EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.69; (P) 129.18; (R1) 129.45; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and further fall is in favor with 129.65 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 128.59 will target a test on 127.91 low first. Break there will resume larger decline from 134.11 to 127.07 key support level next. On the upside, however, break of 129.65 will turn bias back to the upside for 130.73 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.05; (P) 138.54; (R1) 139.68; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 148.38 should target 135.40 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 140.00 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further decline will be expected as long as 142.92 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.54) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.97; (P) 122.52; (R1) 123.09; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 121.63 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. Deeper decline would remain in favor as long as 125.08 resistance holds, even in case of strong recovery. Break of 121.63 will resume the fall from 127.07, to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY turned into consolidation below 161.84 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. While another dip cannot be ruled out, further rally is expected as long as 158.55 resistance turned support holds. Break of 161.84 will resume the rebound from 153.15 to retest 164.29 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.97; (P) 122.27; (R1) 122.62; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside as choppy rebound from 119.31 is extending. Further rise should be seen to retest 124.43 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 114.42 bottom. on the downside, break of 121.81 support would turn bias back to the downside for 120.27 support. Break there should start the third leg of the corrective pattern from 124.43 to 119.31 support, and probably further to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 120.35) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.39; (P) 129.85; (R1) 130.37; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 129.11. Further decline remains in favor as long as 130.70 resistance holds. Below 129.11 will target 127.85 support first. Break there will confirm completion of rebound from 124.89 at 133.12 and bring retest of this low. On the upside, though, above 130.70 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 133.12 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY could have defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds. However, break of 127.895 will turn focus back to 124.08 key support level.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.85; (P) 123.47; (R1) 124.40; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 125.80 short term top. Deeper pull back could be seen. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.39; (P) 130.93; (R1) 131.61; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside as rise from 127.36 is in progress. As noted before, whole consolidation from 134.11 could have completed with three waves down to 127.36, ahead of 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. Further rally should be seen to target a test on 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 130.01 minor support will turn bias neutral for consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.75; (P) 125.96; (R1) 126.22; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 126.39 will resume the rebound from 125.07, for retesting 127.48 high. On the downside, however, break of 125.07 will argue that the correction from 127.48 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 123.86.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.03; (P) 115.80; (R1) 116.19; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 115.44 support suggests larger down trend resumption. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Next target is 100% projection of 122.87 to 116.12 from 121.14 at114.39. On the upside, break of 117.77 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, further fall is expected even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet, with the cross staying well inside falling channel. Fall from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress for 109.48 (2016 low). Also, in any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 122.87 resistance holds, in case of another rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.14; (P) 155.64; (R1) 156.41; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays mildly on the upside, as rebound from 153.32 is in progress for retesting 157.99 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 153.32 will extend the pull back from 157.99 to 55 D EMA (now at 152.87) and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.73; (P) 129.10; (R1) 129.45; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 129.96 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected as long as 127.48 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, above 129.96 will resume the up trend from 121.63 to 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. However, firm break of 127.48 will turn bias to the downside, for deeper decline to 125.07 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 will pave the way to 137.49 resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.47; (P) 116.16; (R1) 116.67; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Sustained trading below 115.86 low will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next near term target will be 100% projection of 121.14 to 116.33 from 119.00 at 114.19. On the upside, however, break of 117.21 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high), as well as below falling 55 week EMA. As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend form 137.49 should extend to 109.48 (2016 low). However, sustained break of 122.87 will indicate medium term bullish reversal.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.73; (P) 129.12; (R1) 129.66; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Outlook stays bearish with 129.62 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 127.36 will resume fall from 133.44 and larger pattern from 134.11. Next target is 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. However, firm break of 129.62 will now argue that fall from 133.44 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.55; (P) 136.96; (R1) 137.37; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 139.99 is still extending. Downside of retreat should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend for 144.06 medium term projection level.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.95; (P) 132.17; (R1) 132.49; More….

We’re holding on to the view that corrective rebound from 128.94 has completed at 133.47 already. Deeper decline should be seen back to retest 128.94 low. Break there will resume whole decline from 137.49. On the upside, above 133.47 will extend the rebound. But we expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 to limit upside and bring near term reversal eventually.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. The first leg has completed at 128.94. The second leg might be finished at 133.47 or it might extend. But after all, we’d expect another decline through 128.94 to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completing the correction.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.73; (P) 124.09; (R1) 124.40; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in right range below 125.09 and intraday bias remains neutral first. For now, we’d still expect strong resistance around 124.61 to complete the rebound from 118.62 low. Larger decline is expected to resume afterwards. Break of 123.40 will affirm our view and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 118.62 low first. However, sustained break of 124.61 will dampen our view and extend the rebound to 127.09 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is seen as a medium term fall, resuming the decline from 149.76 (2014 high). Such decline should break through 109.03 low next. This will remain the preferred case as long as 124.61 support turned resistance holds. Sustained break of 124.61 will mix up the outlook and we’ll reassess on the final structure of the rebound from 118.62.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.41; (P) 143.43; (R1) 144.18; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 143.12 support argues that rise from 138.81 has completed at 145.66. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 142.80) will target 138.81 support. On the upside, break of 145.66 will resume recent rebound from 137.37 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.78) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Decisive break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.72; (P) 125.96; (R1) 126.31; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in range of 125.07/126.39 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 126.39 will resume the rebound from 125.07, for retesting 127.48 high. On the downside, however, break of 125.07 will argue that the correction from 127.48 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 123.86.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.94; (P) 144.65; (R1) 145.26; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral as consolidation from 148.38 is extending. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 55 day EMA (now at 143.09) to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 149.76 long term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.