Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.70; (P) 130.07; (R1) 130.57; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 129.34 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside. Current fall from 137.49 is starting 126.61 medium term fibonacci level next. We’ll tentatively look for bottoming signal there. On the upside, above 130.51 minor resistance will indicate temporary bottoming and bring consolidations, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.87; (P) 128.16; (R1) 128.57; More….

The break of 128.44 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 126.63. Intraday bias is turned to the upside for 130.20 resistance first. Break will pave the way for 133.12 high. Nonetheless, break of 126.63 will resume the fall from 133.12 and target a test on 124.89 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.01; (P) 162.27; (R1) 162.71; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and outlook is unchanged. Intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 164.16 will resume the rally from 154.77 to 164.89 resistance, and then 166.67. However, decisive break of 158.27 support will bring deeper decline back to 154.77 support. Overall, sideway consolidation pattern from 154.40 is still extending.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.52; (P) 163.21; (R1) 164.47; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Fall from 175.41 should have completed at 154.40 already. Rise from there is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 175.41. Further rally is expected to 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38, and possibly above. On the downside, below 160.57 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 154.40 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). Current development suggests that the first leg has completed. The range of consolidation should be seen between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.54; (P) 122.08; (R1) 122.90; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 114.42 should target 122.87 key resistance. On the downside, break of 121.24 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the case of bullish trend reversal is starting to build up as rise from 114.42 is accelerating. Sustained trading below the channel resistance (now at 121.07), will argue that whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed at 114.42. Further break of 122.87 resistance will confirm and turn outlook bullish.

EUR/JPY was bounded in range trading last week. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, below 148.58 will extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 146.12 support and possibly below. On the upside, however, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, break of 149.76 (2014 high) argues that whole up trend form 94.11 (2012 low) is resuming. Sustained trading above 149.76 will pave the way to 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68, which is close to 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.62; (P) 126.11; (R1) 126.54; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in sideway consolidation below 127.50 and intraday bias remains neutral. Near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.23 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 124.10) holds. On the upside, decisive break of 127.50 will resume whole rise from 118.62 and target 129.50 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that medium term decline from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed with three waves down to 118.62 already. Decisive break of 133.12 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And whole up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) might resume through 137.49 in that case. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will invalidate this case. And in such case, the down trend from 137.49 could possibly resume through 118.62.

EUR/JPY edged higher to 131.97 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. But as long as 129.90 minor support holds, near term outlook stays bullish for another rally. On the upside, above 131.97 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, considering bearish divergent condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 129.90 will indicate short term reversal, and turn bias back to the downside for 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there has completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

In the long term picture, at this point, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Rise from 109.03 is seen as a leg inside the pattern. As long as 124.08 support holds, further rally is in favor in medium to long term through 149.76 high. However, break of 124.08 could extend the fall through 109.03 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.80; (P) 144.33; (R1) 145.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for 145.62 resistance. Firm break there will confirm up trend resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance. On the downside, break of 140.88 will extend the corrective pattern from 145.62 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.59; (P) 147.03; (R1) 147.38; More….

EUR/JPY is losing some upside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. But further rally is expected as long as 145.66 resistance turned support holds. Rise from 137.37 should target 148.38 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 149.75 long term resistance. However, break of 145.66 will turn bias back to the downside for 142.53 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.44) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. Decisive break there will resume long term up trend. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.68; (P) 147.12; (R1) 147.84; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally resumed by breaking through 147.85 and intraday bias is back on the upside. Decisive break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 149.75 long term resistance. For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 146.39 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.44) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. Decisive break there will resume long term up trend. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.72; (P) 124.32; (R1) 125.27; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as the consolidation from 125.80 short term top continues. More consolidative trading would be seen and another fall cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.81; (P) 120.10; (R1) 120.30; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. The corrective rise from 115.86 should be completed at 122.87, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Further fall should be seen to retest 115.86 low. On the upside, above 121.26 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 122.87 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY dropped sharply to as low as 136.85 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, below 136.86 will target 132.63 support. Decisive break will turn outlook bearish for 124.37 support. On the upside, above 139.78 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Firm break of 139.78 will target 149.76 (2015 high. However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

In the long term picture, current rally could be resuming whole rise from 94.11 (2012 low). Further rally would be seen to 149.76 resistance (2014 high) and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.00; (P) 141.54; (R1) 142.61; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 137.37 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed, and bring stronger rise back to 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.62) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.74; (P) 121.98; (R1) 122.33; More….

EUR/JPY stays in consolidation from 122.65 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside should be contained above 119.99 support to bring another rally. Prior support from 55 day EMA is a sign of near term bullishness. On the upside, break of 122.65 will target 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.72).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.57; (P) 117.94; (R1) 118.29; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 117.51 is still in progress. With 119.87 resistance intact, near term outlook remains bearish. On the downside, break of 117.51 will resume the large down trend to 114.84 support next. However, break of 119.87 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 120.49).

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY dropped to as low as 118.37 last week and breach of 118.46 support suggests resumption of whole decline from 122.87. Also, the development revises the case that larger rebound from 115.86 has completed at 122.87 already. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 100% projection of 122.87 to 118.46 from 121.39 at 116.98 next. For now, risk will remain on the downside as long as 121.39 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). It was also just rejected by 55 week EMA. Break of 115.86 will extend the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.84 support next.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 125.42), this is the preferred case.

EUR/JPY rebounded strongly last week but upside was held firmly below 125.08 resistance. Initial bias is neutral first. On the upside, break of 125.08 will resume the rebound form 122.37 to retest 127.07. Nevertheless, break of 123.01 will argue that correction from 127.07 is possibly extending with another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.05; (P) 121.37; (R1) 121.56; More….

EUR/JPY’s consolidation from 122.65 could extend further. But downside of retreat should be contained above 119.99 support to bring another rally. Prior support from 55 day EMA is a sign of near term bullishness. On the upside, break of 122.65 will target 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.49).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.