EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY dropped to 120.95 last week but recovered ahead of 120.78 support. The development suggests that consolidation from 120.78 is extending with another rise. Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week for 123.18 resistance. Upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this is now the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.85; (P) 121.39; (R1) 121.69; More….

EUR/JPY continues to lose downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further decline is expected with 121.92 minor resistance intact. Firm break of 120.78 will resume the larger decline from 127.50 will target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias to the upside to extend the consolidation from 120.78.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.13; (P) 121.39; (R1) 121.61; More….

With 122.17 minor resistance intact, further fall is expected in EUR/JPY. Decisive break of 120.78 support will resume the larger decline from 127.50 will target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias to the upside to extend the consolidation from 120.78.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.98; (P) 121.47; (R1) 121.87; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Decisive break of 120.78 support will resume the larger decline from 127.50 will target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias neutral and bring more consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.52; (P) 121.83; (R1) 122.05; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for retesting 120.789 support. Decisive break there will resume the larger decline from 127.50 will target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias neutral and bring more consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.43; (P) 121.86; (R1) 122.15; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Corrective recovery from 120.78 should have completed at 123.18 already. Deeper fall should be seen to 120.78 low first. Break will resume larger fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias neutral and bring more consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged higher to 123.18 last week but dropped sharply since then. The development suggests that corrective recovery from 120.78 has completed. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 120.78 low first. Break will resume larger fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias neutral and bring more consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this is now the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.05; (P) 122.31; (R1) 122.49; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 122.10 minor support suggests that corrective recovery from 120.78 has completed at 123.18 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 120.78 first. Break there will resume whole decline from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. In case of another rise, we’d continue to expect strong resistance form 123.73 to complete the recovery to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.24; (P) 122.66; (R1) 122.90; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook as recovery from 120.78 is seen as a corrective move. Upside should be limited by 123.73 resistance to completion the correction and bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 122.10 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 120.78 first. Break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. However, sustained break of 123.73 will indicate short term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 127.50 resistance again.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.62; (P) 122.89; (R1) 123.19; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook. While further rise could be seen, upside is still expected to be limited by 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 122.10 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 120.78 first. Break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. However, sustained break of 123.73 will indicate short term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 127.50 resistance again.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.54; (P) 122.74; (R1) 122.86; More….

EUR/JPY’s corrective rise from 120.78 has extending higher but upside is still expected to be limited by 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 122.10 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 120.78 first. Break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. However, sustained break of 123.73 will indicate short term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 127.50 resistance again.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.22; (P) 122.47; (R1) 122.87; More….

EUR/JPY’s corrective recovery from 120.78 might extend higher. But upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 122.10 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 120.78 first. Break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. However, sustained break of 123.73 will indicate short term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 127.50 resistance again.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged lower to 120.78 last week but recovered since then. Corrective recovery from there might extend higher this week. But upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 122.10 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 120.78 first. Break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this is now the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.52; (P) 121.96; (R1) 122.67; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as corrective rise from 120.78 is extending. Upside is still expected to be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fail resumption. On the downside, break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 123.73 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.40; (P) 121.84; (R1) 122.12; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation above 120.78 and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 123.73 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.39; (P) 121.60; (R1) 121.89; More….

EUR/JPY’s recovery from 120.78 extends higher today but we’d still see it as a correction. Thus, intraday bias remains neutral and upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 123.73 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.95; (P) 121.30; (R1) 121.83; More….

A temporary low is formed at 120.78 in EUR/JPY and intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation. Further recovery could be seen but upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 123.73 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.56; (P) 121.31; (R1) 121.69; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside as this point. Current fall from 127.50 is targeting a retest on 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.08 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 123.73 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s decline resumed last week and reached as low as 120.92. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for retesting 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.08 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 123.73 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this is now the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.79; (P) 122.03; (R1) 122.25;  More….

EUR/JPY’s decline resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall from 127.50 should target a test on 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.26 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.