EUR/CHF’s recovery was capped by 0.9953 minor resistance last week, but stayed above 0.9804 low. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further fall is expected. On the downside, break of 0.9804 will resume larger down trend. Next target is 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, however, break of 0.9953 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0097).

In the bigger picture,long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0808).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1644; (P) 1.1668; (R1) 1.1711; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. As noted before, persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and rising wedge like structure suggests that the cross is near to forming a top, if not formed. Hence, even in case of another rise, we’d expect limited upside potential. On the downside, sustained break of 1.1584 support will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1195 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1195 is firmly taken out.

EUR/CHF edged lower to 1.0925 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. We continue view price actions from 1.1149 as a consolidation pattern. On the upside, break of 1.1073 resistance will argue that larger rise from 1.0503 is ready to resume through 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0915 resistance turned support will suggest bearish reversal and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0237; (P) 1.0264; (R1) 1.0301; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0289 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 1.0369 has completed. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0369/0400 resistance zone. Firm break there will resume the rebound from 0.9970 to 1.0610 structural resistance. On the downside,e below 1.0186 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0400 with deeper fall back to 1.0086 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0674; (P) 1.0697; (R1) 1.0711; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in range above 1.0661 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.0747 resistance holds. Fall from 1.0877 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0915. Break of 1.0661 will target 1.0602 support next. However, firm break of 1.0747 should confirm short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn intraday bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0935; (P) 1.0949; (R1) 1.0964; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. We continue to view price actions from 1.1149 as a consolidation pattern. On the upside, break of 1.1073 resistance will argue that larger rise from 1.0503 is ready to resume through 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0915 resistance turned support will suggest bearish reversal and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9807; (P) 0.9846; (R1) 0.9884; More….

EUR/CHF is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further decline is still in favor with 0.9953 minor resistance intact. Current down trend should target 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, above 0.9953 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for stronger rebound first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA affirmed medium term bearishness. Long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0731; (P) 1.0762; (R1) 1.0778; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in range below 1.0838 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.0712 support intact, further rise is expected. On the upside, above 1.0838 will target 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume whole rally from 1.0503 to 1.0503 to 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, break of 1.0712 support will dampen our bullish view. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0602, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0915 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9765; (P) 0.9797; (R1) 0.9813; More…

Despite a breach of 0.9774, EUR/CHF quickly recovered. While fall from 0.9995 could extend lower, downside should be contained well above 0.9704. Outlook is unchanged that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Break of 0.9878, and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9869) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9972) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0691; (P) 1.0709; (R1) 1.0728; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0065 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook is unchanged that further fall could be seen. But strong support is expected at 1.0629, which is close to 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.0788 will confirm short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn bias to the upside.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and sustained break will put parity back into focus. On the upside, break of 1.1059 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0141; (P) 1.0169; (R1) 1.0193; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook and further fall is in favor with 1.0242 minor resistance intact. Rebound from 0.9770 could have completed at 1.0400 already, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9970 at 1.0420. Further fall would be seen back to retest 0.9970 low. However, break of 1.0242 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0400 resistance again.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0767; (P) 1.0792; (R1) 1.0821; More…

Sideway trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected with 1.0721 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0877 resistance will extend the rebound from 1.0602 for retesting 1.0915 high. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9786; (P) 0.9799; (R1) 0.9819; More…

EUR/CHF continues to lose downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. But still deeper decline is expected with 0.9846 resistance holds. The cross is extending the correction from 1.0095, and further fall would be seen to 0.9704 and below. On the upside, however, break of 0.9846 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1429; (P) 1.1456; (R1) 1.1474; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 1.1491 temporary top. Another rise is expected with 1.1368 minor support intact. We’re holding on to the view on bullish trend reversal after EUR/CHF drew support from 1.1154/98 zone. On the upside, above 1.1491 will target 1.1713 resistance for confirmation. Break there will target a test on 1.2004 high next. Meanwhile, note that upside momentum is not to convincing so far. Break of 1.1368 minor support will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1154/98 zone again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF’s decline last week argues that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed with waves up to 1.0513, after rejection by 1.0505 key resistance. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 1.0186 support first. Break there will target 1.0086 next. On the upside, above 1.0359 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 1.0513 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0876).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1261; (P) 1.1293; (R1) 1.1310; More…

EUR/CHF’s decline from 1.1501 turns out to be deeper than expected. The break of 61.8% retracement of 1.1173 to 1.1501 at 1.1298 argue that whole rebound from 1.1173 might have completed already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.1173 low. On the upside, break of 1.1356 resistance is now needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will be mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1240) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0999; (P) 1.1025; (R1) 1.1048; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Consolidation pattern from 1.1149 could extend further. But in case of another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from 1.0954 to bring rebound, and then rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1116 will argue that larger rise from 1.0504 is ready to resume through 1.1149 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1035; (P) 1.1062; (R1) 1.1078; More….

Outlook in EUR/CHF remains unchanged as consolidation from 1.1149 is still in progress. Deeper fall could be seen, but downside should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume the rise from 1.0504 and target 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0772; (P) 1.0788; (R1) 1.0821; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first with focus on 1.0802 support turned resistance. Rejection by this resistance will maintain near term bearishness. Break of 1.0715 will resume larger fall from 1.1149 to retest 1.0505 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.0802 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0856).

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.1149 resistance holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0707; (P) 1.0721; (R1) 1.0737; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for consolidation above 1.0688 temporary low. Outlook is unchanged that fall from 1.0877 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern fro 1.0915. Current recovery should be limited by 1.0749 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, below 1.0688 temporary low will target 1.0602 support next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0749 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.