from 1.1162 might extend. But still, as long as 1.1256 minor resistance holds, near term outlook remains bearish and further decline is expected. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1154 key fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole downtrend from 1.2004. That should then pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1444 at 1.0930. However, break of 1.1256 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.1310 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1331; (P) 1.1343; (R1) 1.1364; More….

EUR/CHF’s rise from 1.1162 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.1384 resistance. Break will target 1.1444 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.1281 minor support will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1162 low.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds. However, decisive break of 1.1444 will indicate completion of fall from 1.2004 and turn medium term outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9284; (P) 0.9308; (R1) 0.9328; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9252 is extending. While another recovery cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9402 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9252 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9104 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9831; (P) 0.9852; (R1) 0.9869; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as consolidation from 0.9953 is extending. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom will be treated as a corrective pattern. That is, long term down trend would resume through this low at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0072 will also have 55 week EMA (now at 1.0053) taken out. That would be an initial sign of long term bullish reversal.