Sun, Oct 20, 2019 @ 12:25 GMT

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

After deeper than expected pull back, EUR/GBP’s rebound resumed by breaking 0.8790 last week. The development affirmed the case of near term reversal. That is, decline from 0.9305 has completed at 0.8620. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 0.8967 cluster resistance next (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). Break will confirm this view and target retesting 0.9305. On the downside, below 0.8679 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8620 instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8876; (P) 0.8906; (R1) 0.8932; More…

EUR/GBP’s corrective recovery from 0.8786 might extend higher. But based on current momentum, upside should be limited by 55 day EMA (now at 0.8953). On the downside, firm break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8797 will resume the decline form 0.9324 and target 0.8472 low.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 0.9305 (2017 high) suggests that consolidation from there is extending. Breach of 0.8472 cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9305 at 0.8400. On the upside, firm break of 0.9327 will confirm up trend resumption.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8700; (P) 0.8719; (R1) 0.8741; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is neutral for now as it’s lacking a direction. On the upside, above 0.8749 will reaffirm the strong support from 0.8686 and turn bias to the upside for 0.8796. Break there will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8967 to 0.8666 at 0.8852 and above. On the downside, decisive break of 0.8666 will resume whole fall from 0.9305. In that case, EUR/GBP should target 0.8303 key support next. On the upside, above 0.8749 will reaffirm the strong support from 0.8686 and turn bias to the upside for 0.8796. Break there will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8967 to 0.8666 at 0.8852 and above.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8875; (P) 0.8914; (R1) 0.8954; More…

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.9101 extends to as low as 0.8875 so far. The break of 0.8927 support indicates near term reversal. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.8655 to 0.9101 at 0.8825. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 0.8655 support. On the upside, above 0.8952 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risks will stay on the downside as long as 0.9101 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside break out of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8302/12 support zone. Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8976; (P) 0.9001; (R1) 0.9031; More…

EUR/GBP rises to as high as 0.9026 but it’s still limited below 0.9030 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 0.9030 might still extend with another fall. But even in that case, downside should be contained by 0.8854 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.9043 will pave the way to retest 0.9305 key resistance. However, sustained break of 0.8854 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9191; (P) 0.9228; (R1) 0.9250; More

EUR/GBP continues to lose upside momentum but further rise is still expected to 0.9305 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 0.9155 minor support will suggest short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for pull back into 0.8891/9051 support zone first.

In the bigger picture, current development confirms that corrective fall from 0.9305 (2017 high) has completed with three waves down to 0.8472. And, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) is ready to resume. Break of 0.9305 will target 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8472 support holds.

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EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s range trading continued last week, inside 0.8693/8844. Intraday bias remains neutral this week first. More consolidative trading could be seen. But still, as long as 0.8693 minor support holds, further rally is in favor. On the upside, break of 0.8844 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 for 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). However, break of 0.8693 will bring deeper fall back to retest 0.8620 low.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8701; (P) 0.8729; (R1) 0.8747; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside for the moment. Break of 0.8722 indicates resumption of whole decline from 0.9097. Further fall should be seen to 0.8620 support next. ON the upside, break of 0.8800 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). On the downside, break of 0.8722 will extend the falling leg through 0.8620 support. On the upside, break of 0.9097 will target 0.9304 resistance instead.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8828; (P) 0.8852; (R1) 0.8870; More…

EUR/GBP’s strong break of 0.8847 support invalidated our view. Fall from 0.9097 has resumed and intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.8620 to 0.9097 at 0.8802 first. Sustained break there will target 0.8620 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 0.8917 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will now remain cautiously bearish.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). At this point, there is no clear sign of range break out yet. And more corrective trading would continue. On the upside, in case of another rise, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

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EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP edged lower to 0.8620 last week but rebounded strongly since then. A short term bottom should be formed after hitting 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8967 at 0.8621. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 0.8796 resistance first. Break will target key cluster resistance at 0.8967 (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) next. On the downside, break of 0.8688 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 0.8620 instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

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EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8700; (P) 0.8719; (R1) 0.8741; More…

EUR/GBP drops to as low as 0.8656 so far and the break of 0.8666 confirms resumption of fall from 0.8967. More importantly, this should also indicate resumption of whole decline from 0.9305. Intraday bias is back on the downside, for 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8967 at 0.8621 first. Sustained break there will page the way to 100% projection at 0.8407. On the upside, above 0.8691 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will now stay bearish as long as 0.8796 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

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EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8688; (P) 0.8719; (R1) 0.8734; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Some consolidations would be seen first. But as long as 0.8800 minor resistance holds, another fall is expected. Break of 0.8690 will extend whole fall from 0.9098 to 0.8620 support first. Break will target 100% projection of 0.9098 to 0.8722 from 0.8939 at 0.8563 next. However, break of 0.8800 will turn focus back to 0.8939 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). On the downside, break of 0.8722 will extend the falling leg through 0.8620 support. On the upside, break of 0.9097 will target 0.9304 resistance instead.

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EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

Despite dipping to 0.8810 last week, EUR/GBP quickly recovered. But there was no follow through buying through 0.8939 resistance. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.8939 resistance will confirm completion of the fall from 0.9098 and turn outlook bullish for this resistance. On the downside, below 0.8810 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8655 low instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Sustained break of 0.8939 resistance will confirm that it’s in a medium term rising leg for 0.9098 and above. And for now, in case of another fall, downside will likely be contained by 0.8620/55 support zone to bring rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8766; (P) 0.8788; (R1) 0.8802; More…

EUR/GBP’s fall is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current decline fro 0.9097 should target 0.8620 low next. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 0.9304. In that case, next target will be 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9097 at 0.8412. On the upside, break of 0.8847 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current development suggests that fall from 0.9303, as a down leg in the pattern, is still in progress. But in case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 0.8116 cluster support, 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9304 at 0.8120, to bring rebound.

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EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP dropped to as low as 0.8617 last week and breached 0.8620 key support level. But a temporary low was formed and initial bias is turned neutral this week first. At this point, we’d continue to expect strong support from 0.8620 to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.8725 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 0.8763/8862 resistance zone first. However, sustained break of 0.8620 will resume larger decline from 0.9305 and target 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside breakout of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8312 support . Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8995; (P) 0.9076; (R1) 0.9124; More…

EUR/GBP’s corrective fall from 0.9324 might extend lower. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8891/9051 support zone to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9157 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9324 resistance first. However, sustained break of 0.8891 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8797 and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should be resuming. Sustained break of 0.9305 will confirm and target 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8891 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

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EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8742; (P) 0.8786; (R1) 0.8812; More…

EUR/GBP’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 0.8705 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.8620/55 support zone. We’d expect strong support from there to bring near term reversal. On the upside, above 0.8782 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 0.8862 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, further fall is still expected in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside break out of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8302/12 support zone. Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8908; (P) 0.8926; (R1) 0.8948; More…

With 0.8877 minor support intact, further is expected in EUR/GBP/ Prior break of 0.8928 resistance indicates near term trend reversal. Decline from 0.9305 has completed at 0.8686 after hitting 61.8% retracement of 0.8312 to 0.9305. Further rise should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8686 at 0.9069. Firm break there will target retest of 0.9305 high. On the downside, below 0.8877 minor support will dampen this bullish view and target 0.8771 support instead.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8694; (P) 0.8721; (R1) 0.8742; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is mildly on the downside as deeper fall could be seen to retest 0.8666. But after all, it’s staying in range of 0.8666/8796. On the downside, decisive break of 0.8666/86 support zone will resume whole fall from 0.9305. In that case, EUR/GBP should target 0.8303 key support next. On the upside, above 0.8749 will reaffirm the strong support from 0.8686 and turn bias to the upside for 0.8796. Break there will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8967 to 0.8666 at 0.8852 and above.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8700; (P) 0.8677; (R1) 0.8712; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside as fall from 0.8967 is in progress. 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8967 at 0.8621 is first target. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.8407. On the upside, above 0.8670 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will now stay bearish as long as 0.8796 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

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