EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.36; (P) 132.63; (R1) 132.95; More….

EUR/JPY’s rise continue with weak upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. While further rebound could be seen, upside will now likely be limited by 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 and below. On the downside, below 132.10 minor support will suggests that the rebound from 128.94 might have completed. And, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 128.94 low.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.71; (P) 156.59; (R1) 157.34; More..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues inside 153.15/158.55. On the upside, above 158.55 will resume the rebound from 153.15. On the downside, break of 153.15 will resume whole fall from 164.39 to 61.8% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 148.69.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.68; (P) 144.31; (R1) 144.99; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation below 145.56 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Rebound from 137.37 could be extending. On the upside, break of 145.66 will target 148.38 high. However, break of 143.12 minor support will mix up the outlook again and turn bias to the downside for 138.81 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.78) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Decisive break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.85; (P) 138.84; (R1) 139.55; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Fall from 142.31 is seen as a falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 144.23. Deeper decline would be seen to 136.85 support. On the upside, above 140.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 142.31 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.05; (P) 121.41; (R1) 121.73; More…

EUR/JPY dips mildly but stays in range of 120.54/124.08 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Price actions from 124.08 are seen as a corrective move. Below 120.54 will bring deeper pull back. But downside should be contained by 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 124.08 will extend the larger rally from 109.20 to 126.09 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.07; (P) 124.10; (R1) 125.51; More….

EUR/JPY’s breach of 125.00 resistance argues that correction from 127.07 has completed with three waves down to 121.63. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 127.07 high. On the downside, though, break of 123.18 minor support would extend the correction with another fall through 121.63.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in the consolidation pattern from 128.58 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some more sideway trading. Downside breakout is expected as long as 131.07 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 128.85 support will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.13; (P) 128.80; (R1) 130.00; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.04; (P) 122.08; (R1) 122.72; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as the sideway consolidation from 124.08 extends. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out. On the downside, below 120.54 will target 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). In that case, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 124.08 will extend the larger rally from 109.20 to 126.09 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.99; (P) 122.29; (R1) 122.77; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for the moment. Current rally should target 122.88 resistance next. As noted before, the correction from 124.08 should have completed with three waves down to 114.84 already. Break of 122.88 resistance will extend larger rise from 109.20 through 124.08 high. On the downside, below 120.60 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.41; (P) 122.64; (R1) 122.96; More…

Upside momentum in EUR/JPY is a but unconvincing as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further rally is still expected with 120.60 support holds. As noted before, the correction from 124.08 should have completed with three waves down to 114.84 already. Firm break of 122.88 resistance will extend larger rise from 109.20 through 124.08 high. On the downside, break of 120.60 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back, possibly to 55 day EMA (now at 119.71).

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.96; (P) 156.45; (R1) 157.27; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first with current retreat. Further rally would remain in favor as long as 154.30 minor support holds. Above 156.92 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 139.05 to 151.60 from 146.12 at 158.67. On the downside, break of 154.03 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY extended the consolidation from 137.50 last week. Initial bias stays neutral this week first, but further rally is expected with 133.70 support intact. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, focus is now on 137.49 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there will raise the chance that whole rise from 94.11 (2012 low) is resuming through 149.76 resistance. This will be a slightly favored case for now, as long as 124.37 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.59; (P) 121.72; (R1) 121.91; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 122.65 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break 122.65 will resume whole rally from 115.86 and target medium term channel resistance (now at 124.26). However, break of 119.99 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 115.86 to 122.65 at 120.05) will argue that rise from 115.86 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 118.45.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.35; (P) 125.65; (R1) 125.96; More….

Intraday bias in EUR?JPY remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 123.78 support will suggests completion of rebound from 118.62 after rejection by 55 day EMA. Deeper fall would then be seen back to retest 118.62 low. However, decisive break of 125.95 will dampen our bearish view and target 129.25 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.49 is likely still in progress. Decisive break of 118.62 will target 161.8% projection of 137.49 to 124.61 from 133.12 at 112.28, which is inside 109.03/114.84 support zone.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.91; (P) 136.95; (R1) 138.47; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside for retesting 139.99 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend for 144.06 medium term projection level. In case consolidation from 139.99 extends with another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.81; (P) 157.35; (R1) 158.00; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral as consolidation from 157.99 might extend further. In case of another dip, further rally is still expected as long as 154.03 support holds. On the upside, break of 157.99 will resume larger up trend to 162.82 projection level. However, break of 154.03 will argue that larger correction is under way back to 151.60 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in established last week and initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 138.38 resistance will resume the rebound from 133.38 towards 142.31 resistance. On the downside, break of 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support. Overall, corrective pattern from 144.26 could extend further with more choppy trading.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

In the long term picture, up trend from 94.11 (2012 low) is seen as in the third leg. Further rally would be seen to 149.76 resistance (2014 high) and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 month EMA (now at 128.86) holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.56; (P) 149.94; (R1) 150.57; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is back on the upside with break of 150.04 temporary top. Rebound from 146.12 is in progress for retesting 151.60 high. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, however, break of 148.83 minor support should extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg towards 146.12.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.53; (P) 135.83; (R1) 136.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. More consolidation would be seen in range of 133.03/136.63. But after all, outlook stays bullish with 133.03 support intact. Break of 136.63 will resume medium term up trend. However, on the downside, break of 133.03 will have 55 day EMA and medium term channel support firmly taken out. Also, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD too, that will suggest medium term reversal. Deeper fall should then be seen to 132.04 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). It should be targeting 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 132.04 support is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart