EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8931; (P) 0.8966; (R1) 0.8985; More…

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.9175 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.8864 support. Break will confirm completion of the rebound from 0.8670. Deeper fall would then be seen to retest this low. On the upside, however, break of 0.9067 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9175 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8968; (P) 0.8990; (R1) 0.9004; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside for the moment. Corrective rebound from 0.8670 could have completed at 0.9175, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. Further fall should be seen to 0.8864 support. Break will confirm this bearish case and target a test on 0.8670 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.9067 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9175 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EURGBP Closes Below Trendline, Bearish Bias Still Weak

EURGBP slipped below the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) on Tuesday and closed marginally below the ascending trendline that has been strictly supporting the market since the sharp rebound in mid-February.

Another negative close below that line could strengthen warnings that the weakness in the price may persist, confirming the somewhat discouraging signal the falling RSI is currently providing.

To the downside, the 50-day SMA and the lower Bollinger band, both around 0.8930, may prove to be game changers if they immediately reject additional declines. Otherwise, the sell-off may continue until the 0.8865 key support level, a break of which would ruin the pair’s two-month old positive structure, shifting the spotlight towards the 0.8780 barrier.

Alternatively, if the price manages to return above the trendline, the bulls may push harder to overcome resistance around 0.9055 and run towards 0.9140. Beyond June’s peak of 0.9175 and higher than the dashed descending trendline (tentative), the rally may pick up steam towards 0.9290.

Looking at the six-month picture, the neutral outlook remains intact as long as the pair is trading below the 0.9497 top.

In brief, the short-term bias for EURGBP is viewed as neutral-to-bearish, with immediate support expected to occur around 0.8930.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8953; (P) 0.9004; (R1) 0.9041; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Corrective rebound from 0.8670 could have completed at 0.9175, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. Further fall should be seen to 0.8864 support. Break will confirm this bearish case and target a test on 0.8670 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.9067 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9175 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9020; (P) 0.9044; (R1) 0.9077; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.9001 support as well as the near term channel suggests that rebound from 0.8670 has completed at 0.9175. That came after rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 0.8864 support. Break will confirm this bearish case and target a test on 0.8670 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.9067 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9175 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9020; (P) 0.9044; (R1) 0.9077; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and some more consolidative trading could be seen. Further rise is in favor as long as 0.9001 support holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 will extend the rebound from 0.8670 to retest 0.9499 high. However, firm break of 0.9001 will argue that whole rebound from 0.8670 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.8864 support and below.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9000; (P) 0.9015; (R1) 0.9025; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is in favor as long as 0.9001 support holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 will extend the rebound from 0.8670 to retest 0.9499 high. However, firm break of 0.9001 will argue that whole rebound from 0.8670 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.8864 support and below.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP edged higher to 0.9175 last week but failed to break through 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 and reversed. Initial bias is neutral this week with focus on 0.9001 support. As long as 0.9001 holds, another rise is in favor. Sustained break of 0.9182 will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. However, firm break of 0.9001 will argue that whole rebound from 0.8670 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.8864 support and below.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Decisive break of 0.9799 will target 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9001; (P) 0.9016; (R1) 0.9030; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. As long as 0.9901 support holds, further rise is in favor. On the upside firm break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9001 will argue that whole rebound from 0.8670 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.8864 support and below.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9030; (P) 0.9087; (R1) 0.9117; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first. Further rise is in favor as long as 0.9901 support holds. On the upside firm break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9001 will argue that whole rebound from 0.8670 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.8864 support and below.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9030; (P) 0.9087; (R1) 0.9117; More…

A temporary top is formed at 0.9175 in EUR/GBP, after failing to break through 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, sustained trading above 0.9001 will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9001 will argue that whole rebound from 0.8670 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.8864 support and below.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9092; (P) 0.9134; (R1) 0.9183; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 first. Sustained trading above there will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, below 0.9079 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay cautiously bearish as long as 0.9001 support holds.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9045; (P) 0.9073; (R1) 0.9120; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally accelerates to as high as 0.9170 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 first. Sustained trading above there will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, below 0.9079 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay cautiously bearish as long as 0.9001 support holds.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9045; (P) 0.9073; (R1) 0.9120; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside at this point. rebound form 0.8670 is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 first. Sustained trading above there will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, below 0.9901 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for testing 0.8864 support instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rebound form 0.8670 extended further last week. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 first. Sustained trading above there will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, below 0.9901 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for testing 0.8864 support instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Decisive break of 0.9799 will target 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9001; (P) 0.9033; (R1) 0.9065; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation below 0.9078 temporary top. Rebound from 0.8670 is still in favor to continue. On the upside, break of 0.9078 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. However, break of 0.8864 will confirm completion of the rebound and bring retest of 0.8670 low.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9024; (P) 0.9049; (R1) 0.9082; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook and further rise is in favor as long as 0.8938 support holds. Current rebound from 0.8670 should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. Sustained trading above there would pave the way back to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, through, break of 0.8938 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8864 support.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9007; (P) 0.9043; (R1) 0.9067; More…

Further rise is still expected in EUR/GBP with 0.8938 minor support intact. Current rebound from 0.8670 should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. Sustained trading above there would pave the way back to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, through, break of 0.8938 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8864 support.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9016; (P) 0.9039; (R1) 0.9057; More…

As long as 0.8938 minor support holds, further rise is still expected in EUR/GBP. Current rebound from 0.8670 should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. Sustained trading above there would pave the way back to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, through, break of 0.8938 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8864 support.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9014; (P) 0.9044; (R1) 0.9080; More…

Further rise is expected in EUR/GBP as long as 0.8938 minor support holds. Rebound from 0.8670 should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. Sustained trading above there would pave the way back to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, through, break of 0.8938 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8864 support.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.