EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8556; (P) 0.8568; (R1) 0.8582; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the downside with 0.8587 minor resistance intact, despite loss of downside momentum. Current fall from 0.8764 should target a retest on 0.8491 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 0.8587 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is now seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8485; (P) 0.8535; (R1) 0.8576; More…

EUR/GBP retreated after hitting 0.8585 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. Further rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 0.8456 minor support holds. Above 0.8585 will target a retest on 0.8720 resistance. However, break of 0.8456 should resume the fall from 0.8720 through 0.8401.

In the bigger picture, attention remains on 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will confirm medium term bearishness for another fall through 0.8201.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8972; (P) 0.8995; (R1) 0.9034; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 0.9029 so far. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.9043. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.9305 high. On the downside, below 0.8984 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But retreat should be contained well above 0.8845 support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8951; (P) 0.8962; (R1) 0.8971; More…

EUR/GBP’s rise resumed by taking out 0.8992. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 0.9101 key resistance. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, we’d look for topping signal as it approaches 0.9101 key resistance. On the downside, break of 0.8920 support will indicate short term topping. In this case, deeper pull back could be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8844) first.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8527). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8274; (P) 0.8286; (R1) 0.8297; More…

EUR/GBP recovered after hitting 0.8248 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further decline is still expected as long a s0.8379 resistance holds. Below 0.82458 will target a retest on 0.82101 low. On the upside, however, above 0.8379 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. Further break of 0.8511 will reaffirm that 0.8201 is a medium term bottom, and target 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8294 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8888; (P) 0.8914; (R1) 0.8931; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point. Outlook stays bullish as long as 0.8270 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8977 will resume whole rise from 0.8545 to 100% projection of 61.8% projection of 0.8545 to 0.8896 from 0.8720 at 0.9071.

In the bigger picture, the notable support from 55 day EMA (now at 0.8780) retains near term bullishness. Break of 0.8896 should target 0.9267 (2022 high) and possibly above, to resume whole up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low). However, break of 0.8270 support and sustained trading below 55 day EMA will set the stage for 0.8545 and below.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8568; (P) 0.8575; (R1) 0.8583; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/GBP and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 0.8504 support holds. On the upside, above 0.8592 will resume the rise form 0.8448 to 0.8668 resistance next. Firm break there will be a strong sign of near term bullish reversal at least On the downside, however, break of 0.8504 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8448 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8668 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8668 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP rose to 0.8720 last week but failed to sustain above 0.8697 fibonacci level and retreated sharply. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Further rise is expected as long as 0.8484 support holds. Break of 0.8720 and sustained trading above 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 0.9003 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8484 will indicate rejection by 0.8697 and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom could could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 will affirm the latter case, and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will maintain medium term bearishness.

In the long term picture, the lack of medium term downside momentum suggests that fall from 0.9499 (2020 high) is merely a correction to rise from 0.6935 (2015 high). In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 to bring rebound. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 0.8604) will indicate that the correction has completed and bring retest of 0.9499.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8721; (P) 0.8763; (R1) 0.8837; More

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation above 0.8688 temporary low. Deeper fall is expected as long as 0.8866 resistance holds. Below 0.8688 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8981 at 0.8468 first and then 100% projection at 0.8151 next. However, break of 0.8866 resistance will indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 0.8981 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8962; (P) 0.8981; (R1) 0.9003; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in range of 0.8954/9051 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 0.8954 minor support intact, further rise cannot be ruled out. But upside momentum is clearly diminishing as seen in 4 hour and daily MACD. Upside should be limited by 0.9101 key resistance to bring reversal. On the downside, break of 0.8954 support should confirm short term topping. In this case, deeper pull back could be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8889) first.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8545). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. However, firm break of 55 week EMA (now at 0.8801) would possibly extend the correction another another fall to below 0.8472 before completion.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s fall accelerated to as low as 0.8276 last week. A temporary low was formed there with subsequent recovery. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.8508 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 0.8276 will resume the decline from 0.9324 and target 161.8% projection of 0.9324 to 0.8786 from 0.9019 at 0.8149 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.9324 medium term top is still in progress. 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.8411 was firmly taken out. Further decline should now be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.7848 next. In any case, further decline would remain in favor as long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, the strong break of 55 month EMA now suggests that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) has completed at 0.9324 already. However fall from there could be the third leg of the whole pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). It’s a bit early to judge how fall the decline would extend to and whether 0.6935 would be taken out. We’ll pay attention to the structure of the fall from 0.9324 and corresponding downside momentum to made an assessment later.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8721; (P) 0.8769; (R1) 0.8821; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point, and deeper decline is in favor with 0.8848 minor resistance intact. Rise from 0.8201 could have completed at 0.9267 in three-wave corrective pattern. Sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 0.86426) will target 0.8201/8338 support zone. On the upside, above 0.8848 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.8720 resistance turned support holds, rise from 0.8201 is seen as resuming larger up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). Break of 0.9499 (2020 high) should be seen at a later stage. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that sideway pattern from 0.9499 is extending with another falling leg instead.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8565; (P) 0.8583; (R1) 0.8595; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 0.8609 will resume the rebound from 0.8491. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8667 resistance holds. On the downside, below 0.8522 will bring retest of 0.8491 low.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further decline is in favor as long as 0.8667 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will resume the fall towards 0.8201 (2022 low).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8812; (P) 0.9031; (R1) 0.9205; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8720 resistance turned support holds. Above 0.9267 will target 0.9499 long term resistance. However, break of 0.8270 support will mix up the near term outlook.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 is in progress targeting 0.9499 (2020 high) next. Based on current momentum, such rally should be resuming the up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). Firm break of 0.9499 will target 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9499 from 0.8201 at 0.9786, which is close to 0.9799 (2008 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8720 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8587; (P) 0.8611; (R1) 0.8634; More….

While EUR/GBP’s recovery from 0.8548 extended, it’s capped below 0.8648 support turned resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral and outlook further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 0.8548 will resume the fall from 0.8764 to 0.8491 support next. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. However, sustained break of 0.8648 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8516; (P) 0.8559; (R1) 0.8586; More…

EUR/GBP is still bounded in range of 0.8484/8720 and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 0.8484 support holds, further rise is in favor. Break of 0.8720 and sustained trading above 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 0.9003 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8484 will indicate rejection by 0.8697 and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom could could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 will affirm the latter case, and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will maintain medium term bearishness.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8704; (P) 0.8717; (R1) 0.8741; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral at this point. Consolidation from 0.8752 could extend with another falling leg. But in that case, downside should be contained by 0.8614 support to bring rebound. Meanwhile, decisive break of 0.8752 will resume larger rally from 0.8491 towards 0.8874 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) has completed with three down to to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 is seen as another leg inside that pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further rally should be seen to 0.8977 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8614 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8428; (P) 0.8466; (R1) 0.8489; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as range trading continues. Corrective pattern from 0.8276 is probably not completed yet. On the upside, break of 0.8595 will target 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676. On the downside, break of 0.8386 will bring retest of 0.8276 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.9324 medium term top is still in progress. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9000; (P) 0.9015; (R1) 0.9025; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is in favor as long as 0.9001 support holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 will extend the rebound from 0.8670 to retest 0.9499 high. However, firm break of 0.9001 will argue that whole rebound from 0.8670 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.8864 support and below.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8808; (P) 0.8835; (R1) 0.8870; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside at this point. Fall from 0.9267 might have completed at 0.8545 already. Further rally would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9276 to 0.8545 at 0.8997 and possibly above. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.8759) holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.9267 is seen as a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8827 resistance will turn favor to the case that such decline is merely a correction in the up trend from 0.8201. That is, further rally would be seen at a later stage through 0.9267.