EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.88; (P) 128.49; (R1) 128.96; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 124.89 to 130.86 at 127.17. The rebound from 124.89 might be completed at 130.86 already. Break of 127.17 will target a test on key support zone at 124.61/89. On the upside, though, break of 129.97 resistance will likely resume the rebound from 124.89 through 130.86.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turned support, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) remains in favor to continue. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.35; (P) 121.79; (R1) 122.06; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. We’re still favoring the case that consolidation from 120.78 has completed with three waves to 123.35. Below 121.31 will target retest of 120.78 first. Break will resume fall from 127.50 to 118.62 low. In case of another rise as consolidation from 120.78 extends, upside should be limited by 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.44; (P) 132.84; (R1) 133.76; More…

EUR/JPY’s pull back from 134.39 is still in progress. But still, it’s holding above 131.69 resistance turned support and outlook remains bullish. Above 133.02 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. Sustained break of 134.20 fibonacci level will extend larger up trend to 141.04 resistance next. However, break of 131.69 will be an early sigh of medium term reversal and will target 127.55 key support level instead.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. On the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.11; (P) 124.40; (R1) 124.62; More…

EUR/JPY drops sharply today but still, price actions from 125.80 are seen as a corrective pattern. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. Nonetheless, firm break of 121.61 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 119.02.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.28; (P) 120.48; (R1) 120.87; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. On the upside, break of 121.01 will bring retest of 121.46 resistance first. Break there will resume whole rise from 115.86 low. On the downside, below 119.99 will target 119.24 support next.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 125.14) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.70; (P) 125.97; (R1) 126.21; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will suggest completion of rebound from 118.62 after rejection by 55 day EMA. Deeper fall would then be seen back to retest 118.62 low. However, decisive break of 126.30 will dampen our bearish view and target 129.25 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 (2018 high) already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.49 is likely still in progress. Decisive break of 118.62 will target 161.8% projection of 137.49 to 124.61 from 133.12 at 112.28, which is inside 109.03/114.84 support zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 129.25 resistance holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.57; (P) 131.07; (R1) 131.45; More…

A temporary top is in place at 131.69 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Near term outlook in EUR/JPY will remain bullish as long as 127.55 support holds. Break of 131.69 will extend the larger rally to 61.8% projection of 122.39 to 131.39 from 127.55 at 133.11 next.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.48; (P) 132.29; (R1) 133.20; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this moment. On the upside, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of rebound, near term outlook is neutral at best. On the downside, decisive break of 131.65 will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level and confirm near term reversal. And, in such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 127.55 key support level.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.13; (P) 122.45; (R1) 122.71; More….

With 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 121.52 minor support to bring another rise. On the upside, break of 122.65 will extend whole rise from 115.86 to medium term channel resistance (now at 124.06). Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.65; (P) 122.91; (R1) 123.35; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remain son the upside at this point. Current rise from 119.31 should target a test on 124.43 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 114.42 bottom. On the downside, break of 121.81 support would turn bias back to the downside for 120.27 support. Break there should start the third leg of the corrective pattern from 124.43 to 119.31 support, and probably further to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 120.35) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 128.94 extended to as high as 132.98 before forming a temporary top there. Initial bias is neutral tis week first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 131.09 minor support to bring another rally. Above 132.89 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 and above. For now, we’d expect strong resistance below 137.49 high to complete the rebound from 128.94 to bring another fall. On the downside, below 131.09 will indicate that the rebound is completed and bring retest of 128.94 low.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

In the long term picture, at this point, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern. established since 2000. Rise from 109.03 is seen as a leg inside the pattern. As long as 124.08 support holds, further rally is in favor in medium to long term through 149.76 high. However, break of 124.08 could extend the fall through 109.03 low instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.61; (P) 138.36; (R1) 139.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current up trend should target 144.06 projection level next. On the downside, below 137.82 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But downside of retreat should be contained above 134.33 support to bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY dropped to as low as 115.54 last week and the break of 116.12 support confirms resumption of fall from 122.87. More importantly, break of 115.86 low suggests larger down trend resumption. Nevertheless, as a temporary low was formed with subsequently, initial bias is neutral this week for consolidations first. Upside should be limited by 117.21 resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 115.54 will target 100% projection of 121.14 to 116.33 from 119.00 at 114.19 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is possibly resuming. Medium term bearishness is maintained with the cross staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high), as well as below falling 55 week EMA. Next downside target will be 109.48 (2016 low). In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 122.87 resistance holds, in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 124.80), this is the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.27; (P) 128.54; (R1) 129.09; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 127.36 resumed by taking out 129.09 minor resistance. The development also raises the chance that fall from 133.44, as well as corrective pattern from 134.11 have completed. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 129.51) will affirm this bullish case and target 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 127.99 minor support will resume fall from 133.44 through 127.36 to 126.58 medium term fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.48; (P) 133.03; (R1) 133.38; More….

EUR/JPY’s strong break of 132.51 support suggests that rise from 121.63 has completed at 134.11, just ahead of 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 131.96) will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34. On the upside, above 132.87 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.31; (P) 120.85; (R1) 121.17; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains cautiously on the downside for 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Whole corrective rebound from 109.20 is likely completed at 124.08, ahead of 126.09 key resistance. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below. On the upside, above 122.41 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, outlook will now stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will pave the way to retest 109.20.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.17; (P) 135.58; (R1) 136.00; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as it’s staying in range of 133.03/136.63. Near term outlook stays mildly bullish with 133.03 support intact and further rally is in favor. Break of 136.63 will resume medium term up trend. However, below 133.03 will turn focus to 132.04. Firm break there will indicate medium term reversal.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). It should be targeting 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 132.04 support is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.47; (P) 119.73; (R1) 120.02; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. Current rise from 114.42 should at least be correcting the fall from 122.87. Further rally should be seen to 121.14 resistance next. Sustained break there will target 122.87 key resistance. On the downside, below 118.85 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rise will remain in favor as long as 117.11 support holds.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. EUR/JPY is staying well inside falling channel and below falling 55 week EMA. Deeper fall could be seen to retest 109.48 (2016 low) next. On the upside, break of 122.87 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.01; (P) 163.23; (R1) 163.51; More

EUR/JPY dips further to 162.92 but recovered since then. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, below 162.92 will resume the decline from 165.33 short term opt, and target 160.20 structural support next. On the upside, however, break of 164.40 minor resistance will bring retest of 165.33 instead.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s strong rebound from 124.37 accelerated further last week. The development argues that whole corrective pattern from 134.11 has completed already. Initial bias stays on the upside for retesting 133.13/134.11 resistance zone first. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. However, break of 130.01 minor support will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral for now. Price actions from 134.11 are so far still seen as a corrective pattern. That is, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in favor to resume at a later stage. But before that, the corrective pattern from 134.11 could still extend further, sideway or downward. In the latter case, break of 124.37 will target 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Long term outlook will remain neutral until breakout from the range of 109.03/137.49.