Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.65; (P) 134.20; (R1) 134.67; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current up trend should target 136.53 projection level next. On the downside, though, break of 132.31 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress and resuming. Next target is 61.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 136.53, and then 137.49 (2018 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY dipped to 128.28 last week but rebounded since then. Initial bias is mildly on the upside for retesting 130.65 high. Break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. On the downside, below 128.28 will extend the correction from 130.65. But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.03; (P) 143.51; (R1) 143.93; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. Further decline could be seen as long as 146.12 resistance holds. Break of 140.75 will resume the fall from 148.38. However, break of 146.12 resistance will indicate that correction from 148.38 has completed. Bias will be back on the upside for retesting 148.38.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, 148.38 could be a medium term top already. Fall from there is probably correcting whole up trend from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 137.37), or further to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40 before completion.

EUR/JPY jumped to as high as 121.99 last week. The development indicates completion of correction from 124.08, with three waves down to 114.84. And, whole medium term rebound from 109.20 is resuming. We’d expect further rally in near term, through 124.08 to 126.09 key resistance next.

Upside momentum in EUR/JPY is a bit unconvincing as seen in 4 hour MACD. Further rise is expected this week as long as 118.91 support holds. Above 121.99 will target 122.88 resistance. Decisive break there should send EUR/JPY through 124.08 to 126.09 key resistance next. However, break of 118.91 will turn focus back to 114.84 instead.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

In the long term picture, medium term decline from 149.76 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern from 88.96. We’re not seeing any sign of an established long term trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong support at 94.11 in case of another fall. Also, there could be strong resistance at 149.76 in case of a medium term rise.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.75; (P) 125.10; (R1) 125.59; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 123.65 is in progress and could extend to 126.78/127.50 resistance zone first. On the downside, however, break of 123.56 will resume the fall from 127.50 to 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 122.01.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 118.62 might have completed earlier than expected at 127.50. EUR/JPY is held well inside medium term falling channel, and below 55 week EMA (now at 127.61). That is, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 133.12 key resistance instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.99; (P) 131.55; (R1) 131.85; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 133.47 extends to as low as 130.79 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 128.94 low first. Break there will resume whole fall from 137.49 and target 126.61 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 131.66 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited well below 133.47 resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. The first leg has completed at 128.94. The second leg might be finished at 133.47 or it might extend. But after all, we’d expect another decline through 128.94 to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completing the correction.

EUR/JPY dropped sharply to 127.90 last week but rebounded strongly to close at 130.20. The break of 130.03 support turned resistance argue that the fall from 133.13 might be completed with three waves down to 127.90 Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week first 131.89 resistance first. Break there will target 133.13. On the downside, though, break of 128.70 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to resume the fall from 133.13 through 127.90.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Long term outlook will remain neutral until breakout from the range of 109.03/137.49.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.82; (P) 146.26; (R1) 146.78; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Current rise from 137.37 is in progress and further further rally should be seen back to retest 148.38 high. On the downside, below 145.13 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral. But outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 142.53 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.78) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Decisive break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.66; (P) 128.13; (R1) 128.82; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 128.82 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained by 126.47 support to bring rise resumption. Above 128.82 will target 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 125.80 from 122.39 at 129.16 first . That’s also close to medium term projection level at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, the break of 126.09 support turned resistance should have confirmed completion of down trend form 149.76 (2014 high), at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rise from 109.03 should target 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 and above. Medium term outlook will now remain bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

EUR/JPY extended the sideway patter from 156.57 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week for more consolidations. Deeper decline will remain in favor as long as 158.64 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 156.57 support, and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 157.02) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 151.39 support. Nevertheless, above 158.64 would bring retest of 159.75 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96.

In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.42; (P) 128.75; (R1) 129.31; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation form 129.96 is extending. Further rally is expected as long as 127.48 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, above 129.96 will resume the up trend from 121.63 to 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. However, firm break of 127.48 will turn bias to the downside, for deeper decline to 125.07 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 will pave the way to 137.49 resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.83; (P) 123.23; (R1) 123.45; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 123.18 support now suggests that rebound from 121.63 has completed at 125.13, after rejection by 125.08 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 121.63. Firm break there will resume the pattern from 127.07 with another fall to 119.31 key support level. On the upside, though, break of 123.66 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 125.13 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.57; (P) 129.04; (R1) 129.49; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 130.76 short term top. Deeper fall might be seen. But downside should be contained by 127.43 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 130.76 at 127.56) and bring rebound. Above 130.76 will extend the larger rally to next key fibonacci level at 134.20.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.17; (P) 123.79; (R1) 124.28; More…

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook despite diminishing upside moment as seen in 4 hour MACD. Further rally is expected with 122.92 minor support intact. Firm break of 124.08 resistance will confirm resumption of whole rise from 109.20. In that case, EUR/JPY would target 126.09 resistance first. Break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. On the downside, below 122.92 minor support will turn bias to the downside and bring pull back.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.42; (P) 120.86; (R1) 121.13; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 121.46 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 119.11 support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 161.8% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 123.78 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 126.00). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.54; (P) 127.86; (R1) 128.07; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidations below 128.44 temporary top. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained well above 125.07 support to bring another rally. On the upside, sustained break of 128.67 long term fibonacci level will confirm medium term upside momentum, and target 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will indicate solid upside momentum and target 137.49 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 125.07 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.02; (P) 126.29; (R1) 126.79; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remain son the upside for 127.07 resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level On the upside, break of 125.13 resistance turned support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.93; (P) 131.38; (R1) 131.84; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside. Current development indicate medium term topping at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 133.05 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.19; (P) 128.64; (R1) 129.18; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 127.49 is extending. As long as 130.14 resistance holds, deeper decline is in favor in the cross. Below 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will resume whole fall from 133.12 and target 124.08/89 support zone. On the upside, however, break of 130.14 will resume the rebound from 126.63 towards 133.12 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.27; (P) 123.04; (R1) 123.92; More…

EUR/JPY is staying in range below 124.08 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation could extend but overall, further rally is in favor as long as 120.90 support holds. Above 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance next. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD, we’d be cautious on topping around 126.09. Meanwhile, break of 120.90 will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for 55 days EMA (now at 119.81).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as correcting whole down trend from 149.76 to 109.20. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

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