Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8679; (P) 0.8710; (R1) 0.8757; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with a temporary low for at 0.8666. 0.8686 key support level was breached briefly, without sustained trading below. Hence, there is no confirmation of resumption of fall from 0.9305. On the upside, break of 0.8757 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside to extend recent sideway pattern with another rise, towards 0.8967. Nonetheless, break of 0.8666 again and sustained trading below 0.8686 will resume whole fall from 0.9305 and target 0.8303 key support next.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP stayed in range trading below 0.9054 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further rise is in favor as long as 0.8866 minor support holds. On the upside, above 0.9054 will extend the rebound form 0.8670 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. However, firm break of 0.8866 will complete a head and should top pattern. That will indicate completion of the rise from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Decisive break of 0.9799 will target 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

While upside momentum was unconvincing, EUR/GBP extended the rebound from 0.8620 last week and hit as high as 0.8844. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 0.8967 cluster resistance next (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). Firm break there will confirm neat term reversal. On the downside, below 0.8781 minor support will turn focus back to 0.8679 support. Break there will suggests that larger decline from 0.9305 is resuming.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8670; (P) 0.8764; (R1) 0.8879; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the upside for the moment with focus on 0.8851 resistance. Decisive break there will extend the rally from 0.8312 to retest 0.9304 high. At this point, there is no clear sign of larger up trend resumption yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on topping around 0.9304. On the downside, however, break of 0.8639 support will now indicate near term topping and bring deeper pull back to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8601) and below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. The leg from 0.9304 should have completed after testing 0.8332 structural support. But it’s too early to say that larger rise from 0.6935 is resuming. Rejection from 0.9304 will extend the consolidation with another falling leg. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.9304 will target 0.9799 (2008 high). In case of another decline, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8869; (P) 0.8888; (R1) 0.8909; More…

EUR/GBP recovers just ahead of 0.8861 key support and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, decisive break of 0.8861 will indicate that whole choppy rise from 0.8670 has completed. The pattern from 0.9499 should have then started a third leg to 0.8670 support and below. Nevertheless, rebound from the current level will retain near term bullishness, for another rise through 0.9291 at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP edged lower to 0.9024 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further fall is mildly in favor as long as 0.9220 resistance holds. Break of 0.9024 will target 0.8866 support. Decisive break there should confirm completion of the whole choppy rebound form 0.8670. Though, break of 0.9220 will likely resume such rebound through 0.9291.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8576; (P) 0.8596; (R1) 0.8617; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and further decline is expected with 0.8674 resistance intact. Break of 0.8545 will resume the fall from 0.9267, and target 61.8% projection of 0.9267 to 0.8647 from 0.8827 at 0.8444 next. On the upside, above 0.8674 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound back to 0.8827 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 0.9267 is a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8827 resistance will turn favor to the case that such decline is merely a correction in the up trend from 0.8201. That is, further rally would be seen at a later stage through 0.9267.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8423; (P) 0.8453; (R1) 0.8474; More…

EUR/GBP’s decline is continuing today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Rebound from 0.8201 should have completed at 0.8720, after rejection by 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level. Further fall would be seen to retest 0.8201/48 support zone next. On the upside, above 0.8488 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 argues that rebound from 0.8201 is merely a corrective move. That is, down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high) is now over. Sustained break of 0.8201 will resume such decline and target 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8720 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8550; (P) 0.8568; (R1) 0.8586; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.8279 will resume the rebound from 0.8537 and target 55 day EMA (now at 0.8774). However, firm break of 0.8537 will resume the decline from 0.9291, and that from 0.9499, towards 0.8276 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8569; (P) 0.8593; (R1) 0.8637; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside at this point. Fall from 0.8764 has probably completed already. Further rally would be seen to medium term trend line resistance (now at 0.8650). On the downside, below 0.8596 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by current strong rebound. On the upside, sustained break of the trend medium term trend resistance will argue that the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) has completed as a triangle pattern. Further rise should then be seen through 0.8764 resistance next. However, rejection by the trend line will retain medium term bearishness for another fall through 0.8491 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8688; (P) 0.8732; (R1) 0.8773; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with current recovery, but deeper decline is in favor with 0.8848 minor resistance intact. Rise from 0.8201 could have completed at 0.9267 in three-wave corrective pattern. Sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 0.86426) will target 0.8201/8338 support zone. On the upside, above 0.8848 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.8720 resistance turned support holds, rise from 0.8201 is seen as resuming larger up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). Break of 0.9499 (2020 high) should be seen at a later stage. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that sideway pattern from 0.9499 is extending with another falling leg instead.

EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation in range of 0.8474/8722 last week and outlook remains unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week and more sideway trading could be seen. With 0.8722 resistance intact, larger decline is expected to resume sooner or later. On the downside, firm break of 0.8474 will resume larger down trend for 0.8416 long term projection next. On the upside, though, sustained break of 0.8722 will suggest near term reversal and bring stronger rise back to 0.8840 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current fall from 0.9305 (2017 high) is a falling leg inside the pattern. Such decline could extend to 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416 and possibly below. But for now, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 support to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120 holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8882; (P) 0.8909; (R1) 0.8926; More…

A long as .0.8829 minor support holds, further rise is expected in EUR/GBP. Current rise from 0.8472 should target 0.9101 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8829 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8526). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8625; (P) 0.8643; (R1) 0.8664; More…

EUR/GBP recovers further as consolidation from 0.8474 is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 0.8722 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 0.8474 will resume larger down trend for 0.8416 long term projection next. On the upside, though, sustained break of 0.8722 will suggest near term reversal and bring stronger rise back to 0.8840 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current fall from 0.9305 (2017 high) is a falling leg inside the pattern. Such decline could extend to 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416 and possibly below. But for now, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 support to contain downside and bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8480; (P) 0.8509; (R1) 0.8538; More…

EUR/GBP recovered after dipping to 0.8449 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. Below 0.8449 will target 0.8303 and break will resume the whole fall from 0.9304. In that case, we’d look for bottoming again at around 0.8116. Meanwhile, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9304 to 0.8303 at 0.8685 will revive the case of near term reversal. In that case, stronger rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.8922 and above.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support around 55 weeks EMA (now at 0.8230) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8928; (P) 0.8944; (R1) 0.8960; More…

Focus is now on 4 hour 55 EMA in EUR/GBP. Rebound form the current level should resume the rebound from 0.8670. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.8987 will indicate completion of whole fall from 0.9499. Further rally should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9182 and above. However, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.8912) will suggest completion of rebound from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8670 low.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8536; (P) 0.8554; (R1) 0.8587; More…

EUR/GBP dipped to 0.8519 but quickly recovered. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 0.8529 support will argue that the corrective recovery from 0.8497 has completed at 0.8601. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for retesting 0.8497 low next. On the upside, break of 0.8601 will resume the rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 0.9267 has completed, despite loss of downside momentum as seen in D MACD. As long as 0.8601 resistance holds, the down trend will remain in favor to resume through 0.8491 low at la later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8685; (P) 0.8746; (R1) 0.8781; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.8827 will resume the rise from 0.8570 to 0.8869. Sustained break there will pave the way back to retest 0.9267 high. On the downside, below 0.8689 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8570 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 0.9267 is a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8869 resistance will turn favor to the case that such decline is merely a correction in the up trend from 0.8201. That is, further rally would be seen at a later stage through 0.9267.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8522; (P) 0.8588; (R1) 0.8701; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 0.8474 will resume larger down trend to 0.8416 long term projection next. However, firm break of 0.8676 resistance will indicate short term reversal and bring further rise to 0.8840 resistance.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current fall from 0.9305 (2017 high), is a falling leg inside the pattern. Such decline is now targeting 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416 and possibly below. But for now, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 support to contain downside and bring rebound.

EUR/GBP’s rally extended to as high as 0.9118 last week and there is no change in the bullish outlook. Initial bias stays on the upside this week as rise from 0.8312 would target a test on 0.9304 high. At this point, there is no clear sign of up trend resumption yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304 to limit upside and bring another fall. On the downside, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9007 support will indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the downside for 0.8742/8948 support zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it is finished yet. But in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound. Whole up trend from 0.6935 is expected to resume after consolidation from 0.9304 completes.

In the long term picture, firstly, price action from 0.9799 (2008 high) is seen as a long term corrective pattern and should have completed at 0.6935 (2015 low). Secondly, rise from 0.6935 is likely resuming up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Thirdly, this is supported by the impulsive structure of the rise from 0.6935 to 0.9304. Hence, after the correction from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend to target 0.9799 high and above.