EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1723; (P) 1.1737; (R1) 1.1753; More….

EUR/USD is still extending consolidations below 1.1803 and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside break of 1.1803 will resume the rally from 1.1467 to retest 1.1917 high. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. ON the downside, however, firm break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.1633) will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1467 support, to extend the corrective pattern form 1.19717 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1373) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1723; (P) 1.1737; (R1) 1.1753; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral again with current retreat and some consolidations would be seen. On the upside, above 1.1803 will resume the rally from 1.1467 to retest 1.1917 high. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. ON the downside, however, firm break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.1633) will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1467 support, to extend the corrective pattern form 1.19717 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1373) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1723; (P) 1.1737; (R1) 1.1753; More….

EUR/USD’s rise from 1.1467 resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside, retest of 1.1917 high should be seen next, and decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 1.1718 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring more consolidations.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1373) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1723; (P) 1.1737; (R1) 1.1753; More….

A temporary top should be in place at 1.1768 in EUR/USD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen but further rally is expected as long as 1.1614 support holds. Above 1.1768 will resume the rebound from 1.1467 and target a retest on 1.1917 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1373) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1723; (P) 1.1737; (R1) 1.1753; More….

EUR/USD’s rise from 1.1467 continues today despite some loss of momentum as seen in 4H MACD. Intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 1.1917 high. On the downside, though, below 1.1718 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring some consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1373) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1723; (P) 1.1737; (R1) 1.1753; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the upside for the moment. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.1917 high. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 1.1614 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1373) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s rise from 1.1467 extended higher last week and the development solidifies that correction from 1.1917 ha already completed. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for retesting 1.1917 high. For now, further rally is expected as long as 1.1614 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1360) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

In the long term picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 0.9534 at 1.2019, which is close to 1.2000 psychological level is the key for the outlook. Rejection by this level will keep the multi decade down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) intact, and keep outlook neutral at best. However, decisive break of 1.2000/19, will suggest long term bullish trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.3554.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1692; (P) 1.1727; (R1) 1.1773; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside as rise from 1.1467 is in progress. Current development suggests that fall from 1.1917 has completed as a correction to 1.1467. Further rally should be seen to retest 1.1917 high. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 1.1614 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1692; (P) 1.1727; (R1) 1.1773; More….

EUR/USD’s rally from 1.1467 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current development suggests that fall from 1.1917 has completed as a correction to 1.1467. Further rally should be seen to retest 1.1917 high. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 1.1614 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1646; (P) 1.1673; (R1) 1.1724; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside at this point. The break of 1.1747 resistance should confirm that fall form 1.1917 has completed as a correction to 1.1467. Further rally should be seen to retest 1.1917 high. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 1.1614 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1646; (P) 1.1673; (R1) 1.1724; More….

EUR/USD’s rise from 1.1467 resumed by breaking through 1.1681 temporary top and intraday bias is back on the upside. As noted before, corrective fall form 1.1917 should have completed at 1.1467. Firm break of 1.1727 resistance will solidify this case and bring retest of 1.1917 high. However, break of 1.1614 support will revive near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.1467 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1608; (P) 1.1633; (R1) 1.1650; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and more consolidations could still be seen below 1.1681. Further rally is in favor with 1.1590 minor support intact. Corrective fall from 1.1917 could have completed at 1.1467. Above 1.1681 will target 1.1727 resistance first. Firm break there will solidify this case and bring retest of 1.1917 high. However, break of 1.1590 will revive near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.1467 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1608; (P) 1.1633; (R1) 1.1650; More….

EUR/USD recovered after hitting 55 4H EMA but stays below 1.1681 temporary top. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Further rally is in favor with 1.1590 minor support intact. Corrective fall from 1.1917 could have completed at 1.1467. Above 1.1681 will target 1.1727 resistance first. Firm break there will solidify this case and bring retest of 1.1917 high. However, break of 1.1590 will revive near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.1467 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1613; (P) 1.1643; (R1) 1.1668; More….

EUR/USD is staying in consolidations below 1.1681 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is in favor with 1.1590 minor support intact. Corrective fall from 1.1917 could have completed at 1.1467. Above 1.1681 will target 1.1727 resistance first. Firm break there will solidify this case and bring retest of 1.1917 high. However, break of 1.1590 will revive near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.1467 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1613; (P) 1.1643; (R1) 1.1668; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidations below 1.1681 temporary top. Further rally is in favor with 1.1590 minor support intact. Corrective fall from 1.1917 could have completed at 1.1467. Above 1.1681 will target 1.1727 resistance first. Firm break there will solidify this case and bring retest of 1.1917 high. However, break of 1.1590 will revive near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.1467 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1624; (P) 1.1648; (R1) 1.1668; More….

EUR/USD is staying gin consolidations below 1.1681 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is in favor with 1.1590 minor support intact. Corrective fall from 1.1917 could have completed at 1.1467. Above 1.1681 will target 1.1727 resistance first. Firm break there will solidify this case and bring retest of 1.1917 high. However, break of 1.1590 will revive near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.1467 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1624; (P) 1.1648; (R1) 1.1668; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral, and further rally is in favor with 1.1590 minor support intact. Corrective fall from 1.1917 could have completed at 1.1467. Above 1.1681 will target 1.1727 resistance first. Firm break there will solidify this case and bring retest of 1.1917 high. However, break of 1.1590 will revive near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.1467 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD rebounded to as high as 1.1681 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. Corrective fall from 1.1917 could have completed at 1.1467. Above 1.1681 will target 1.1727 resistance first. Firm break there will solidify this case and bring retest of 1.1917 high. However, break of 1.1590 will revive near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.1467 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1346) holds, up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2 key psychological level will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

In the long term picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 0.9534 at 1.2019, which is close to 1.2000 psychological level is the key for the outlook. Rejection by this level will keep the multi decade down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) intact, and keep outlook neutral at best. However, decisive break of 1.2000/19, will suggest long term bullish trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.3554.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1629; (P) 1.1656; (R1) 1.1670; More….

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside. Fall from 1.1917 should have completed at 1.1467. Further rise should be seen to 1.1727 resistance first. Firm break there will bring retest of 1.1917 high. Nevertheless, below 1.1590 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1345) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1629; (P) 1.1656; (R1) 1.1670; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays mildly on the upside for the moment. Fall from 1.1917 should have completed at 1.1467. Further rise should be seen to 1.1727 resistance first. Firm break there will bring retest of 1.1917 high. Nevertheless, below 1.1590 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1345) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.