EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.90; (P) 124.36; (R1) 124.86; More….

A temporary low is in place at 123.82 in EUR/JPY and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 125.68 minor resistance holds. Prior break of 124.27 support indicates completion of rebound from 118.62. On the downside, below 123.82 will target 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 122.01. However, break of 125.68 will bring stronger rebound back to 127.50 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 118.62 might have completed earlier than expected at 127.50. EUR/JPY is held well inside medium term falling channel, and below 55 week EMA (now at 127.86). That is, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 133.12 key resistance instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.85; (P) 122.16; (R1) 122.38; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 122.65 is extending. Downside should be contained above 119.99 support to bring another rally. Prior support from 55 day EMA is a sign of near term bullishness. On the upside, break of 122.65 will target 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.72).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.41; (P) 124.65; (R1) 124.92; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound form 122.37 is still in progress and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside for retesting 127.07. As 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 was defended well, we’d expect larger rebound from 114.42 to resume later, with a break of 127.07. On the downside, though, break of 123.84 minor support will suggest that the recovery from 122.37 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 122.23 fibonacci support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.23; (P) 127.78; (R1) 128.18; More….

Intraday bias is EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside for 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. We’d look for some support from there to bring rebound. But sustained break of 126.58 will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, break of 128.77 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.80; (P) 139.20; (R1) 140.00; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Decisive break of 139.99 resistance will confirm larger up trend resumption. Next target 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 139.99 from 132.63 at 142.28. On the downside, below 138.18 minor support will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias again first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.71; (P) 147.31; (R1) 148.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend, and next target will be 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained trading below 146.39 will indicate rejection by 148.38, and bring deeper fall to extend the corrective pattern from there.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.70) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). Decisive break there will resume long term up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.97; (P) 140.37; (R1) 141.36; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 136.98). Sustained break there will bring further decline to 132.63 support. On the upside, above 141.77 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 144.23 again.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.72; (P) 135.30; (R1) 135.96; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 137.49. Further rise is expected as long as 133.70 support holds. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.93; (P) 118.44; (R1) 119.29; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for 120.10 resistance. Rebound from 115.86 is possibly still in progress. Break of 120.01 will target 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48 next. On the downside, though, break of 117.07 will target retest on 115.86 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.85; (P) 133.31; (R1) 133.56; More….

EUR/JPY is still staying in consolidation from 134.11 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is still expected with 132.51 support intact. On the upside, sustained break of 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28, will extend the up trend from 114.42 to 137.49 long term resistance next. On the downside, however, firm break of 132.51 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 130.65 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s strong rally last week suggests that rebound from 115.86 is ready to resume. The strong break of 55 day EMA and bullish convergence condition in daily MACD argues that 115.86 is a medium term bottom too. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Break of 120.01 will target 100% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 121.16 first. On the downside, though, below 118.76 will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Break of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 126.10). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this is the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.95; (P) 123.21; (R1) 123.42; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Corrective pattern from 127.07 is possibly extending with another falling leg. Break of 122.84 Below 122.84 will target a test on 121.63 support. However, break of 123.66 will dampen this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 125.13 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.88; (P) 136.34; (R1) 137.15; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 138.38 resistance will resume the rebound from 133.38 towards 142.31 resistance. On the downside, break of 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support. Overall, corrective pattern from 144.26 could extend further with more choppy trading.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in consolidation from 122.08 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week and some more sideway trading could be seen first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 124.09 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 122.08 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. Nevertheless, firm break of 124.09 will at least bring stronger rebound back to 125.23 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.03 low. On the upside, break of 133.12 resistance bring retest of 149.76 (2014 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.40; (P) 157.05; (R1) 157.58; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 158.464 will argue that the pull back has from 159.75 is completed. Bias will be turned back to the upside for resuming larger up trend through 159.75 high. On the downside, below 156.07 minor support will resume the fall from 159.75 through 154.32 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 159.75 are views as a corrective pattern for now. As long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still expected to continue through 159.75 at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 151.39 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper correction.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.91; (P) 147.38; (R1) 147.73; More….

A temporary top is in place at 147.85 in EUR/JPY ahead of 148.38 high. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rally will remain mildly in favor as long as 145.66 resistance turned support holds. Decisive break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 149.75 long term resistance. However, firm break of 145.66 will indicate that corrective pattern from 148.38 has started the third leg. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 142.53 support first and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.44) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. Decisive break there will resume long term up trend. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.85; (P) 138.84; (R1) 139.55; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Fall from 142.31 is seen as a falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 144.23. Deeper decline would be seen to 136.85 support. On the upside, above 140.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 142.31 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged higher to 127.07 last week but quickly retreated. Initial bias stays neutral this week first for some more consolidations. Further rise is still expected as long as 124.44 support holds. Break of 127.07 will resume larger rise from 114.42 to 128.67 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 124.44 will confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction, to 55 day EMA (now at 123.80).

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.40; (P) 125.70; (R1) 126.08; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 127.07 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is still expected as long as 124.44 support holds. Break of 127.07 will resume larger rise from 114.42 to 128.67 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 124.44 will confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction, to 55 day EMA (now at 123.93).

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.04; (P) 118.39; (R1) 118.69; More….

EUR/JPY’s breach of 117.67 suggests resumption of recent decline. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current downtrend should target 114.84 support next. On the upside, above 118.74 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.