EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8657; (P) 0.8679; (R1) 0.8696; More…

EUR/GBP drops sharply to as low as 0.8588 so far today. The break of 0.8617/20 key support zone suggests resumption of larger decline from 0.9305. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9101 to 0.8617 from 0.8840 at 0.8541. On the upside, break of 0.8666 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited well below 0.8840 resistance to bring another decline.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). On the downside, decisive break of 0.8620 support will resume the falling leg from 0.9305 (2017 high) to 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416. In that case, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 to contain downside and bring rebound.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP dropped to 0.8828 last week but quickly recovered back above 0.8861 key support. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, firm break of 0.8828, and sustained trading below 0.8861 will target 0.8670 support, as the third leg of pattern from 0.9499. On the upside, though, break of 0.8923 resistance will confirm defense of 0.8861. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.8987) first.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8403; (P) 0.8418; (R1) 0.8435; More…

EUR/GBP’s fall resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.8379 support. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 0.9499 towards long term support at 0.8276. On the upside, above 0.8462 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.8656 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8379 at 0.8807.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8792; (P) 0.8814; (R1) 0.8850; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral first as it recovered after dipping to 0.8776. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 0.8977 might extend further. Below 0.8776 will target 0.8753 support and below. But strong support is expected from 0.8720 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.8862 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8924 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, outlook is rather mixed for now, except that price actions from 0.9267 (2022 high) are part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). With 0.8720 support intact, rise from 0.8545 is in favor to continue through 0.8977. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that such rebound has completed, and open up deeper fall through this support level.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9104; (P) 0.9215; (R1) 0.9285; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9499 is extending. Deeper pull back might be seen. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.8282 to 0.9499 at 0.8747 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 0.9499 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.9324 (2016 high) confirms resumption of up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. Initial resistance could be seen around there as it’s close to 0.9799 (2008 high). But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8509; (P) 0.8537; (R1) 0.8577; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. With 0.8365 support intact, further rise is in favor. On the upside, break of 0.8617 will resume rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom to 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8365 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8727; (P) 0.8747; (R1) 0.8761; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside at this point. Current rise is part of the whole rally from 0.8491. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.8491 to 0.8752 from 0.8648 at 0.8809. On the downside, break of 0.8687 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rally remains in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) has completed with three down to to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 is seen as another leg inside that pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further rally should be seen to 0.8977 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8648 support holds.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP dropped to as low as 0.8469 last week and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias remains on the downside this week with focus on 0.8470 low. Decisive break there will resume larger fall from 0.9499, towards next key support at 0.8276. On the upside, break of 0.8556 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for strong rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8718 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8470 will target long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8718 would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds. Break of 0.9499 is in favor at a later stage, to resume the up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP stayed in range trading last weekend outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further rally is in favor with 0.8365 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.8617 will resume rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom to 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8365 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

In the long term picture, current development argues that fall from 0.9499 is probably the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 will pave the way back to 0.6935 (2015 low) and probably below. However, sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 0.8604) will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rebound.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s decline from 0.9324 extended lower last week and breached 61.8% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8797. Initial bias remains on the downside this week. Sustained trading below 0.8797 will pave the way to 0.8472 key support next. On the upside, though, above 0.8894 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 0.9305 (2017 high) suggests that consolidation from there is extending. Breach of 0.8472 cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9305 at 0.8400. On the upside, firm break of 0.9327 will confirm up trend resumption.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 0.8472 support holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8582; (P) 0.8600; (R1) 0.8615; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point. On the downside, below 0.8559 will target a test on 0.8470 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.8718 will resume the rebound from 0.8470 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9291 to 0.8470 at 0.8784.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8898; (P) 0.8956; (R1) 0.9008; More…

Outlook in EUR/GBP remains unchanged. We’d continue to expect strong support from 0.8891 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8856) to contained downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9015 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9324 high. However, sustained break of 0.8891 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8797 and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should be resuming. Sustained break of 0.9305 will confirm and target 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8891 support holds, in case of deep pull back. However, sustained break of 0.8891 will dampen this bullish view and focus would be back on 0.8472 key support.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8556; (P) 0.8567; (R1) 0.8583; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.8612 will resume the whole rise from 0.8448 for 0.8668 key structural resistance. Sustained break there will be a strong sign of larger bullish reversal. On the downside, however, break of 0.8499 support will bring another fall towards 0.8448 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8668 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8668 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8805; (P) 0.8860; (R1) 0.8944; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.8276 should target a test on 0.9324 high. On the downside, break of 0.8842 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral to bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, there are various interpretations in medium term price actions from 0.9263 (2016 high). We’re currently favoring the case that it’s a consolidation pattern with fall from 0.9324 to 0.8276 as the third leg, due to the strong impulsive rally from 0.8276. Decisive break of 0.9324 will confirm resumption of whole up trend from 0.6935, for 0.9799 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8765; (P) 0.8785; (R1) 0.8802; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside with 0.8804 minor resistance intact. Further fall should be seen to 0.8722 first. Break there will resume whole decline from 0.9097 and target 0.8620 support next. On the upside, above 0.8864 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But another fall is in favor as long as 0.8804 minor resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). On the downside, break of 0.8722 will extend the falling leg through 0.8620 support. On the upside, break of 0.9097 will target 0.9304 resistance instead.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8597; (P) 0.8612; (R1) 0.8630; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.8559 will target a test on 0.8470 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.8718 will resume the rebound from 0.8470 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9291 to 0.8470 at 0.8784.

In the bigger picture, e price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8620; (P) 0.8636; (R1) 0.8649; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/GBP and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.8718 will resume the rise from 0.8470 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9291 to 0.8470 at 0.8784. On the downside, however, break of 0.8587 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8470 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8790; (P) 0.8829; (R1) 0.8854; More…

EUR/GBP’s sideway trading continues inside 0.8686/8928. Intraday bias remains neutral and deeper fall is mildly in favor with 0.8928 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 0.8686 will resume whole decline from 0.9305. As 61.8% retracement of 0.8312 to 0.9305 should then be taken out too, deeper decline would be seen to retest 0.8303/8312 support zone. Nonetheless, on the upside, break of 0.8928 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 0.9304 resistance.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8573; (P) 0.8599; (R1) 0.8631; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation above 0.8529 temporary low. In case of further recovery, upside should be limited well below 0.8840 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.8529 will target long term projection target at 0.8416 next.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current fall from 0.9305 (2017 high), is seen a a falling leg inside the pattern. Such decline is now targeting 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416 and possibly below. But for now, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 support to contain downside and bring rebound.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8865; (P) 0.8882; (R1) 0.8899; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as correction from 0.8957 is in progress. As long as 0.8815 support holds, further rally is expected. On the upside, sustained break of 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) should confirm completion of whole decline from 0.9305. EUR/GBP should then target 61.8% retracement at 0.9043 next.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.