EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0540; (P) 1.0576; (R1) 1.0600; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat and some consolidations would be seen. But further rally is expected as long as 1.0439 support holds. A medium term bottom should be in place at 1.0298 already. Above 1.0602 will target 28.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 1.0298 at 1.0623 first. Sustained trading above there will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0824 next. However, break of 1.0439 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.0298 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that a medium term bottom is formed at 1.0298 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rebound from there is still tentatively viewed part of a corrective pattern. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018) could still extend through 1.0298 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0673) will argue that the down trend is over, and bring stronger rise back to 1.1149 next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0284; (P) 1.0317; (R1) 1.0348; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective rebound from 0.9970 should have completed with three waves up to 1.0513, after rejection by 1.0505 key resistance. Below 1.0228 will target 1.0086 support. Firm break there will bring retest of 0.9970 low. However, break of 1.0359 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger recovery back towards 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9744; (P) 0.9767; (R1) 0.9784; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral as it continued to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 H MACD. Risk stays on the upside as long a s0.9670 support holds. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9778) will add to case that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed, after hitting 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Further rise should then be seen to 0.9878 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9929). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not complete yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0581; (P) 1.0607; (R1) 1.0629; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Rebound from 1.0504 is extended to extend higher. Break of 1.0662 will target 1.0710 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1059 to 1.0503 at 1.0715). However, break of 1.0578 minor support will bring retest of 1.0503 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, we’d still expect larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) to extend lower to parity. However, Firm break of 1.0811 should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.0503. Stronger rise should be seen back to 1.1059 resistance and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9725; (P) 0.9744; (R1) 0.9759; More

Outlook in EUR/CHF remains unchanged. Choppy decline from 0.9995 might extend lower. But strong support should be seen from 0.9704 to bring rebound. Break of 0.9847 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the downside. However, firm break of 0.9704 will resume the whole decline from 1.0095 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9963). Down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1336; (P) 1.1355; (R1) 1.1370; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from1.1444 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected with 1.1310 support intact. On the upside, firm break of 1.1444 resistance will resume the rebound from 1.1181 and target 1.1501 key resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 1.1310 will indicate completion of the rebound. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0616; (P) 1.0657; (R1) 1.0684; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point and further decline is in favor. On the downside, break of 1.0623 will resume the decline from 1.0915 to retest 1.0503 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0711 will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1299; (P) 1.1316; (R1) 1.1347; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Current development suggests that fall from 1.1444 has completed at 1.1162 already. Further rise should be seen to 1.1384 resistance first. Break will target 1.1444 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.1254 will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1162 low.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds. However, decisive break of 1.1444 will indicate completion of fall from 1.2004 and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1622; (P) 1.1643; (R1) 1.1676; More…

EUR/CHF recovered after dipping to 1.1559 but it still staying in range below 1.1709 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Overall, near term outlook remains bullish as long as 1.1483 support holds. Break of 1.1709 will extend the medium term up trend towards 1.2 key level. However, break of 1.1483 will be an early sign of reversal. In that case, deeper decline should be seen back to 1.1355 support.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1067) and possibly below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0693; (P) 1.0709; (R1) 1.0731; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.0734 resistance holds, deeper decline is expected in the cross. Below 1.0668 will target 1.0620/29 key support zone. Decisive break there will resume the larger fall from 1.1198. Nonetheless, break of 1.0734 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0823 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s not completed yet. sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. In any case, break of 1.0823 resistance is needed to be the first indication of reversal. Otherwise, deeper fall is still expected even in case of recovery.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0423; (P) 1.0458; (R1) 1.0485; More….

A temporary top was formed at 1.0513, just ahead of 100% projection of 0.9970 to 1.0086 from 1.0400 at 1.0516. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. For now, further rise is still in favor as long as 1.0369 resistance turned support holds. Sustained break of 1.0505 long term resistance will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 161.8% projection at 1.0782. However, break of 1.0369 will indicate rejection by 1.0505 and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0186 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0327; (P) 1.0360; (R1) 1.0411; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0349 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 1.0513 has completed at 1.0216 already. More importantly, the development indicates that whole rebound from 0.9970 is still in progress. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.0513 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.0306 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0920; (P) 1.0933; (R1) 1.0944; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point, and outlook is unchanged. Rebound from 1.0863 could have completed at 1.0985, after rejection by medium term channel resistance. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0863 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 1.1149 to 1.0737 cluster support zone. On the upside, above 1.0944 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0985 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1074) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0885) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1950; (P) 1.1970; (R1) 1.1991; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2004 temporary top extends. Further rise is expected, though, as long as 1.1888 minor support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 1.2 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1888 will indicate short term topping. In that case, deeper pull back would be seen back to 1.1445/1832 support zone.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2003 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF rebounded after retreating to 0.9641 last week, but upside stays below 0.9798 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.9798 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9798 from 0.9641 at 0.9883. Decisive break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming and target 100% projection at 1.0032. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9641 support holds.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish condition in daily MACD, firm break of 0.9864 resistance will confirm medium term bottoming at 0.9407. Stronger rally should then be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0138), even as a corrective rebound. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9864 will bring down trend resumption through 0.9407 next.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). In case of resumption, next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9689; (P) 0.9703; (R1) 0.9723; More

EUR/CHF recovers today but stays in range below 0.9760. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 0.9760 resistance should confirm short term bottoming, after drawing support from 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9878 resistance next. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9670 will extend the whole decline from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9929). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not complete yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1424; (P) 1.1462; (R1) 1.1486; More…

EUR/CHF’s correction from 1.1537 short term accelerates to as low as 1.1330 on break of 1.1411. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 1.1267 to bring rebound. But break of 1.1537 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, more consolidative trading would be seen. Meanwhile, firm break of 1.1267 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1100.

In the bigger picture, firm break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9795; (P) 0.9813; (R1) 0.9835; More….

Upside momentum is a bit weak, but intraday bias stays on the upside in EUR/CHF. Current rise from 0.9407 should target 61.8% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9798 from 0.9641 at 0.9883. Decisive break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming and target 100% projection at 1.0032. On the downside, below 0.9740 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish condition in daily MACD, firm break of 0.9864 resistance will confirm medium term bottoming at 0.9407. Stronger rally should then be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0138), even as a corrective rebound. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9864 will bring down trend resumption through 0.9407 next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0230; (P) 1.0296; (R1) 1.0361; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Corrective rebound from 0.9970 could have complete at 1.0513, after rejection by 1.0505 resistance. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0186 support first. Break will target 1.0086 and below. On the upside, above 1.0359 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0513 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF stays in range of 1.0683/0823 last week and outlook is unchanged. With 1.0683 minor support intact, we’d slightly favoring the case of trend reversal on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. But such view is dampened by prior rejection from the falling 55 week EMA.

EUR/CHF 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral this week first. Further rise is expected as long as 1.0683 minor support holds. Above 1.0761 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.0823 resistance first. Break will re-affirm the case of trend reversal and target 1.0897 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.0683 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0620 key support level again.

EUR/CHF Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.

EUR/CHF Weekly Chart

EUR/CHF Monthly Chart