Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8363; (P) 0.8391; (R1) 0.8410; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8379 confirms resumption of larger down trend of 0.9499. Despite some loss of downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD, further decline is expected as long as 0.8462 resistance holds. Next target is 0.8276 key long term support. Nevertheless, break of 0.8462 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8549 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8598 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8598 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8439; (P) 0.8478; (R1) 0.8549; More…

EUR/GBP’s strong rebound and break of 0.8487 dampened our bearish view. Corrective rebound from 0.8276 is possibly still in progress. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.8595 resistance first. Break there will target 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676. On the downside, break of 0.8386 will bring retest of 0.8276 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.9324 medium term top is still in progress. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

EUR/GBP’s fall last week argues that recovery from 0.8745 has completed at 0.9032 already. Initial bias remains mildly on the downside this week for retesting 0.8745 first. Break there will resume whole fall from 0.9305 and target 0.8303 key support level. On the upside, above 0.8956 minor resistance will extend the corrective rise from 0.8745 with another rise. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8745 at 0.9091 to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of another fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, firstly, price action from 0.9799 (2008 high) is seen as a long term corrective pattern and should have completed at 0.6935 (2015 low). Secondly, rise from 0.6935 is likely resuming up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Thirdly, this is supported by the impulsive structure of the rise from 0.6935 to 0.9304. Hence, after the correction from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8793; (P) 0.8811; (R1) 0.8829; More…

EUR/GBP rises to as high as 0.8837 so far with focus now on 0.8844 resistance. Firm break there will confirm resumption of rebound from 0.8620. In such case, further rise to be seen to 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) next. Rejection by 0.8844 will extend recent sideway trading. Still, further rally is expected as long as 0.8693 support holds.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8334; (P) 0.8344; (R1) 0.8360; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral for consolidation above 0.8322 temporary low. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8417 resistance holds. Below 0.8322 will resume recent down trend to 0.8276 key long term support. On the upside, above 0.8417 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8598 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8598 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

EUR/GBP was bounded in consolidation in very tight range above 0.8575 last week and outlook remains unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 0.8811 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.8575 will resume the fall from 0.9324 and target 100% projection of 0.9324 to 0.8786 from 0.9019 at 0.8481, which is close to 0.8472 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re now seeing 0.9324 as a medium term top on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Price actions from there should develop into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.8411 but strong support should be seen there, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9324 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) could either be resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Or it’s just the second leg of the consolidation pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Eventual structure of the pull back from 0.9324 should reveal which case it should be.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8698; (P) 0.8708; (R1) 0.8727; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 0.8752 could extend with another falling leg. But in that case, downside should be contained by 0.8614 support to bring rebound. Break of 0.8752 resistance to resume the rally from 0.8491 is expected at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) has completed with three down to to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 is seen as another leg inside that pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further rally should be seen to 0.8977 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8614 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8697; (P) 0.8741; (R1) 0.8768; More…

EUR/GBP is still bounded in consolidation below 0.8786 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Another fall could be seen as the consolidation extends. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.8402 to 0.8786 at 38.2% retracement of 0.8402 to 0.8786 at 0.8639 and bring another rise. Above 0.8786 will target 0.8851 resistance and above. However, price actions from 0.8303 are seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9304. Hence, we’d expect strong resistance from 100% projection of 0.8303 to 0.8851 from 0.8402 at 0.8950 to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8814; (P) 0.8844; (R1) 0.8865; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8720 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8977 will resume whole rebound from 0.8545 towards 0.9267 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.8270 will turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, the notable support from 55 day EMA (now at 0.8780) retains near term bullishness. Break of 0.8896 should target 0.9267 (2022 high) and possibly above, to resume whole up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low). However, break of 0.8270 support and sustained trading below 55 day EMA will set the stage for 0.8545 and below.

EUR/GBP dropped further to as low as 0.8763 last week after taking out 0.8927 support. A temporary low is formed and initial bias is turned neutral this week. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8927 support turned resistance holds. Below 0.8763 will target 0.8620/55 support zone. We’d expect strong support from there to bring near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside break out of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8302/12 support zone. Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.8476 continued last week after brief recovery. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for retesting 0.8282 low. Sustained break of 0.8276 key long term support will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, above 0.8401 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8476 resistance. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.8282.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen a corrective pattern that should be contained by 0.8276 long term support (2019 low). Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8282 at 0.8747 will affirm this bullish case. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds. Break of 0.9499 is in favor at a later stage, to resume the up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). However, sustained break of 0.8276 will indicate long term trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917, and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8743; (P) 0.8815; (R1) 0.8852; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside for the moment. Fall from 0.8896 short term top should target 61.8% retracement of 0.8545 to 0.8896 at 0.8679. Sustained break there will pave the way back to retest 0.8545 low. On the upside, above 0.8802 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8896 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 0.8545 is merely a correction to fall from 0.9267. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 0.8748) will affirm this bearish case and target 0.8545 and below. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level will retain near term bullishness for another rise through 0.8896 later.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8515; (P) 0.8537; (R1) 0.8553; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in tight range above 0.8512 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, below 0.8521 will resume the fall from 0.8764 to retest 0.8491. Break there will extend larger down trend to 0.8464 projection level. On the upside, above 0.8566 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8602).

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8713 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8587; (P) 0.8603; (R1) 0.8615; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains mildly on the upside for 0.8643 resistance. Firm break there will resume the choppy rebound from 0.8497 low. On the downside, below 0.8585 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as EUR/GBP is capped below medium term falling trendline. That is, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.8491/7 will target 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9044; (P) 0.9091; (R1) 0.9128; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first and more sideway trading could be seen. Further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.8930 support holds. Above 0.9139 will target 0.9175 resistance. Break will resume whole rebound from 0.8670 low. Nevertheless, break of 0.8930 will bring deeper fall to 0.8864 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9060; (P) 0.9080; (R1) 0.9107; More…

EUR/GBP retreats sharply after hitting upper channel resistance. A temporary top is in place at 0.9097 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deeper retreat could be seen to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9016). But downside should be contained well above 0.8895 and bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 0.9097 will resume the rally from 0.8620 and target 0.9305 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8669; (P) 0.8709; (R1) 0.8739; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 0.8817 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 0.8967 cluster resistance next (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). Firm break there will confirm neat term reversal. On the downside, below 0.8679 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8620 instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8954; (P) 0.8975; (R1) 0.9010; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside as rebound from 0.8786 is extending. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8786 at 0.8992 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9118 and above. On the downside, break of 0.8923 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8786 low.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 0.9305 (2017 high) suggests that consolidation from there is extending. Breach of 0.8472 cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9305 at 0.8400. On the upside, firm break of 0.9327 will confirm up trend resumption.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8598; (P) 0.8628; (R1) 0.8653; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation from 0.8575 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 0.8811 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.8575 will resume the fall from 0.9324 and target 100% projection of 0.9324 to 0.8786 from 0.9019 at 0.8481, which is close to 0.8472 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re now seeing 0.9324 as a medium term top on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Price actions from there should develop into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.8411 but strong support should be seen there, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9324 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8660; (P) 0.8709; (R1) 0.8757; More…

EUR/GBP’s strong rebound and break of 0.8773 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 0.8655. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 0.8939. Break there will indicate completion of whole fall from 0.9098. Further rise should be seen back to this resistance. On the downside, below 0.8773 resistance turn support will turn focus back to 0.8655 instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Medium term fall from 0.9305 is possibly in progress and could extend through 0.8620. On the upside, break of 0.8939 resistance is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish even in case of rebound.