GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.97; (P) 144.37; (R1) 144.76; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. As noted before, corrective fall from 148.42 has completed at 136.44 already. Break of 145.38 resistance will target a test on 148.42 high. Break there will resume whole rise from 122.46 and target 150.42 long term fibonacci level next. On the downside, below 140.74 will turn bias to the downside to extend the pattern from 148.42 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern even. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Though, sustained break will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.33; (P) 155.64; (R1) 155.97; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook as current up trend is targeting 156.59 long term resistance. Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. On the downside, break of 153.81 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.28; (P) 165.98; (R1) 166.42; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first with today’s recovery. On the downside, below 165.43 will bring deeper fall to retest 163.02 support. On the upside, break of 168.99 will resume the rebound from 163.02 to retest 172.11 high.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) could still resume through 172.11 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 159.71 support will argue that it’s already in correction to the up trend from 123.94, and deeper decline would be seen back towards 148.93 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.95; (P) 142.78; (R1) 143.89; More…

A temporary top is in place at 144.77 in GBP/JPY and intraday bias is turned neutral first. As long as 140.74 minor support holds, we’d holding on to the bullish view. That is, corrective fall from 148.42 has completed at 136.44 already. On the upside, above 144.77 will target 148.42 high first. Break there will resume whole rise from 122.46 and target 150.42 long term fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, below 140.74 will turn bias to the downside to extend the pattern from 148.42 with another falling leg, possibly through 136.44.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern even. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Though, sustained break will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

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GBP/JPY was still stuck in range after failing to break through 153.42 resistance last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 153.42/46 resistance will reaffirm the case that correction from 156.05 has completed at 148.43. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 156.05. On the downside, though, below 151.14 will bring deeper fall back to retest 148.43 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will argue that rise from 123.94 has completed. Further break of 142.71 would open up the bearish case for retesting 122.75 low.

In the longer term picture, the strong break of 55 months EMA was an early sign of long term bullish reversal. Firm break of 156.69 resistance should now confirm the start of an up trend for 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.18; (P) 151.69; (R1) 152.21; More…

GBP/JPY recovered after hitting 151.14 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the downside, below 151.14 will bring deeper fall back to retest 148.43. On the upside, though, break of 153.42 resistance will resume the rebound from 148.43 to retest 156.05 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will argue that rise from 123.94 has completed. Further break of 142.71 would open up the bearish case for retesting 122.75 low.

GB/JPY’s choppy fall from 144.77 resumed last week with weak downside momentum. The cross will likely continue to spiral lower in near term. But overall, price actions from 148.42 are corrective in nature. Thus, we’d slight favor the case for medium term rebound from 122.36 to resume in a later stage.

Initial bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the downside this week. Current fall from 144.77 would target medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. We’d anticipate strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 140.08 resistance will now indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 142.79 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

In the longer term picture, while price actions from 122.36 would develop into a medium term correction, fall from 195.86 is still seen as resuming the down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Hence, after the correction from 122.36 completes we’d expect another fall through 116.83 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 191.45; (P) 192.15; (R1) 193.47; More..

GBP/JPY is still bounded in range below 193.51 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected with 189.97 support intact. On the upside, firm break of 193.51 will resume larger up trend to 195.86 long term resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 189.97 will indicate that it’s at least correcting the rise from 178.32, and target 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 193.51 at 187.70.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), and is in progress for 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high). Break of 187.94 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.61; (P) 158.89; (R1) 161.28; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery. Further decline is still expected as long as 162.32 resistance holds. Break of 155.33 will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 162.32 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 163.71) and above.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top was in place at 172.11 on on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Decline from there should target 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 153.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.40; (P) 146.70; (R1) 147.05; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 148.87 and intraday remains neutral first. Further rise remains in favor as long as 143.72 support holds. Decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish in implications and target 156.58 resistance next. However, on the downside, sustained break of 143.72 will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.99; (P) 149.70; (R1) 150.79; More…

GBP/JPY’s strong break of 149.45 resistance now argues that consolidation pattern from 152.82 is completed at 146.96. Intraday bias is bacon the upside for 151.92 resistance first. Break there should confirm rise resumption and target 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32 next. On the downside, below 149.33 minor support will dampen the delay the bullish view and extend the consolidation from 152.82 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after corrective pull back from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 139.29 will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.55; (P) 153.31; (R1) 154.66; More…

GBP/JPY recovered strongly after hitting 151.95 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. But still, as 156.07 is seen as a short term top, another fall is expected ahead. Break of 151.95 will target 150.18 support first. Break will extend the decline to 149.96 key support level. Meanwhile, above 156.07 will resume larger up trend to 167.78 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And there would be prospect of retesting 122.36 in that case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.08; (P) 151.56; (R1) 152.38; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays mildly on the upside for 152.54 resistance first. Firm break there will suggest that whole correction from 156.05 has completed, and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high. On the downside, however, sustained break of 149.03 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 143.78 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59 (2018 high). Fall from 156.05 would at least be correcting the whole rise from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.59; (P) 160.41; (R1) 161.50; More…

Outlook in GBP/JPY remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 155.33 will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 162.32 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 163.35) and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 153.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 153.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.65; (P) 152.99; (R1) 153.34; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues between 151.14/153.42. On the upside, break of 153.42/46 resistance will reaffirm the case that correction from 156.05 has completed at 148.43. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 156.05. On the downside, though, below 151.14 will bring deeper fall back to retest 148.43.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will argue that rise from 123.94 has completed. Further break of 142.71 would open up the bearish case for retesting 122.75 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.34; (P) 154.78; (R1) 155.41; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 156.05 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further rise is expected with 153.81 intact. Break of 156.05 will resume larger up trend for 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. On the downside, firm break of 153.81 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.53; (P) 143.36; (R1) 144.78; More….

GBP/JPY’s rally and break of 142.75 resistance indicates completion of fall from 148.09. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 148.09/42 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume whole rebound from 122.36. On the downside, below 141.95 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 138.65 support instead.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.23; (P) 145.51; (R1) 145.91; More…

GBP/JPY is still staying in consolidation from 148.87 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, sustained break of 143.72 will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 156.58 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, focus is now staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.53; (P) 144.01; (R1) 144.74; More….

While GBP/JPY is losing upside momentum, there is no sign of topping yet. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 144.77 resistance. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 148.42 has completed at 135.58, ahead of 135.39 medium term fibonacci level. Break of 144.77 will resume the whole rebound from 122.36 through 148.42 resistance. On the downside, break of 143.13 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, rise from 122.36 bottom should be developing into a medium term move. Break of 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 should pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. This will now be the favored case as long as 135.58 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.74; (P) 137.21; (R1) 137.94; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains at this point. On the upside, above 137.83 will resume the rebound from 133.03 to retest 142.71 high. On the downside, firm break of 135.05 support will suggest that rebound from 133.03 has completed. Also, in this case fall from 142.71 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03, and then 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.