Sat, Jul 11, 2020 @ 12:46 GMT

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1266; (P) 1.1306; (R1) 1.1350; More…..

EUR/USD is staying in consolidation above 1.1215 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.1499 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1214 will target 1.1186 fibonacci level first. Break will target 61.8% projection of 1.2555 to 1.1300 from 1.1814 at 1.1038 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 medium term top has just resumed and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 resistance is now needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1282; (P) 1.1342; (R1) 1.1377; More…..

EUR/USD is still gyrating in range of 1.1267/1472. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.1267 will target 1.1215 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 1.2555 for 1.1186 fibonacci level next. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.1472 will be suggest medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.1814 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0497; (P) 1.0558 (R1) 1.0591; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0339 continues. As long as 1.0652 holds, outlook stays bearish and another decline is expected. Break of 1.0339 will extend the larger down trend to parity next. However, break of 1.0652 will now confirm short term bottoming and turn near term outlook bullish for stronger rebound to 1.0872 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1216; (P) 1.1286; (R1) 1.1359; More

EUR/USD surges to as high as 1.1496 so far and breaches 1.1456 fibonacci resistance. There is no sign of topping yet. Intraday bias remains on the upside. Sustained break of 1.1456 will pave the way to next fibonacci level at 1.1876. On the downside, below 1.1287 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first and bring retreat first.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should have formed at 1.0777 after drawing support from 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.0777 at 1.1456 will raise the chance of medium term bullish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1876. Rejection by 1.1456 will suggests that price actions from 1.0777 are merely a correction. Another fall below 1.0777 low would be seen at a later stage in this case.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0979; (P) 1.1017; (R1) 1.1050; More

EUR/USD drops sharply today but stays above 1.0926 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 1.0926 could extend with another recovery. But upside is expected to be limited below 1.1164 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0926 will resume lager down trend from 1.2555 for 1.0813 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) is in progress. Prior rejection of 55 week EMA also maintained bearishness. Further fall should be seen to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Decisive break there will target 1.0339 (2017 low). On the upside, break of 1.1412 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1300; (P) 1.1361; (R1) 1.1403; More…..

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook as it’s staying in range of 1.1267/1472. Intraday bias remains for now. As long as 1.1472 resistance holds, deeper decline is expected in the pair. On the downside, break of 1.1267 will target 1.1215 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 1.2555 for 1.1186 fibonacci level next. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.1472 will be suggest medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.1814 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1264; (P) 1.1314; (R1) 1.1387; More

EUR/USD’s breach of 1.1383 temporary top suggests that rise from 1.0635 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.1496 resistance next. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 1.1241 support will now indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0822; (P) 1.0862; (R1) 1.0894; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook for now. Further rise is mildly in favor as rise from 1.0768 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.0635. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, break of 1.0768 will resume the fall to retest 1.0635 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1163; (P) 1.1206; (R1) 1.1245; More…..

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook. Recovery from 1.1026 might extend. But we’d still expect strong resistance from 1.1282 to finish it. On the downside, below 1.1133 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Break of 1.1026 will extend the downtrend from 1.2555. Though, break of 1.1282 will turn focus back to 1.1412 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 1.2555 (2018) is in progress and extending. Prior rejection of 55 week EMA also maintained bearishness. Further fall should be seen to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Decisive break there will target 1.0339 (2017 low). On the upside, break of 1.1412 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0919; (P) 1.0957; (R1) 1.1022; More

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1008 minor resistance suggest resumption of rise from 1.0774. Also, corrective pattern from 1.0635 is in another rising leg. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.1147 resistance. Though, we’d still expect upside to be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, break of 1.0870 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0774 support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1584; (P) 1.1631 (R1) 1.1708; More

EUR/USD surges to as high as 1.1759 so far today. The strong break of 1.1689 minor resistance and near term falling channel indicates the correction from 1.2091 has completed at 1.1553 already. Intraday bias is now back on the upside for 1.1836 resistance first. Break there will pave the way to retest 1.2091 high. On the downside, below 1.1689 resistance turned support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1553 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be cautious on 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.1346) will suggest that such medium term rebound is completed and could then bring retest of 1.0339 low.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2188; (P) 1.2241 (R1) 1.2269; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.2322. As long as 1.2088 resistance turned support holds, near term outlook remains bullish and another rise is expected. Above 1.2322 will extend the medium term rise to next key fibonacci level at 1.2494/2516. We’d expect strong resistance from there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, break of 1.2088 will argue that EUR/USD has topped earlier than expected. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.1915 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of further rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1274; (P) 1.1284; (R1) 1.1296; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook. With 1.1344 minor support intact, further fall is in favor to 1.1181 support. Break will confirm completion of rebound from 1.1107 at 1.1412. Retest of 1.1107 low should be seen next. Though, above 1.1344 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside to resume the rebound from 1.1107 through 1.1412 instead.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.1107 after hitting 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1107 at 1.1660. Reactions from there could indicate whether rebound from 1.1107 is a corrective rise or reversing medium term trend. In any case, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 1.1107 low remains intact.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0508; (P) 1.0541 (R1) 1.0589; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral again on recovery from 1.0493. 4 hour MACD also turned above signal line. Nonetheless, with 1.0678 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is expected. We’re viewing fall from 1.0828 as resuming the larger down trend. Below 1.0493 will target 1.0339 low first. Break will confirm our bearish view and target parity. However, break of 1.0678 will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.0828 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2010; (P) 1.2045 (R1) 1.2094; More….

EUR/USD’s retreat, with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line, suggests that a temporary top is formed at 1.2080, ahead of 1.2091 key resistance. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidation could be seen but further rise is expected as long as 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1922) holds. Firm break of 1.2091 will confirm medium term rally resumption and target next key fibonacci level at 1.2494/2516. However, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2091 with with another decline through 1.1717 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1225; (P) 1.1241; (R1) 1.1262; More…..

EUR/USD’s recovery from 1.1176 is still in progress and further rise might be seen. But upside should be limited well below 1.1419 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1176 will extend the down trend from 1.2555 and target 100% projection of 1.1814 to 1.1215 from 1.1569 at 1.0970 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress. Bearishness is affirmed by sustained trading below falling 55 week EMA. 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 is met. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1569 resistance will now indicate completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1001; (P) 1.1010; (R1) 1.1019; More

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1175 resumed by taking out 1.0989 and hits as low as 1.0981 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall should target a test on 1.0879 low next. On the upside, above 1.1017 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited well below 1.1097 resistance to bring another decline.

In the bigger picture, at this point, rebound from 1.0879 is seen as a corrective move first. in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.0879 at 1.1519. And, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1519 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.1915 next.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0692; (P) 1.0715 (R1) 1.0747; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Rise from 1.0339 is still in progress and would extend higher towards 1.1298 resistance. But still, such rally is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d pay attention to topping signal above 1.0905 and below 1.1298 key resistance. On the downside, below 1.0777 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0569 support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. However, considering bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD, break of 1.1298 will indicate term reversal. this would also be supported by sustained trading above 55 week EMA.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0964; (P) 1.1026; (R1) 1.1124; More

EUR/USD defended 1.0926 low and rebounded strongly. Consolidation from 1.0926 is extending and further rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited below 1.1164 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0926 will resume lager down trend from 1.2555 for 1.0813 fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 1.1164 will an early indication of larger reversal and target 1.1249 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) is in progress. Prior rejection of 55 week EMA also maintained bearishness. Further fall should be seen to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Decisive break there will target 1.0339 (2017 low). On the upside, break of 1.1412 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0979; (P) 1.1017; (R1) 1.1050; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 1.0926 could extend with another rise. But upside should be limited below 1.1164 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0926 will resume lager down trend from 1.2555 for 1.0813 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) is in progress. Prior rejection of 55 week EMA also maintained bearishness. Further fall should be seen to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Decisive break there will target 1.0339 (2017 low). On the upside, break of 1.1412 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

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