EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0929; (P) 1.0958; (R1) 1.0980; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook as it’s staying in very tight range. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Further fall is in favor as long as 1.0997 minor resistance intact. Break of 1.0876 will resume the fall from 1.1138 to 1.0722 support next. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0997 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.1138 high instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0722 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and below.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0916; (P) 1.0961; (R1) 1.1044; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside as rebound from 1.0777 is in progress. It’s correcting whole fall from 1.1239 to 1.0777 and would target 61.8% retracement of 1.1239 to 1.0777 at 1.1063 next. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. Below 1.0931 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0777 low. However, sustained break of 1.1063 will raise the chance of larger reversal and target 1.1239 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) has just resumed and prior rejection by 55 week EMA affirms medium term bearishness. Sustained break of 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.0813 will pave the way to retest 1.0339 low. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1239 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2112; (P) 1.2171; (R1) 1.2210; More

Outlook in EUR/USD is unchanged. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Correction from 1.2348 is in progress for 1.2058 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.2348 at 1.2063). Strong support should be seen there to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.2244 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.2348.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. We’d be alerted to topping sign around 1.2516/55. But sustained break there will carry long term bullish implications.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1430; (P) 1.1513; (R1) 1.1562; More…..

A temporary low is formed at 1.1463 with today’s recovery and intraday bias in turned neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen but upside should be limited below 1.1623 resistance to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 1.1463 will extend the fall from 1.1814 to retest 1.1300 low.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.1300, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and some consolidations would be seen. But still, note that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. That carries some long term bearish implications. Thus, we’d expect fall from 1.2555 high to resume after consolidation completes. Below 1.1300 should send EUR/USD through 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186. And, in that case, EUR/USD would head to retest 1.0339 (2017 low).

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1970; (P) 1.2009; (R1) 1.2075; More….

EUR/USD’s rise from 1.1703 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Correction from 1.2348 should have completed with three waves down to 1.1703. Further rise should be seen to 1.2442/2348 resistance zone. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1941 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. However, sustained break of 1.1602 will argue that whole rise from 1.10635 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0800; (P) 1.0848; (R1) 1.0924; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside at this point. Decisive break of 1.1016 resistance will confirm resumption of whole rally from 1.0447. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.1274 high. On the downside, below 1.0879 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.0722 support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and below.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1432; (P) 1.1460; (R1) 1.1477; More

EUR/USD’s fall is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Current decline should now target 100% projection 1.1908 to 1.1523 from 1.1691  at 1.1306, which is close to long term fibonacci level at 1.1289. On the upside, break of 1.1607 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2348 should at least be a correction to rise from 1.0635 (2020 low). As long as 1.1691 resistance holds, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289. Nevertheless break of 1.1691 resistance will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.2348 high.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1216; (P) 1.1263; (R1) 1.1291; More

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1185 support confirms resumption of whole down trend from 1.2348. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.1908 to 1.1185 from 1.1482 at 1.1035. Break will target 100% projection at 1.0759. On the upside, above 1.1243 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. but recovery should be limited well below 1.1482 resistance to bring down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways of interpreting the fall from 1.2348 (2021 high). It could be a correction to rise from 1.0635 (2020 low), the fourth leg of a sideway pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low), or resuming long term down trend. In any case, outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.1482 resistance holds. Next target would be 1.0635 low.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0790; (P) 1.0839; (R1) 1.0868; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral first. Break of 1.0885 minor resistance will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0635 with another rise through 1.0990. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, break of 1.0727 will target a test on 1.0635 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9821; (P) 0.9860; (R1) 0.9913; More

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 0.9630 bring retest of 0.9534 first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. However, break of 0.9998 resistance will resume the rise from 0.9534, and carry larger bullish implications. Next target will be 1.0368 in this case.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, break of 0.9998 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even with strong rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 0.9998 will confirm medium term bottoming, and bring further rise back to 1.0368 resistance first.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2307; (P) 1.2327 (R1) 1.2346; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point, with focus on 1.2302 minor support. Break there will indicate completion of the rebound from 1.2214. Intraday bias would be turned back to the downside for 1.2214. Firm break there will revive the bearish case of trend reversal. On the upside, above 1.2396 will target 1.2475 and above to 1.2516/2555 key resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 remains intact despite attempts to break. Hence, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Rejection from 1.2516 will maintain long term bearish outlook and keep the case for retesting 1.0039 alive. Firm break of 1.1553 support will add more medium term bearishness. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862 in medium term.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0768; (P) 1.0798; (R1) 1.0837; More

EUR/USD is staying in consolidation above 1.0759 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.0903 resistance holds. Fall from 1.1094 is seen as correcting whole up trend from 0.9534. Below 1.0759 will target 1.0515 cluster support, 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1094 at 1.0498. On the upside, though, firm break of 1.0903 will bring stronger rebound back to retest 1.1094 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0515 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) would still extend higher. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 will solidify the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high).

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1815; (P) 1.1845; (R1) 1.1875; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as range trading continues. Further rise is mildly in favor with 1.1754 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.2011 will resume whole rise form 1.0635. Nevertheless, on the downside, firm break of 1.1754 will turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2011 at 1.1485, to correct the rise from 1.6035.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1398; (P) 1.1419; (R1) 1.1446; More….

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1455 suggests that rebound from 1.1302 has resumed. Intraday bias is turned to the upside for 1.1621 resistance. Rise from 1.1302 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern form 1.1300. Hence, upside is expected to be limited by 1.1814 to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.1353 minor support will suggests that rise from 1.1302 has completed. In that case, retest of 1.1300 key support should be seen next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1300 is seen as a corrective pattern. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. In case the consolidation from 1.1300 extends, upside should be limited by 1.1814 and 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. to bring down trend resumption eventually.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1260; (P) 1.1285; (R1) 1.1321; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point and further decline is expected with 1.1341 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.1249 will target 1.1215 low first. Break will resume larger down trend from 1.2555 to 1.1186 fibonacci level. However, considering mild bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1341 resistance will suggest short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside to extend the consolidation from 1.1215 with another rising leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2087; (P) 1.2129; (R1) 1.2205; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the upside at this point. Rise from 1.1703 should now target a test on 1.2242/2348 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend for 1.2555 key resistance zone next. On the downside, break of 1.1985 support is needed to indicate completion of the rally from 1.1703. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. Reaction from 1.2555 should reveal underlying long term momentum in the pair.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0875; (P) 1.0914; (R1) 1.0943; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.0774 will target a test on 1.0635 low. On the upside, above 1.1008 will stronger rebound to 1.1147 resistance. After all, price actions from 1.0635 are seen as a consolidation pattern. Upside be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1821; (P) 1.1850; (R1) 1.1903; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside, as rebound from 1.1703 short term bottoming is extending. Break of 1.1988 resistance will will add to the case that whole correction from 1.2348 has completed. Further rally would then be seen to 1.2242 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, however, break of 1.1821 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1694.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. However, sustained break of 1.1602 will argue that whole rise from 1.10635 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0368; (P) 1.0438 (R1) 1.0517; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the downside for retesting 1.0339 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. Next target is long term projection level at 1.0090. On the upside, above 1.0506 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.0339 long term support (2017 low). Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 1.0090. However, firm break of 1.0805 support turned resistance will delay this bearish case, and bring stronger rebound first.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1057; (P) 1.1075; (R1) 1.1085; More

Break of 1.1062 support suggests completion of corrective rebound from 1.0879. Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned back to the downside for retesting 1.0879 low next. On the upside, though, above 1.1092 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 1.1179 will resume the rise to 1.1412 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, at this point, rebound from 1.0879 is seen as a corrective move first. Hence, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.0879 at 1.1519. And, down trend from down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1519 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.1915 next.