EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.49; (P) 120.75; (R1) 120.99; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. rebound from 119.24 should target a test on 121.46 resistance first. Break will resume larger rally from 115.86 to 123.35 resistance next. On the downside, below 120.41 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But overall near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 119.11 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 125.14) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.13; (P) 121.39; (R1) 121.61; More….

With 122.17 minor resistance intact, further fall is expected in EUR/JPY. Decisive break of 120.78 support will resume the larger decline from 127.50 will target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias to the upside to extend the consolidation from 120.78.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.32; (P) 121.58; (R1) 121.75; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral first. We’re still favoring the case that consolidation from 120.78 has completed with three waves to 123.35. Below 121.31 will target retest of 120.78 first. Break will resume fall from 127.50 to 118.62 low. In case of another rise as consolidation from 120.78 extends, upside should be limited by 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.80; (P) 144.33; (R1) 145.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for 145.62 resistance. Firm break there will confirm up trend resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance. On the downside, break of 140.88 will extend the corrective pattern from 145.62 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.02; (P) 145.37; (R1) 145.83; More….

As EUR/JPY’s recovery from 142.54 extends, focus is back on 147.09 minor resistance. As noted before, correction from 148.38 might have completed at 142.54. Break of 147.09 resistance will indicate that larger up trend is ready to resume through 148.38 high. However, break of 144.32 minor support will dampen this case and bring retest of 142.54 support instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 148.38 to 149.76 (2014 high). However, break of 137.32 support argue that a medium term correction has already started to correct the whole up trend from 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.57; (P) 165.48; (R1) 166.73; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 163.94) will extend the fall from 171.58, as a correction to rise from 153.15, to 61.8% retracement of 153.15 to 171.58 at 160.19. On the upside, above 167.37 will turn bias neutral and set up the range for sideway consolidations.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Decisive break of 169.96 (2008 high) will pave the way to 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.39. On the downside, break of 162.26 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.49; (P) 129.92; (R1) 130.16; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first and further rise is still in favor as long as 129.57 minor support holds. Corrective fall from 134.11 could have completed at 127.91 already. On the upside, break of 130.73 will resume the rebound from 127.91 to 132.68 resistance next. However, break of 129.57 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 127.91 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94..

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.19; (P) 130.53; (R1) 131.13; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 131.02 resistance will argue that corrective fall from 134.11 might have completed with three waves down to 129.60 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 129.60 will resume the the correction. But we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.52; (P) 125.75; (R1) 126.16; More….

EUR/JPY rebounds notably but stays below 126.19 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 126.19 will reaffirm the case that correction from 127.48 has completed at 125.07. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 127.48 high. On the downside, however, break of 125.07 will resume the correction from 127.48. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 123.86.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.31; (P) 135.84; (R1) 136.58; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally resumed after brief consolidations. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current medium term rally would extend to 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 134.39 from 132.04 at 144.12. On the downside, break of 134.79 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 132.04 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back 55 week EMA (now at 128.34).

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.14; (P) 144.65; (R1) 145.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Break of 142.52 support will extend the decline from 148.38, to 61.8% retracement of 133.38 to 148.38 at 139.11. On the upside, though, above 146.12 minor resistance will bring stronger rally back to retest 148.38 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 148.38 to 149.76 (2014 high). However, break of 137.32 support argue that a medium term correction has already started to correct the whole up trend from 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.71; (P) 158.30; (R1) 158.71; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. Further rise is in favor as long as 157.67 support holds. Above 159.90 will resume larger up trend to 163.06 projection level. However, firm break of 157.67 will turn bias back to the downside 154.32 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. On the downside, break of 154.32 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.96; (P) 130.20; (R1) 130.37; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 129.60 will resume the the correction from 134.11. But we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance should argue that the correction has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.29; (P) 132.10; (R1) 132.60; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Correction from 133.44 could extend lower. But downside downside should be contained above 130.45 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 133.44 will target 134.11 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. Next target is 61.8% projection of 121.63 to 134.11 from 127.91 at 135.62.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.59; (P) 122.96; (R1) 123.44; More…

A temporary low is in place at 122.48 with current recovery, and 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first and some recovery could be seen. Upside of recovery should be limited by 124.09/125.29 resistance zone to bring fall resumption. As noted before, rebound form 118.62 has completed at 127.50 already. On the downside, break of 122.48 will target retest of 118.62 low.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.53; (P) 132.74; (R1) 132.96; More….

EUR/JPY’s rise is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current up trend from 114.42 should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. On the downside, below 132.50 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay bullish as long 130.97 support holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rally attempt was limited at 125.80 last week and retreated since then. The development suggests that consolidation from 125.80 is still in progress and is starting another falling leg. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Deeper fall could be seen but downside should be 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

In the long term picture, medium term decline from 149.76 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern from 88.96. We’re not seeing any sign of an established long term trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong support at 94.11 in case of another fall. Also, there could be strong resistance at 149.76 in case of a medium term rise.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Chart

EUR/JPY Monthly Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.70; (P) 132.13; (R1) 132.76; More….

EUR/JPY recovers after breaching 131.65 key support briefing. Intraday bias remains neutral first. on the downside, decisive break of 131.65 will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level. That will also complete and double top pattern (134.39, 134.48) and confirms near term reversal. 55 day EMA will also be firmly taken out. In that case, deeper decline should be seen back to 127.55 key support. On the upside, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of rebound, near term outlook is neutral at best.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.70; (P) 120.91; (R1) 121.04; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 121.46 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 119.11 support. On the upside break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 123.35 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.71). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.17; (P) 130.46; (R1) 130.67; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Deeper fall would be seen for 127.91 key support. On the upside, however, break of 131.40 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound, probably back to retest 133.44 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.