EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.50; (P) 122.69; (R1) 122.86; More….

Break of 122.76 temporary top suggests rally resumption in EUR/JPY. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Rise from 115.86 should target medium term channel resistance (now at 123.97). Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication. On the downside, break of 122.18 minor support will indicate short term top and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.83; (P) 141.23; (R1) 141.70; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range of 137.37/142.84 and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 137.37 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed, and bring stronger rise back to 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.81) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.58; (P) 132.81; (R1) 133.11; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally resumes by breaking 133.42 resistance and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current up trend should now target 00% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. On the downside, break of 132.51 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook remains bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY rose further last week but failed to break through 144.23 resistance. Subsequent retest was supported support by 4 hour 55 EMA. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 144.23 will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 141.39 minor support will bring deeper fall, to extend the corrective pattern from 144.23.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, current rally could be resuming whole rise from 94.11 (2012 low). Further rally would be seen to 149.76 resistance (2014 high) and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 132.63 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.93; (P) 137.45; (R1) 137.94; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 138.38 resistance will resume the rebound from 133.38 towards 142.31 resistance. On the downside, break of 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support. Overall, corrective pattern from 144.26 could extend further with more choppy trading.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.06; (P) 122.62; (R1) 123.03; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point as it’s staying in consolidation from 121.63 temporary low. Deeper decline would remain in favor as long as 125.08 resistance holds, even in case of strong recovery. Break of 121.63 will resume the fall from 127.07, to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.73; (P) 129.41; (R1) 129.77; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside for the moment. Fall from 131.59 is seen as part of the corrective pattern from 134.11. Deeper decline would be seen to 127.36 support first. Break will target 126.58 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 130.07 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside for now as long as 131.59 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.19; (P) 160.02; (R1) 160.61; More

EUR/JPY is extending the consolidation from 161.84 and intraday bias remains neutral. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, further rally is expected as long as 158.55 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 160.91 minor resistance will argue that rise from 153.15 is ready to resume through 161.84. Nevertheless, firm break of 158.55 will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.31; (P) 136.98; (R1) 137.43; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral and consolidation from 139.99 could extend further. Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend for 144.06 medium term projection level.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.07; (P) 119.00; (R1) 120.28; More….

Outlook in EUR/JPY is unchanged and intraday bias remains neutral. Consolidation from 115.86 could extend with another rise. On the upside, break of 121.39 will target 122.87 resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.62; (P) 128.09; (R1) 129.69; More….

EUR/JPY is losing some downside momentum, but further decline is expected as long as 129.58 minor resistance holds. Corrective pattern from 134.11 should target 126.58 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, however, break of 129.58 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for rebound back towards 133.44 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.31; (P) 141.69; (R1) 142.38; More….

EUR/JPY roses to as high as 144.20 so far today. Sustained break of 144.06 could bring even further medium term upside acceleration. Next near term target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 139.99 from 132.63 at 148.25. On the downside, below 141.36 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. Firm break there will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.30; (P) 157.61; (R1) 157.91; More….

Sideway trading continues in EUR/JPY above 156.57 support and intraday bias remains neutral. Risk stays on the downside with 158.64 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 156.57 support, and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.95) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 151.39 support. Nevertheless, above 158.64 would bring retest of 159.75 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.73; (P) 161.06; (R1) 161.47; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 153.15 is in progress for 161.8% projection of 153.15 to 158.55 from 155.06 at 163.79, which is close to 164.29 high. On the downside, below 160.03 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally is expected as long as 158.55 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY rebounded strongly after dipping to 137.32 last week, but stays below 142.28 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 142.28 will indicate that the pull back from 145.62 has completed, and bring stronger rally to retest this high. On the downside, though, break of 139.40 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to resume the fall from 145.62 through 137.32 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

In the long term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 129.41) holds, up trend 109.03 should still extend higher to 149.76 resistance (2014 high). However, sustained break of 55 month EMA will argue that the three wave pattern has completed, and bring deeper fall back to 109.03/114.42 support zone.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rise rally resumed and hit 145.55 last week but retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further rally is expected as long as 142.13 support holds. Corrective fall from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Break of 145.55 will resume the rise from 137.37 to 146.71 resistance and then 148.38 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.42) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds (2021 high). Sustained break of 149.76 (2014 high) will open up further rally, as resumption of the rise from 94.11 (2012 low), towards 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rise from 164.01 extended by breaking through 169.38 resistance last week. This rally is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 171.58. Initial bias remains on the upside for 61.8% projection of 164.01 to 169.38 from 167.31 at 170.62, and then 171.58 high. On the downside, break of 169.05 minor support will intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 167.31 should turn bias back to the downside to start the third leg towards 164.01.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 158.72) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 was already met but there is no signal of reversal yet. Firm break of 170.07 will target 138.2% projection at 191.32. This will remain the favored case as long as 153.15 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.28; (P) 157.33; (R1) 158.02; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. Corrective fall from 159.75 could extend lower as long as 158.64 resistance holds. Break of 156.57, and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.72) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper fall would be seen back towards 151.39 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in consolidation from 119.31 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. As long as 122.11 resistance holds, further decline is expected. Break of 119.31 will resume the fall from 124.43 to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24. On the upside, however, break of 122.11 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 124.43 instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 119.60) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 124.40) should confirm the start of another medium term rising leg.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in consolidation below 148.38 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. In case of another fall, downside should be contained 140.88/144.06 support zone to bring another rally. Break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.

In the long term picture, there is sign of upside acceleration with strong break of long term channel resistance. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds. Sustained break of 149.76 (2014 high) will open up further rally, as resumption of the rise from 94.11 (2012 low), towards 169.96 (2008 high).