Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1284; (P) 1.1328; (R1) 1.1353; More…

EUR/CHF’s fall from 1.1452 continues today and reaches as low as 1.1269 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.1242 low first. Break will bring a test on key support zone at 1.1154/98. On the upside, above 1.1343 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. In that case, more range trading would likely be seen above 1.1242 in the near term.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1189) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF dropped to as low as 1.0735 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Current development argues that consolidation pattern from 1.0915 is extending with another falling leg. Further fall is in favor as long as 1.0799 minor resistance holds. Below 1.0735 will target 1.0661 support. On the upside, however, firm break of 1.0799 will bring retest of 1.0871 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0265; (P) 1.0290; (R1) 1.0325; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains mildly on the upside for for 1.0369/0400 resistance zone. Firm break there will resume the rebound from 0.9970 to 1.0610 structural resistance. On the downside, below 1.0186 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0400 with deeper fall back to 1.0086 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0746; (P) 1.0766; (R1) 1.0779; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first and outlook is unchanged. Further rise expected as long as 1.0721 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound from 1.0602 and target at test on 1.0915 high. On the downside, break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0714; (P) 1.0726; (R1) 1.0739; More…

No change in EUR/CHF"s outlook as it’s staying in recent range. Intraday bias stays neutral. The corrective price actions and its stay below falling 55 days EMA affirmed near term bearishness. Break of 1.0677 will extend recent decline to 1.0620 key support level. On the upside, above 1.0762 will turn focus back to 1.0897 resistance. But decisive break there is needed to confirm trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish for another fall later.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 could be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. Meanwhile, break of 1.0897 resistance will argue that the larger up trend is finally resuming for above 1.1198.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1561; (P) 1.1623; (R1) 1.1658; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.1832 is seen as correcting rise from 1.0629. Deeper fall should be seen to 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372. On the upside, above 1.1684 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1832 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, a medium term should be in place at 1.1832. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9930; (P) 0.9956; (R1) 0.9986; More…

EUR/CHF edged higher to 0.9995 earlier today but quickly retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook is unchanged that corrective decline from 1.0095 should have completed at 0.9704. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.9856 minor support holds. Above 0.9995 will target 1.0040 and then 1.0095. However, firm break of 0.9856 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9724; (P) 0.9733; (R1) 0.9746; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. Choppy decline from 0.9995 might extend lower. But strong support should be seen from 0.9704 to bring rebound. Break of 0.9847 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the downside. However, firm break of 0.9704 will resume the whole decline from 1.0095 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9963). Down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF stayed in range last week and despite, a steep dip to 1.1519, no follow through selling was seen. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Near term outlook is unchanged that the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend with at least one more decline. One the downside, break of 1.1505 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.1366 low first. Above 1.1656 will extend the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But, we’ll we’ll look for reversal signal above 1.1760.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0662; (P) 1.0686; (R1) 1.0701; More…

EUR/CHF surges sharply to as high as 1.0815 and the development argues that whole rise from 1.0629 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0823 resistance first. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and will target 1.0897 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.0718 support is needed to indicate short term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Current strong rebound is raising the chance that it’s completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0823 resistance will affirm this bullish case. Further break of 1.0999 will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0652 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9762; (P) 0.9785; (R1) 0.9828; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the upside as rise from 0.9407 is resuming. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9798 from 0.9641 at 0.9883. Decisive break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming and target 100% projection at 1.0032. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9641 support holds.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish condition in daily MACD, firm break of 0.9864 resistance will confirm medium term bottoming at 0.9407. Stronger rally should then be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0138), even as a corrective rebound. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9864 will bring down trend resumption through 0.9407 next.

EUR/CHF’s rebounded from 1.0324 short term bottom extended to 1.0510 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Another rise cannot be ruled out yet. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.0936 to 1.0324 at 1.0558. On the downside, firm break of 1.0423 will bring retest of 1.0324 low. Break there will resume larger down trend from 1.1149.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.0967) maintains long term bearishness. Down trend from 1.2004 is now in progress for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9796; (P) 0.9817; (R1) 0.9830; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9847 is extending. Near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9709 support holds. Break of 0.9847 will resume larger rise from 0.9252. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 0.9709 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9603) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0923; (P) 1.0950; (R1) 1.0964; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment, and outlook is unchanged. As long as 1.0915 cluster support (38.2% retracement 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0903) holds, we’d still treat the price actions from 1.1149 as a correction. Break of 1.1026 resistance would argue that larger up trend is resuming. However, sustained break of 1.0903/15 will suggest bearish reversal, or at least bring deeper fall to next cluster support zone at 1.0737 support zone (61.8% retracement at 1.0751).

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1673; (P) 1.1696; (R1) 1.1738; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as it’s still bounded in range below 1.1736. We continue to believe that the cross is close to topping, if not formed. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1597 support will a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313. However, strong break of 1.1736 will resume medium term up trend from 1.0629 instead.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

EUR/CHF rebounded strongly last week after hitting 100% projection of 1.0936 to 1.0298 from 1.0610 at 0.9972. But upside is limited by 1.0298 support turned resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further decline remains in favor. On the downside, below 1.0131 minor support will bring retest of 0.9970 low first. On the upside, however, sustained break of 1.0298 will bring stronger rebound towards 1.0610 structural resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650. In any case, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0909).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1015; (P) 1.1029; (R1) 1.1049; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s as consolidation from 1.1149 is extending. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out, but we’d expect strong support from 1.0954 to bring rebound, and then rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1116 will argue that larger rise from 1.0504 is ready to resume through 1.1149 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0842; (P) 1.0874; (R1) 1.0892; More….

EUR/CHF retreated quickly after edging higher to 1.0902 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, break of 1.0902 will resume the rise from 1.0694 to 1.0985 resistance next. However, on the downside, break of 1.0833 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0694 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0858) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will bring retest of 1.1149 high instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9479; (P) 0.9597; (R1) 0.9727; More….

Despite edging higher to 0.9712, EUR/CHF quickly retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.94680 will bring stronger rise back to 0.9864 resistance. But overall, outlook will stays bearish as long as 0.9864 resistance holds. On the downside, below 0.9464 will resume larger down trend.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9864 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF’s decline from 1.0936 resumed last week and intraday bias stays on the downside this week for retesting 1.0694 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 1.1149. On the upside, above 1.0860 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0936 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains mixed as EUR/CHF is still failing to get rid of 55 week EMA cleanly. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0505 (2020 low). On the downside, break of 1.0694 will revive some medium term bearishness for 1.0505 and below.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1039) retains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223.