EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.05; (P) 125.28; (R1) 125.46; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 125.91 minor resistance suggests that corrective pull back from 127.48 has completed at 125.07. That came after drawing support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 125.24. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 127.48 resistance. On the downside, through, firm break of 125.07 will extend the correction to 61.8% retracement at 123.86.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.35; (P) 129.65; (R1) 130.23; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral as a temporary low is formed at 129.02 with current recovery. But further decline is expected as long as 130.58 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 129.02 will resume the fall from 133.44 to 127.92 key support. Firm break there will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, however, break of 130.58 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). However, sustained break of 127.91 support will argue that a medium term top is formed, and turn outlook bearish for deeper fall.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

While EUR/JPY’s correction from 161.84 extended to 158.06, it drew some support from 158.55 and near term rising channel and rebounded. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 160.25 will indicate that rise from 153.15 is ready to resume, and turn bias back to the upside for 161.84 first. Nevertheless, break of 158.06 will now suggest that the rise from 153.15 has completed and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.34; (P) 136.13; (R1) 137.31; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. Overall, it’s staying in the corrective pattern from 144.26. On the upside, above 138.38 will resume the rebound from 138.38. On the downside, below 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.54; (P) 161.08; (R1) 161.88; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the downside, below 160.20 will resume the fall from 163.70 to 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 163.70 at 159.66. Sustained break there will indicate that fall from 163.70 is reversing whole rise from 153.13, and target 61.8% retracement at 157.18. On the upside, though, above 162.16 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness, and bring retest of 163.70.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 which could still be extending. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.12; (P) 120.04; (R1) 120.54; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further decline remains mildly in favor with 121.39 resistance intact. larger rebound from 115.86 should have completed at 122.87. Break of 118.37 will target 100% projection of 122.87 to 118.46 from 121.39 at 116.98 next. However, firm break of 121.39 will revive near term bullishness and bring retest of 122.87 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). It was also just rejected by 55 week EMA. Break of 115.86 will extend the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.84 support next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.01; (P) 128.50; (R1) 128.83; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in range of 127.49/129.29 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will then resume the whole decline from 133.12 to 124.08/89 support zone. And, even in case of recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.83; (P) 141.23; (R1) 141.70; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range of 137.37/142.84 and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 137.37 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed, and bring stronger rise back to 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.81) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.79; (P) 122.03; (R1) 122.25;  More….

EUR/JPY’s decline resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall from 127.50 should target a test on 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.26 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.54; (P) 161.77; (R1) 162.05; More

EUR/JPY’s rally is in progress even though upside momentum is not too convincing. Intraday bias stays on the upside. Rise from 153.15 should target a retest on 164.29 high. On the downside, however, below 161.46 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.74; (P) 129.00; (R1) 129.30; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as it’s bounded in range of 127.49/129.29. On the downside, break of 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will then resume the whole decline from 133.12 to 124.08/89 support zone. And, even in case of stronger recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.57; (P) 162.56; (R1) 163.35; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is now on the downside as fall from 164.92 extends. Deeper decline would be seen, but downside should be contained well above 159.75 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 162.42 minor resistance will bring retest of 164.29. Firm break there will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). On the downside, break of 159.75 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.05; (P) 123.29; (R1) 123.46; More…

EUR/JPY’s decline extends to as low as 122.48 so far far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for the moment. As noted before, rebound form 118.62 has completed at 127.50 already. Further fall should be seen to retest this low. On the upside, above 123.52 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited by 124.09/125.29 resistance zone to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.14; (P) 125.33; (R1) 125.79; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 124.96 minor support suggests that rebound from 123.65 has completed. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 123.65 support first. Break there will resume whole fall from 127.50 and target 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.05 at 121.84. On the upside, though, above 125.61 will resume the rebound to 126.78/127.50 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is staying well inside medium term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). It’s also held below 55 week EMA (now at 127.53). Thus, down trend from 137.49 might still extend lower. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Rise from 118.76 should extend to 133.12 key resistance instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.66; (P) 121.05; (R1) 121.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. With 119.99 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 115.86 to 122.65 at 120.05) intact, near term outlook stays bullish for further rally. On the upside, break of 122.65 will resume rise from 115.86 to medium term channel resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 119.99 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 118.45.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.49) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.86; (P) 147.76; (R1) 148.49; More….

EUR/JPY is holding on to 146.85 support and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further rise is still expected with 146.85 support intact. On the upside, break of 151.60 will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level. Nevertheless, firm break of 146.85 will confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, current development indicates that rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 138.81 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.76; (P) 154.52; (R1) 155.94; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside as up trend is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 139.05 to 151.60 from 146.12 at 158.67. On the downside, below 153.08 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.99; (P) 126.26; (R1) 126.59; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation pattern below 126.74 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is mildly in favor as long as 125.13 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 127.07 will resume whole rise from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the downside, however, break of 125.13 resistance turned support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 127.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.70; (P) 140.82; (R1) 141.55; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range of 137.37/142.84 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, firm break of 155.33 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. On the upside, decisive break of 142.84 resistance will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed. Stronger rally should then be seen back to 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.81) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.38; (P) 117.74; (R1) 118.26; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 118.47 resistance suggests that pull back from 120.01 has completed at 117.07. And rebound from 115.86 is possibly still in progress. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 120.01 resistance first. Break will target 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48 next. On the downside, though, break of 117.07 will target retest on 115.86 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.