Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9699; (P) 0.9717; (R1) 0.9733; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Strong support should still be seen around 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670 to complete the whole corrective pattern from 1.0095. On the upside, firm break of 0.9760 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9878 resistance next. However, sustained break of 0.9670 will pave the way back to 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9963). Down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF rebounded to 0.9878 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for consolidations first. A short term bottoming should be in place at 0.9774 on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Hence, risk will stay on the upside as long as 0.9774 holds. Also, the development revived the case that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Break of 0.9878, and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9875) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0566) and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9563; (P) 0.9578; (R1) 0.9607; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral. As long as 0.9600 resistance holds, downside breakout is in favor. Firm break of 0.9513 will resume larger fall from 1.0095 to 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, on the upside, sustained break of 0.9066 resistance will indicate that strong rebound is underway, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9840 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9818). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9554; (P) 0.9576; (R1) 0.9616; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as sideway trading continues. On the upside, break of 0.9647 will resume the rebound from 0.9520. Further sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 0.9520 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9849). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF’s rise from 0.9704 extended higher to 0.9995 last week but retreated sharply since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Another rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 0.9837 minor support holds. Break of 0.9995 will affirm the case that correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Further rally should be seen through 1.0040 to retest 1.0095 high. However, firm break of 0.9837 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.1002) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 month EMA and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

EUR/CHF gyrated lower last week as correction from 1.1149 extended. Outlook is unchanged and initial bias stays neutral first. Downside of pull back should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume the rise from 1.0504 and target 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1470; (P) 1.1521; (R1) 1.1579; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1366 is still in progress. Further recovery could be seen. But we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1610 to bring another decline. Below 1.1366 will resume the fall from 1.2004 and target next key support zone between 1.1154 and 1.1198.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. The cross has met 1.1445 already, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 1.1445 will target next key cluster level at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154.

EUR/CHF continued to stay in consolidation from 1.1537 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.1537 resistance will confirm resumption of larger rally from 1.0629. In that case, EUR/CHF should target 1.2 key resistance level next. On the downside, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 will extend the correction to 61.8% retracement at 1.1100 before completion.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1251; (P) 1.1283; (R1) 1.1323; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in range of 1.1224/1348 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 1.1224 will resume the decline from 1.1501 to 1.1173 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.1348 resistance should confirm near term reversal and target 1.1501 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1010; (P) 1.1043; (R1) 1.1096; More…

Breach of 1.1072 indicates resumption of recent rally. Intraday bias is back on the upside to extend the rise from 1.0629 to 1.1127/98 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 1.0983 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0919).

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.1198 will resume the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In such case, EUR/CHF could eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. However, rejection from 1.1198 will extend the multi-year range trading with another fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9613; (P) 0.9644; (R1) 0.9665; More…

A temporary top was formed at 0.9678 in EUR/CHF, ahead of 0.9691 resistance. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Another rise is expected as long as 0.9595 support holds. Firm break of 0.9691 will argue that whole decline from 1.0095 has completed, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Nevertheless, break of 0.9595 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0095 (2023 high) might have completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Sustained break of 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9836 and above. However, rejection by 0.9691 will maintain medium term bearishness for another test on 0.9407 at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0630; (P) 1.0639; (R1) 1.0646; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and outlook is unchanged. Intraday bias stays neutral first. With 1.0706 resistance intact,deeper decline is expected. Firm break of 1.0620 key support level will extend the larger decline from 1.1198 to 1.0485 fibonacci level. However, break of 1.0706 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside. Further break of 1.0749 resistance will raise the chance of medium reversal.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0715; (P) 1.0762; (R1) 1.0842; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Consolidation pattern from 1.0915 might have completed with three waves to 1.0661. Further rise should now be seen to 1.0877 resistance for confirmation. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 1.0503. However, below 1.0752 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0383; (P) 1.0398; (R1) 1.0407; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Outlook stays bearish with 1.0511 resistance intact and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.0365 will resume larger down trend from 1.1149 to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0650; (P) 1.0662; (R1) 1.0686; More…

A temporary low is formed at 1.0635 in EUR/CHF and intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations first. Further decline is still expected as long as 1.0769 resistance holds. Break of 1.0635 will extend the fall from 1.0915 to 61.8% projection of 1.0915 to 1.0650 from 1.0769 at 1.0605 first. Sustained break there will target 100% projection at 1.0504, which is close to 1.0503 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation above 1.0228 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further fall is expected with 1.0359 resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.0228 will reaffirm the case that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed at 1.0513. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0086 support next. However, above 1.0359 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger recovery back towards 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0870).

EUR/CHF edged lower to 1.0541 last week with week downside momentum. Overall outlook is unchanged and stays bearish as long as 1.0710 resistance holds. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0710 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound would be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm of 1.0811 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1603; (P) 1.1621; (R1) 1.1644; More….

Intraday bias in EUR?CHF remains neutral at this point as upside was limited below 1.1656 resistance. On the upside, break of 1.1656 will resume the corrective rise from 1.1366 short term bottom. EUR/CHF should target 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But we would expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. We’d still expect at least one more falling leg before the correction from 1.2004 completes. On the downside, break of 1.1478 will turn bias to the downside for 1.1366 first.

In the bigger picture, EUR/CHF was solidly rejected by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9729; (P) 0.9745; (R1) 0.9763; More…

EUR/CHF continues to lose downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD, but there is no sign of bottoming yet. But while deeper fall cannot be ruled out, strong support should be seen from 0.9704 to bring rebound. Break of 0.9847 will argue that choppy fall from 0.9995 has completed and turn bias back to the downside. However, firm break of 0.9704 will resume the whole decline from 1.0095 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9963). Down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1029; (P) 1.1041; (R1) 1.1065; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1149 could extend further. Deeper decline might be seen but downside should be contained by 1.0954 to bring rebound, and then rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1116 will argue that larger rise from 1.0504 is ready to resume through 1.1149 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.