Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1141; (P) 1.1230; (R1) 1.1284; More…..

EUR/USD reached as low as 1.1176 and break of 1.1215 support indicates resumption of whole down trend from 1.2555. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 100% projection of 1.1814 to 1.1215 from 1.1569 at 1.0970 next. On the upside, above 1.1285 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1419 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress. 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 is also met. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1569 resistance will now indicate completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0990; (P) 1.1009; (R1) 1.1037; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first and some recovery could be seen. Upside should be limited below 1.1097 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0981 will extend the decline from 1.1175 to retest 1.0879 low. However, break of 1.1097 will dampen our bearish view and bring stronger rise back to 1.1175.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0879 is seen as a corrective move first. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.0879 at 1.1519. And, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1519 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.1915 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1075; (P) 1.1091; (R1) 1.1101; More…

As long as 1.1130 minor resistance holds, further decline is expected in EUR/USD for for 1.1026 low. Decisive break there will extend the downtrend from 1.2555. On the upside, above 1.1130 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside to extend the correction from 1.1026. But in that case, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1249 to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) is in progress and extending. Prior rejection of 55 week EMA also maintained bearishness. Further fall should be seen to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Decisive break there will target 1.0339 (2017 low). On the upside, break of 1.1412 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1127; (P) 1.1151; (R1) 1.1172; More…

EUR/USD is staying in consolidation form 1.1199 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1039 support holds. On the upside, above 1.1199 will turn bias back to the upside for 100% projection of 1.0879 to 1.1179 from 1.0981 at 1.1281 next. However, break of 1.1039 will turn focus back to 1.0981 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0879 is seen as a corrective move first. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.0879 at 1.1519. And, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1519 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.1915 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0326; (P) 1.0366; (R1) 1.0434; More…

EUR/USD is still staying below 1.0481 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidation could be seen but after all, as long as 1.0092 resistance turned support holds, further rally is still expected. On the upside, break of 1.0481 will resume the rise from 0.9534 and target 1.0609 fibonacci level. However, sustained break of 1.0092 will turn bias to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0055) and below.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom was in place at 0.9534, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Even as a corrective rise, rally from 0.9534 should target 38.2% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.0609. Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0566) will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1273. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0092 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0884; (P) 1.0919; (R1) 1.0939; More…

A temporary low is formed at 1.0873 in EUR/USD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. But outlook stays bearish with 1.1064 resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.0873 will target 1.0832 support first. Decisive break there will extend the decline from 1.1274 to 1.0609/34 cluster support.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top could be formed at 1.1274, after failing to break through 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 decisively, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.0966) will bring deeper correction to 1.0634 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0609). Strong support could be seen there, at least on first attempt, to set the range for consolidation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2059; (P) 1.2073; (R1) 1.2092; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. We’d still expect strong support from 1.2058 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.2348 at 1.2063) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.2131 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.2348 high. However, sustained break of 1.2058 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1887.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. We’d be alerted to topping sign around 1.2516/55. But sustained break there will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1335; (P) 1.1349; (R1) 1.1364; More…..

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and further rise could be seen with 1.1294 minor support intact. Still, as rebound from 1.1176 is seen as a corrective move, upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance to complete the rebound. On the downside, below 1.1294 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.1176 low first. Break of 1.1176 will target 100% projection of 1.1814 to 1.1215 from 1.1569 at 1.0970 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress. Bearishness is affirmed by sustained trading below falling 55 week EMA. 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 is met. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1569 resistance will now indicate completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1884; (P) 1.1913; (R1) 1.1940; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside despite mild loss of upside momentum. Decisive break of 1.2011 high will resume whole rally from 1.0635 low. On the downside, though, break of 1.1800 support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2011 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2236; (P) 1.2285 (R1) 1.2318; More….

EUR/USD recovers mildly ahead of 1.2238 support. But intraday bias stays on the downside for the moment. Corrective recovery from 1.2154 should have completed with three waves up to 1.2475. Deeper decline is expected to 1.2154 and below. Break there will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708. This will now be the preferred case as long as 1.2344 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 remains intact despite attempts to break. Hence, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Rejection from 1.2516 will maintain long term bearish outlook and keep the case for retesting 1.0039 alive. Firm break of 1.1553 support will add more medium term bearishness. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862 in medium term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1411; (P) 1.1438; (R1) 1.1482; More…..

At this point, EUR/USD is still limited below 1.1499 resistance. Near term outlook remains bearish for further decline. On the downside break of 1.1363 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.1215 low first. However, on the upside, firm break of 1.1499 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 1.1814 resistance again.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 medium term top has just resumed and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 resistance is now needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1020; (P) 1.1052; (R1) 1.1070; More…

EUR/USD’s retreat from 1.1138 extends lower today but stays well above 1.0929 support. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0929 support holds. Break of 1.1138 will resume the rise from 1.0447 to retest 1.1274 high. Strong resistance should be seen from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.0929 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0772 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0722 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1649; (P) 1.1682 (R1) 1.1736; More…..

EUR/USD retreats after hitting 1.1720 but it’s staying above 1.1628 minor support. Outlook is unchanged that corrective rise from 1.1507 might extend higher. But upside should be limited by 1.1851 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, below 1.1628 will bring retest of 1.1507 first. Break will resume the whole fall from 1.2555 through 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2160; (P) 1.2177; (R1) 1.2190; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2265 is still extending. On the upside, above 1.2265 will resume the rise from 1.1703 to retest 1.2348 high. On the downside, below 1.2103 will target 1.1985 support. Break there will confirm that consolidation pattern from 1.2348 has started the third leg. Deeper fall would then be seen back to 1.1703 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. Reaction from 1.2555 should reveal underlying long term momentum in the pair.

EUR/USD stayed in range last week despite some decline attempts. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Focus will be on 1.2251 minor support. Break there will confirm completion of rebound from 1.2154. And intraday bias will be turned to the downside to extend the fall from 1.2555. On the upside, break of 1.2445 will target a test on 1.2555 high. Decisive break there will resume medium term rally and carry larger bullish implication.

In the bigger picture, key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 remains intact despite attempts to break. Hence, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Rejection from 1.2516 will maintain long term bearish outlook and keep the case for retesting 1.0039 alive. Firm break of 1.1553 support will add more medium term bearishness. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

In the long term picture, 1.0339 is seen as an important bottom as the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) could have completed. It’s still early to decide whether price action from 1.0339 is developing into a corrective or impulsive pattern. Reaction to 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 will give important clue to the underlying momentum.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2115; (P) 1.2132; (R1) 1.2150; More…

EUR/USD’s break of 1.2087 minor support argues that rebound from 1.1951 might be completed. The development also argues that the correction from 1.2348 could still be in progress. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 1.1951 support. On the upside, above 1.2148 will revive the bullish case and target 1.2188 and then 1.2348 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. We’d be alerted to topping sign around 1.2516/55. But sustained break there will carry long term bullish implications.

EUR/USD’s rise resumed last week and reached as high as 1.0999 last week. Further rise would be seen to 1.1058 projection level. But we maintain that rise from 1.0339 is a corrective move. Hence, we’d expect strong resistance around 1.1058 to limit upside to bring near term reversal.

Initial bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside this week. Current rally would be seen to 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0569 at 1.1058. At this point, rise from 1.0339 is still seen as a corrective move. Hence we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1058 projection to limit upside and bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 1.0874 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0569 support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. However, considering bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD, break of 1.1298 will indicate long term reversal.

In the long term picture, the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress and there is no clear sign of completion. We’d expect more downside towards 0.8223 (2000 low) as long as 1.1298 resistance holds. However, firm break of 1.1298 should now confirm long term reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1686; (P) 1.1730; (R1) 1.1761; More…..

Further rise in EUR/USD is still in favor with 1.1681 minor support despite loss of upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. Firm break of 100% projection of 1.0774 to 1.1422 from 1.1168 at 1.1816 will target 161.8% projection at 1.2216 next. On the downside, below 1.1640 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.1422 resistance turned support and bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 1.1496 resistance now suggests that whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0635 already. Rise form 1.0635 should be the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1168 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0502; (P) 1.0542 (R1) 1.0576; More…

EUR/USD is still bounded in range of 1.0358/0786 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further fall is in favor with 1.0786 resistance intact. On the downside, sustained break of 1.0339/48 will resume larger down trend. Next target is long term projection level at 1.0090.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.0339 long term support (2017 low). Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 1.0090. However, firm break of 1.0805 support turned resistance will delay this bearish case, and bring stronger rebound first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0934; (P) 1.0962 (R1) 1.1001; More….

EUR/USD rises to as high as 1.0492 so far as recent rebound resumed after taking out 1.1020 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0569 at 1.1058. Based on current momentum, this projection level would be taken out. In that case, EUR/USD would target 138.2% projection at 1.1245, which is close to 1.1298 key resistance. For now, rise from 1.0339 is still viewed as a corrective move. Hence we’d expect strong resistance below 1.1245/98 to limit upside and bring reversal. Nonetheless, break of 1.0838 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. However, considering bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD, break of 1.1298 will indicate long term reversal.