Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9605; (P) 0.9627; (R1) 0.9640; More…

EUR/CHF’s is resuming recent decline by breaking through 0.9606. Intraday bias is back on the downside. The fall from 1.0095 would target 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9670 from 0.9840 at 0.9515. On the upside, break of 0.9684 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9913). Down trend form 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to extend through 0.9407 at a later stage. Nevertheless, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9930; (P) 0.9956; (R1) 0.9986; More…

EUR/CHF edged higher to 0.9995 earlier today but quickly retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook is unchanged that corrective decline from 1.0095 should have completed at 0.9704. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.9856 minor support holds. Above 0.9995 will target 1.0040 and then 1.0095. However, firm break of 0.9856 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9708; (P) 0.9733; (R1) 0.9753; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective rise from 0.9550 might extend higher. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.0512 to 0.9550 at 0.9917 to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.9696 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9550 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0761; (P) 1.0775; (R1) 1.0804; More…

EUR/CHF’s rise from 1.0602 resumes through 1.0849 resistance and hits as high as 1.0876 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0915 resistance first. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.0503 to 1.1059 cluster resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0721 support is needed to confirm completion of the rally. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 1.0503 as forming a consolidation pattern for the moment. As long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, down from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1035; (P) 1.1062; (R1) 1.1078; More….

Outlook in EUR/CHF remains unchanged as consolidation from 1.1149 is still in progress. Deeper fall could be seen, but downside should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume the rise from 1.0504 and target 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0800; (P) 1.0862; (R1) 1.0899; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current choppy decline from 1.1149 has just resumed and should target 1.0737 cluster support zone. On the upside, break of 1.0864 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0985 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1074) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0885) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.

EUR/CHF stayed in range below 1.0877 resistance last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and further rise is in favor with 1.0790 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.088 resistance should confirm that consolidation pattern from 1.0915 has completed at 1.0661. Further rise should be seen to 1.0915 and above. However, on the downside, break of 1.0790 will extend the consolidation with another falling leg, back towards 1.0661 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1381; (P) 1.1395; (R1) 1.1416; More…

A temporary top is in place at 1.1418 and intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first. Another rise is expected as long as 1.1329 minor support holds. Above 1.1418 will target 1.1489 support turned resistance. Decisive break will add to the case of trend reversal ahead of key support zone between 1.1154/98. On the downside, below 1.1329 minor support, however, will suggests completion of the rebound. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1242 low. And focus will be back on 1.1154/98 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF rose to as high as 1.1888 last week and finally resumed medium term up trend. As a temporary top is in place, initial bias is neutral this week first for some consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.1748 minor support to bring another rally. Above 1.1888 will target 1.2 handle, and then 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.1832 should now extend the medium term up trend through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. 2013 high at 1.2649 should be the next target. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1445 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9956; (P) 0.9994; (R1) 1.0034; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 1.0095 would extend further, and deeper fall to 0.9873 cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832 to bring rebound. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0067 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9429; (P) 0.9467; (R1) 0.9497; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside for retesting 0.9407/16 support zone. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, touching 0.9504 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) maintains medium term bearishness in EUR/CHF. Firm break of 0.9047 support (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9683 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0944; (P) 1.0960; (R1) 1.0971; More….

Further rebound could still be seen in EUR/CHF. But overall, outlook stays bearish as long as 1.1026 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0930 minor support will bring retest of 1.0863 low. Break there will resume whole fall from 1.1149. On the upside, break of 1.1026 will be the first sign of near term bullish reversal.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1077) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 support will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0879) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0980; (P) 1.1006; (R1) 1.1049; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation form 1.1096 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 1.1096 will target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0915 will argue that the rebound might be completed, and bring deeper fall back to 1.0737 support.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076). Sustained break there will argue that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting an up trend. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above. Though, rejection by 1.1059/76 will remain medium term bearishness first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1250; (P) 1.1275; (R1) 1.1308; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, a short term bottom is likely in pace. On the upside, break of 1.1301 minor resistance will target 1.1356 resistance first. Decisive break there should confirm near term reversal. In that case, further rally should be seen back to 1.1501 resistance. However, on the downside, below 1.1224 will invalidate this bullish case and extend the fall to 1.1173 low instead. But still, we’d expect strong support inside 1.1154/98 key support zone to bring reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1357; (P) 1.1388; (R1) 1.1411; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 1.1537 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 1.1537 resistance will confirm resumption of larger rally from 1.0629. In that case, EUR/CHF should target 1.2 key resistance level next. On the downside, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 will extend the correction to 61.8% retracement at 1.1100 before completion.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0776; (P) 1.0796; (R1) 1.0815; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.0890 would target 1.0737 support. Break there will extend the sideway pattern from 1.0915 with another falling leg, towards 1.0661 support. For now, deeper decline will remain in favor as long as 1.0866 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0608; (P) 1.0635; (R1) 1.0652; More…

Further decline in EUR/CHF is still expected as long as 1.0698 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.0915 should target a test on 1.0503 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0698 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0992; (P) 1.1008; (R1) 1.1026; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in tight range above 1.0964 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Price actions form 1.0811 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. Upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, break of 1.0964 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0811 low. However, sustained break of 1.1062/5 will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0548; (P) 1.0575; (R1) 1.0602; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in corrective pattern from 1.0503. Stronger rebound might be seen through 1.0611. But upside should be limited by 1.0653 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

EUR/CHF was still bounded in sideway trading between 1.0974/1059 last week. Outlook remains unchanged and initial bias remains neutral this week first. Price actions from 1.0811 are viewed as a consolidative pattern. Upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, break of 1.0974 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0811 low. However, sustained break of 1.1062/5 will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.