EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.47; (P) 160.79; (R1) 161.19; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside despite loss of momentum. Firm break of 161.84 will confirm resumption of whole rise from 153.15. Next target is a retest on 164.29 high. On the downside, below 160.36 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally is expected as long as 158.06 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.66; (P) 158.12 (R1) 158.59; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays mildly on the upside at this point. Pull back from 159.32 could extend to 55 D EMA (now at 155.42). On the upside, though, break of 159.32 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 139.05 to 157.99 from 151.39 at 163.09 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will now remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.14; (P) 161.37; (R1) 161.77; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first as it retreated ahead of 161.84 resistance On the upside, firm break of 161.84 will confirm resumption of whole rise from 153.15. Next target is a retest on 164.29 high. On the downside, however, below 160.36 will extend the pattern from 161.84 with another falling leg, and turn bias to the downside for 158.06 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY rose to 133.44 last week but retreated notably since then. Initial bias is now mildly on the downside this week for deeper pull back to 55 day EAM (now at 130.38). On the upside, above 133.44 will target 134.11 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. Next target is 61.8% projection of 121.63 to 134.11 from 127.91 at 135.62.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.56; (P) 120.81; (R1) 121.22; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 121.46 is extending. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 119.11 support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 161.8% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 123.78 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 126.00). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.19; (P) 122.19; (R1) 123.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 122.65 is extending. In case of further retreat, downside should be contained above 119.99 support to bring another rally. Prior support from 55 day EMA is a sign of near term bullishness. On the upside, break of 122.65 will target 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.33).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.14; (P) 124.59; (R1) 124.88; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat. But with 123.84 minor support intact, further rise is still in favor. Break of 125.08 will extend the rebound from 122.37 to retest 127.07 high. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 114.42. On the downside, however, break of 123.84 will turn bias back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.23; (P) 137.73; (R1) 138.67; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 138.33 resistance suggests that pull back from 139.99 has completed, and larger up trend is resuming. Intraday bias stays on the up side for 139.99 first. Firm break there will confirm and target 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 139.99 from 132.63 at 142.28. On the downside, below 136.79 minor support will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias again first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.22; (P) 129.87; (R1) 130.38; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point and deeper fall is in favor. On the downside, break of 129.20 will extend the fall from 133.12 to 127.85 support first. Break there will confirm completion of rebound from 124.89 at 133.12 and bring retest of this low. On the upside, though, above 130.70 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 133.12 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY could have defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds. However, break of 127.895 will turn focus back to 124.08 key support level.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s decline last week suggests rejection by 121.39 resistance. Initial focus is now on 115.86/116.12 support zone this week. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. Next near term target will be 100% projection of 122.78 to 116.12 from 121.14 at 114.39. On the upside, though, break of 118.87 minor resistance will argue that consolidation from 115.86 is extending with another rising leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 121.14 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high), as well as falling 55 week EMA. As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend form 137.49 should extend to 109.48 (2016 low). However, sustained break of 122.87 will indicate medium term bullish reversal.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 124.84), this is the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.70; (P) 132.16; (R1) 132.89; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally continues to as high as 132.61 so far. Breach of 132.40 resistance with solid upside momentum suggests decline from 137.49 has completed at 128.94 already. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 and above. On the downside, break of 131.09 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rebound will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading another, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.86; (P) 129.18; (R1) 129.75; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral as it recovers after hitting 128.58. Some consolidations could be seen first. but further decline is expected as long as 131.07 resistance holds. Break of 128.58 will resume the fall from 134.11. Such decline is seen as correcting whole up trend from 114.42. Deeper fall would be seen to 127.07 resistance turned support next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high) However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 114.11; (P) 114.86; (R1) 115.29; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Break of 100% projection of 122.87 to 116.12 from 121.14 at114.39 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 100.21. On the upside, above 115.44 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 117.77 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet, with the cross staying well inside falling channel. Fall from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress for 109.48 (2016 low). Also, in any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 122.87 resistance holds, in case of another rebound.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in the consolidation pattern from 125.80 last week and outlook remains unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. Nonetheless, firm break of 121.61 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 119.02.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

In the long term picture, medium term decline from 149.76 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern from 88.96. We’re not seeing any sign of an established long term trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong support at 94.11 in case of another fall. Also, there could be strong resistance at 149.76 in case of a medium term rise.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Chart

EUR/JPY Monthly Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.39; (P) 149.67; (R1) 150.16; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 148.58 temporary low will extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 146.12 support and possibly below. On the upside, however, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.85; (P) 123.25; (R1) 123.91; More…

EUR/JPY continues to lose upside moment ahead of 124.08. But there is no clear sign of topping yet. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 124.08 and break will confirm resumption of whole rise from 109.20. Further rally would then be seen to 126.09 key resistance. On the downside, below 122.30 minor support will turn bias neutral first and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.10; (P) 137.02; (R1) 137.65; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as sideway trading continues. On the upside, break of 138.38 resistance will resume the rebound from 133.38 towards 142.31 resistance. On the downside, break of 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support. Overall, corrective pattern from 144.26 could extend further with more choppy trading.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.60; (P) 133.83; (R1) 134.02; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral for moment, but further rise is still expected with 132.51 support intact. Sustained break of 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28 will extend the up trend from 114.42 to 137.49 long term resistance next. On the downside, break of 132.51 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 130.65 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.91; (P) 116.19; (R1) 116.64; More…

EUR/JPY’s recovery from 114.84 low is still in progress. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. At this point, we’d still expect upside to be limited by 118.23 resistance and bring another fall. Corrective rise from 109.20 should have completed at 124.08. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88 will pave the way to retest 109.20 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term corrective rise from 109.20 should have completed at 124.08, ahead of 126.09 support turned resistance. Medium term down trend from 149.76 is likely resuming. Break of 109.20 will target 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of another rebound.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.29; (P) 161.55; (R1) 161.72; More….

Despite some loss of momentum as seen in 4H MACD, intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside. Current rally should target 163.06 projection level next. But strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside on first attempt. On the downside, below 160.68 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. On the downside, break of 154.32 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.