Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9627; (P) 0.9638; (R1) 0.9661; More…

Further rally is expected in EUR/CHF as long as 0.9564 minor support holds. Current rebound from 0.9416 should target 0.9691 resistance first. Firm break there will argue that whole decline from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Further rally would be seen to 0.9840 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0095 resistance holds, price actions from 0.9407 are viewed as a three-wave consolidation pattern first. Current rise from 0.9416 might be the third leg. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) might still resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 will argue that the long term down trend is reversing.

EUR/CHF surged to as high as 1.0725 last week but formed a temporary top there and retreated. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the upside, sustained break of 1.0710 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1059 to 1.0503 at 1.0715) will extend the rally to 1.0811 key resistance next. However, on the downside, break of 1.0578 minor support will bring retest of 1.0503 low instead.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) remains intact despite the current rebound. As long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, outlook stays bearish for another decline through 1.0503 low. However, firm break of 1.0811 should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.0503. Stronger rise should be seen back to 1.1059 resistance and above.

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1452 resistance last week affirms the case of bullish trend reversal after being support from 1.1154/98 zone. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 1.1713 resistance for confirmation. Break there will target a test on 1.2004 high next. Meanwhile, note that upside momentum is not to convincing so far. Break of 1.1360 minor support will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1154/98 zone again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0364; (P) 1.0379; (R1) 1.0389; More….

Breach of 1.0365 suggests resumption of down trend from 1.1149. Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the downside for 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, however, break of 1.0432 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0465 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0923; (P) 1.0950; (R1) 1.0964; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment, and outlook is unchanged. As long as 1.0915 cluster support (38.2% retracement 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0903) holds, we’d still treat the price actions from 1.1149 as a correction. Break of 1.1026 resistance would argue that larger up trend is resuming. However, sustained break of 1.0903/15 will suggest bearish reversal, or at least bring deeper fall to next cluster support zone at 1.0737 support zone (61.8% retracement at 1.0751).

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1365; (P) 1.1387; (R1) 1.1418; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is neutral for consolidation above 1.1343. Another fall is expected as long as 1.1429 minor resistance holds. Corrective corrective rise from 1.1173 could have completed at 1.1501 already. Below 1.1343 will target 1.1154/98 key support zone again. At this point, we’d still expect this key support zone to hold. On the upside, above 1.1429 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.1501 first. But still, break there is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1243) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9896; (P) 0.9916; (R1) 0.9951; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as consolidation from 0.9953 is extending. Another fall cannot be ruled out, but downside should be contained by 0.9798 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9953 will resume the rise from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9407. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9641 support holds, even as a corrective rebound. Next target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. Reaction from there, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0121) will reveal whether the trend is reversing.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1436; (P) 1.1468; (R1) 1.1487; More… .

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1537 is still in progress. Another fall could be seen. But in that case, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1537 resistance will confirm resumption of larger rally from 1.0629. In that case, EUR/CHF should target 1.2 key resistance level next.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9722; (P) 0.9741; (R1) 0.9780; More…

The strong break of 55 4H EMA suggest that EUR/CHF’s pull back from 0.9847 has completed at 0.9563 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 0.9847 high. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 0.9252. On the downside, below 0.9708 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, while 55 D EMA (now at 0.9655) was breached, EUR/CHF rebounded strongly since then. Rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom should still be in progress. Break of 0.9847 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. however, sustained trading below 55 D EMA will argue that the rebound has completed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0232; (P) 1.0275; (R1) 1.0317; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further fall is expected with 1.0359 resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.0228 will reaffirm the case that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed at 1.0513. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0086 support next. However, above 1.0359 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger recovery back towards 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9584; (P) 0.9633; (R1) 0.9663; More….

EUR/CHF drops notably today but stays above 0.9530 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Also, outlook remains bearish with 0.9864 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9530 will extend larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0512 to 0.9550 from 0.9864 at 0.9269.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9864 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0738; (P) 1.0769; (R1) 1.0798; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.0721 support intact, further rise remains in favor. On the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound form 1.0602 and target 1.0915 high. On the downside, break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF dipped to 1.1387 last week then recovered. Overall outlook is unchanged that price actions from 1.1622 are developing into a correction. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Below 1.1387 will target 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251). Strong support is expected there to contain downside and bring rebound. Above 1.1497 will extend the recovery. But break of 1.1622 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, the consolidation should continue with risk of at least another fall.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF continued to gyrate in range last week as consolidation from 1.1149 extended. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Deeper decline might be seen but downside should be contained by 1.0954 to bring rebound, and then rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1116 will argue that larger rise from 1.0504 is ready to resume through 1.1149 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Despite diminishing downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD, EUR/CHF dropped further to as low as 1.1163 last week. Break of 1.1173 low should indicate resumption of medium term decline from 1.2555. But decisive break of 1.1154 fibonacci level is needed to confirm. But in any case, further decline is expected this week as long as 1.1256 resistance holds, even in case of recovery. Firm break of 1.1154 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1444 at 1.0930.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, the current development argues that long term up trend has completed at 1.2004 after rejection of 1.2 key resistance. Sustained break of 1.1198 support will confirm this bearish case and target 1.0629 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9999; (P) 1.0014; (R1) 1.0038; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, break of 0.9952 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0095 with another leg, back towards 0.9873 support. On the upside, firm break of 1.0095 will resume whole rally from 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9517; (P) 0.9538; (R1) 0.9548; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral again with current retreat. Considering loss of momentum as seen in 4H MACD, in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 0.9574 fibonacci resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9466 support will argue that rebound from 0.9252 has completed as a three-wave correction. Outlook will be turned bearish for retesting 0.9252/9304 support zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574 and possibly above. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0645; (P) 1.0664; (R1) 1.0690; More…

Despite dipping to 1.0631, EUR/CHF quickly recovered and intraday bias is turned neutral again. Deeper fall is still in favor as long as 1.0706 resistance holds. Below 1.0631 will target 1.0620 key support level. Decisive break of 1.0620 will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.1198. In that case, next downside target will be 1.0485 fibonacci level. On the upside, break of 1.0706 minor resistance will raise the chance of medium term reversal and turn focus back to 1.0749 and then 1.0897 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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EUR/CHF’s decline extended to as low as 1.1171 last week and it’s now at a critical juncture. We’d still look for strong support from 1.1162 to contain downside to bring near term reversal. On the upside, break of 1.1278 resistance will suggests that fall from 1.1476 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 1.1162 could carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing fall from 1.2004 as a corrective pattern. And downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. However, sustained break of 1.1154 will confirm resumption of decline from 1.2004. More importantly, this will argue that fall from 1.2004 is itself a long term down trend. Next target will be 1.0629 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9708; (P) 0.9733; (R1) 0.9753; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective rise from 0.9550 might extend higher. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.0512 to 0.9550 at 0.9917 to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.9696 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9550 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.