EUR/GBP’s rally continued last week and hit as high as 0.8850, breached 0.8840 resistance. Upside momentum is diminishing mildly as seen in 4 hour MACD. But there is no clear sign of topping yet. Further rise is in favor this week first. Sustained break of 0.8840 will target 0.9101 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8681 resistance turned support is needed to indicate completion of rise from 0.8489. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of deep retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8511). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120 holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8701; (P) 0.8738; (R1) 0.8766; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation above 0.8690 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook remains unchanged too. As long as 0.8800 minor resistance holds, another fall is expected. On the downside, break of 0.8690 will extend whole fall from 0.9098 to 0.8620 support first. Break will target 100% projection of 0.9098 to 0.8722 from 0.8939 at 0.8563 next. However, break of 0.8800 will turn focus back to 0.8939 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Medium term fall from 0.9305 is possibly in progress and could extend through 0.8620. On the upside, break of 0.8939 resistance is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish even in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8612; (P) 0.8636; (R1) 0.8653; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral with focus on 0.8619 minor support. Strong rebound from there and decisive break of 0.8717 support turned resistance will solidify that fall from 0.8977 has completed a five-wave decline. Further rally should then be seen to 0.8977 resistance next. On the downside, though, below 0.8619 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8502 low.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Firm break of 0.8717 support turned resistance will argue that it has completed with three waves down to 0.8502. Further break of 0.8977 will bring retest of 0.9267 high. Nevertheless, break of 0.8502 will resume the decline towards 0.8201 (2022 low).

EUR/GBP attempted to break out from recent sideway trading last week, but failed below 0.8844 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Nonetheless, another rise is expected as long as 0.8693 support holds. Break of 0.8844 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 for 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). However, break of 0.8693 will bring deeper fall back to retest 0.8620 low.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8536; (P) 0.8565; (R1) 0.8612; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as consolidation from 0.8474 is extending. Near term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.8722 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8474 will resume larger down trend for 0.8416 long term projection next. On the upside, though, break of 0.8722 will resume the rebound from 0.8474 to 0.8840 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current fall from 0.9305 (2017 high), is a falling leg inside the pattern. Such decline could extend to 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416 and possibly below. But for now, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 support to contain downside and bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9157; (P) 0.9204; (R1) 0.9251; More…

With 0.9088 minor support intact, further rise is expected in EUR/GBP. Current rally should now target 0.9305 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.9088 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again to bring consolidations, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, current development confirms that corrective fall from 0.9305 (2017 high) has completed with three waves down to 0.8472. And, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) is ready to resume. Break of 0.9305 will target 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8472 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8720; (P) 0.8783; (R1) 0.8851; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8786 support turned resistance now raises the chance that whole fall from 0.9324 has completed. Near term trend could have reversed. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8924. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.9324 high. On the downside, break of 0.8621 support will dampen this bullish case and bring retest of 0.8276 low instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that fall from might merely be a correction to rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9324. While more range trading could still be seen below 0.9324, an upside breakout is in favor. break of 0.9324 will target a test on 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8408; (P) 0.8433; (R1) 0.8449; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside as fall from 0.8595 is in progress. Corrective rise from 0.8726 should have completed. Further fall would be seen to retest 0.8726 low. Break will resume larger down trend from 0.9324. On the upside, above 0.8457 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8595 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.9324 medium term top is till in progress. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8943; (P) 0.8960; (R1) 0.8979; More…

EUR/GBP breached 0.8974 resistance but cannot sustain above yet. Intraday bias stays neutral first and outlook is unchanged. With 0.8871 support intact, further rise is expected. On the upside, firm break of 0.8974 resistance will resume larger rally to 0.9101 key resistance next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.8871 will indicate short term topping. Deeper pull back could be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8804).

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8527). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8684; (P) 0.8698; (R1) 0.8714; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 0.8752 could extend further. Downside should be contained by 55 D EMA (now at 0.8656). Firm break of 0.8752 will resume the whole rise from 0.8491, and target 100% projection of 0.8491 to 0.8704 from 0.8614 at 0.8827 next. However, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that whole rebound from 0.8491 has completed, and bring deeper fall to 0.8614 support.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) has completed with three down to to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 is seen as another leg inside that pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further rally should be seen to 0.8977 resistance and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8614 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8569; (P) 0.8577; (R1) 0.8584; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, firm break of 0.8529 support will argue that the corrective recovery from 0.8497 has completed at 0.8601. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for retesting 0.8497 low next. On the upside, break of 0.8601 will resume the rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 0.9267 has completed, despite loss of downside momentum as seen in D MACD. As long as 0.8713 resistance holds, the down trend will remain in favor to resume through 0.8491 low at la later stage.

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.9324 extended lower last week and broke key 0.8891 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8856). The development dampened our original bullish view. Initial bias is back on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8797. Sustained break will target 0.8472 key support. On the upside, above 0.8974 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 0.9305 (2017 high) suggests that consolidation from there is extending. Breach of 0.8472 cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9305 at 0.8400. On the upside, firm break of 0.9327 will confirm up trend resumption.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 0.8472 support holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8796; (P) 0.8806; (R1) 0.8823; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8827 resistance argues that whole decline from 0.9267 has completed. Intraday bias is now back on the upside. Further rally would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9276 to 0.8545 at 0.8997 and possibly above. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.8744) holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.9267 is seen as a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8827 resistance will turn favor to the case that such decline is merely a correction in the up trend from 0.8201. That is, further rally would be seen at a later stage through 0.9267.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9101; (P) 0.9301; (R1) 0.9479; More…

A temporary top is formed at 0.9499 in EUR/GBP with current retreat. Intraday bias in turned neutral for some consolidations first. Further rise is expected with 0.9068 support holds. Break of 0.9499 will resume larger up trend for 0.9715 projection level. Nevertheless, break of 0.9068 will turn near term outlook neutral and bring more consolidations.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9324 (2016 high) confirms resumption of up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. Initial resistance could be seen around there as it’s close to 0.9799 (2008 high). But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8526; (P) 0.8561; (R1) 0.8582; More…

With 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias is turned neutral again. Further rise is expected in EUR/GBP as long as 0.8479 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8595 will target 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676. Firm break there will target 100% projection of 0.8276 to 0.8591 from 0.8479 at 0.8794.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) should have completed at 0.9324 already. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further decline is expected. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8472; (P) 0.8491; (R1) 0.8503; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is back on the downside with break of 0.8452 support. Fall from 0.8598 will target 0.8379 first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend fro m0.9499 to long term support at 0.8276. For now, deeper decline will remain in favor as long as 0.8549 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.8656 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8379 at 0.8807.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8781; (P) 0.8808; (R1) 0.8840; More…

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8722 extended higher today. The break of 0.8847 resistance suggests that whole fall from 0.9097 might be completed already. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9097 to 0.8722 at 0.8865 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.8954 and above. On the downside, however, break of 0.8801 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8722 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current development suggests that fall from 0.9303, as a down leg in the pattern, is still in progress. But in case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 0.8116 cluster support, 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9304 at 0.8120, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9097 will target 0.9304 resistance instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8710; (P) 0.8747; (R1) 0.8795; More…

Immediate focus is now on 0.8779 resistance in EUR/GBP. Firm break there argue that corrective fall from 0.9267 has completed at 0.8570. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 0.8869 first. Break there will bring retest of 0.9267 high. On the downside, break of 0.8570 will resume the fall from 0.9267 and target 0.8201/8388 support zone.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 0.9267 is a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8871; (P) 0.8895; (R1) 0.8908; More…

EUR/GBP dips to 0.8854 but quickly rebounds. As it’s staying below 0.8957 resistance, intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 0.8815 support holds, outlook remains bearish and further rise is expected in the cross. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) should confirm completion of whole decline from 0.9305. EUR/GBP should then target 61.8% retracement at 0.9043 next.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8853; (P) 0.8872; (R1) 0.8891; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as the cross is staying in range of 0.8732/0.9032. With 0.9032 resistance intact, deeper decline is mildly in favor in the cross. Break of 0.8732 will resume the fall from 0.9305 and target 0.8303 key support level. However, on the upside, decisive break of 0.9032 will confirm completion of the decline from 0.9305. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9305 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.