Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.38; (P) 117.74; (R1) 118.26; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 118.47 resistance suggests that pull back from 120.01 has completed at 117.07. And rebound from 115.86 is possibly still in progress. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 120.01 resistance first. Break will target 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48 next. On the downside, though, break of 117.07 will target retest on 115.86 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.02; (P) 131.46; (R1) 132.25; More…

EUR/JPY’s break of 131.69 resistance confirms resumption of larger rally. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise should target 134.20 fibonacci level next. On the downside, break of 129.36 support is now needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds, further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/JPY continued to stay in range above 116.12 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Consolidation from 115.86 could extend with another rise. On the upside, break of 121.39 will target 122.87 resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 125.11), this is the preferred case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.69; (P) 120.00; (R1) 120.55; More….

Focus is now on 120.63 minor resistance in EUR/JPY. Break will suggests that corrective fall from 121.46 has completed at 119.24, and rise from 115.86 is ready to resume. Further rise should then be seen to 121.46 resistance for confirmation. Break there will target 123.35 structural resistance. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 119.11 support holds, in case of another retreat.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.32). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term trend has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.19; (P) 160.02; (R1) 160.61; More…

EUR/JPY is extending the consolidation from 161.84 and intraday bias remains neutral. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, further rally is expected as long as 158.55 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 160.91 minor resistance will argue that rise from 153.15 is ready to resume through 161.84. Nevertheless, firm break of 158.55 will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.61; (P) 128.86; (R1) 129.06; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation above 127.49 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As long as 130.14 resistance holds, deeper decline is in favor in the cross. Below 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will resume whole fall from 133.12 and target 124.08/89 support zone. On the upside, however, break of 130.14 will resume the rebound from 126.63 towards 133.12 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.61; (P) 124.95; (R1) 125.47; More….

EUR/JPY rebounds further today but stays in range of 124.17/125.95. Intraday bias remains neutral first. At this point, we’re favoring the case that rebound from 118.62 has completed at 125.95 already, just ahead of 55 day EMA. On the downside, break of 123.78 will add more credence to this case and target a test on 118.62 low. On the upside, however, decisive break of 125.95 will dampen out bearish view and target 129.25 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.49 is likely still in progress. Decisive break of 118.62 will target 161.8% projection of 137.49 to 124.61 from 133.12 at 112.28, which is inside 109.03/114.84 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.53; (P) 130.01; (R1) 130.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat. On the upside, firm break of 130.73 resistance will argue that correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high. On the downside, break of 129.36 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 127.91 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.28; (P) 123.84; (R1) 124.52; More…

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook as consolidation from 125.80 is still in progress. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. In case of another fall, we’d expect downside to be contained by by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. Nonetheless, firm break of 121.61 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 119.02.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.30; (P) 158.62; (R1) 159.05; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays mildly on the upside for the moment. Further rise would be seen to retest 159.75 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 157.03 support is needed to signal completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 159.75 are views as a corrective pattern. As long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to continue through 159.75. Next target will be 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.85; (P) 123.25; (R1) 123.91; More…

EUR/JPY edges higher to 124.48 earlier today but quickly retreats. With 122.92 minor support intact, intraday bias stays on the upside for the moment. Firm break of 124.08 key resistance will confirm resumption of whole rise from 109.20. In that case, EUR/JPY would target 126.09 resistance first. Break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. On the downside, below 122.92 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat first.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.39; (P) 125.67; (R1) 125.98; More….

EUR/JPY lost momentum against after hitting 125.95 and intraday bias si turned neutral first. In case of another rally, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 55 day EMA (now at 126.11) to limit upside. On the downside, break of 124.36 support will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias to the downside. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 55 day EMA will pave the way back to 129.25 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.45; (P) 138.87; (R1) 139.51; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first as it recovered ahead of 137.37 support. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 142.84 resistance holds. Break of 137.37 will resume whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.64) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.31; (P) 124.67; (R1) 124.98; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 123.82 temporary low. Some consolidations could be seen and further fall is expected with 125.68 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 123.82 will resume the fall from 127.50 to 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 122.01. However, break of 125.68 will bring stronger rebound back to 127.50 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 118.62 might have completed earlier than expected at 127.50. EUR/JPY is held well inside medium term falling channel, and below 55 week EMA (now at 127.86). That is, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 133.12 key resistance instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.41; (P) 130.62; (R1) 130.92; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation form 131.59 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 131.59 resistance will reaffirm the bullish case that consolidation from 134.11 could have completed with three waves down to 127.36, ahead of 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. Further rally would then be seen to retest 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. On the downside break of 129.59 minor support will argue that rebound from 127.36 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.54; (P) 161.77; (R1) 162.05; More…

EUR/JPY’s rally is in progress even though upside momentum is not too convincing. Intraday bias stays on the upside. Rise from 153.15 should target a retest on 164.29 high. On the downside, however, below 161.46 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.14; (P) 125.33; (R1) 125.79; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 123.65 resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise could target 126.78/127.50 resistance zone. However, on the downside, break of 124.96 minor support will argue that the rebound is completed. And, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 123.65 support instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is staying well inside medium term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). It’s also held below 55 week EMA (now at 127.53). Thus, down trend from 137.49 might still extend lower. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Rise from 118.76 should extend to 133.12 key resistance instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.13; (P) 124.62; (R1) 124.94; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays mildly on the upside at this point. Firm break of 125.13 resistance will revive the case that correction from 127.07 has completed. Further rally would be seen back to retest this high. On the downside, though, break of 122.84 will turn bias back to the downside for 121.63 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.87; (P) 146.49; (R1) 147.02; More….

EUR/JPY is extending the consolidation from 148.38 and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained 140.88/144.06 support zone to bring another rally. Break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.47; (P) 128.99; (R1) 129.57; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.