GBP/JPY dropped to as low as 141.17 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week for consolidation. And near term outlook remain bearish with 144.02 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, below 141.17 will resume the fall from 149.70 and target 139.29/47 key support zone. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, decisive break of 144.02 will suggest near term reversal. Stronger rally should then be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 145.16) and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) could still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

In the longer term picture, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead (116.83 as 2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.67; (P) 138.19; (R1) 138.67; More…

With 140.08 resistance intact, deeper decline is expected in GBP/JPY. Choppy fall from 144.77 would target medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. Overall, price action from 148.42 are seen as a consolidation pattern. We’ll look for bottoming around 135.39. Meanwhile, break of 140.08 resistance is needed to indicate short term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.08; (P) 157.57; (R1) 158.26; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current up trend from 123.94 should target 61.8% projection of 136.96 to 156.05 from 148.93 at 160.72 next. On the downside, below 156.58 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). The stay above 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current rise should now target 61.8% retracement 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93 next. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.93 structural support hold, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.33; (P) 151.71; (R1) 152.38; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 152.54 will suggest that whole correction from 156.05 has completed, and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high. On the downside, however, sustained break of 149.03 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 143.78 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59 (2018 high). Fall from 156.05 would at least be correcting the whole rise from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.20; (P) 132.81; (R1) 133.85; More…

A temporary low is formed at 131.68 with today’s recovery and intraday bias in turned neutral first. As long as 136.34 resistance holds, further decline is still expected. On the downside, below 131.68 will extend the fall from1 39.73 to 129.27 support. Decisive break there will confirm completion of rebound from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 123.94 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.43; (P) 151.01; (R1) 151.41; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first as it failed to sustain above 151.38 minor resistance. On the upside, sustained break of 151.38 should bring stronger rise back to 153.42 resistance first. Break there will confirm completion of the correction of 156.05. On the downside, however, sustained break of 149.03 support will carry larger bearish implication and target 143.78 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.94; (P) 143.03; (R1) 144.44; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 144.77 will extend the rise from 136.44 to 148.42 resistance next. Break there will resume whole rise from 122.46 and target 150.42 long term fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, below 140.43 minors support will turn bias to the downside to extend the pattern from 148.42 with another falling leg, possibly through 136.44.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern even. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Though, sustained break will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.90; (P) 146.28; (R1) 146.92; More….

GBP/JPY’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 147.27 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside. Rise from 122.36 should be resuming. Further rally should be seen through 148.20 to 150.42 fibonacci level.. Further break there will target 100% projection of 122.36 to 148.42 from 135.58 at 161.64. On the downside, below 145.64 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, rise from 122.36 bottom should be developing into a medium term move. Break of 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 should pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. This will now be the favored case as long as 135.58 support holds.

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 126.54 extended higher last week and breached 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07. Initial bias stays on the upside this week first. Further rise could be seen to 61.8% retracement at 140.33 next. On the downside, break of 132.17 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 126.54 low instead.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will extend 116.83 (2011 low).

In the longer term picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. Hence, strong support could be seen at 122.36 to bring rebound before the pattern completes. However, sustained break will raise the chance of resuming long term down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Next downside target will be 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.36 from 156.59 at 111.16.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.59; (P) 143.67; (R1) 144.51; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline from 149.48 extends to low as 142.83 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside and break of 142.76 will pave the way to 139.29/47 key support zone. On the upside, break of 145.51 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

GBP/JPY’s down trend extended to as low as 126.96 last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 122.36 low first. We’d be cautious on bottoming around there. On the upside, break of 130.06 resistance is needed to be the first sign of short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

In the longer term picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern that could extend with another rebound. Hence, strong support could be seen at 122.36 to bring rebound. However, sustained break will raise the chance of resuming larger down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Next downside target will be 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.36 from 156.59 at 111.16.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.90; (P) 144.32; (R1) 144.59; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside for 143.18 key support. Deceive break there will resume larger decline from 156.59 and target 139.29/47 key support level next. On the upside, 144.72 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.89; (P) 136.61; (R1) 137.54; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 137.83 will resume the rebound from 133.03 for retesting 142.71 high. On the downside, though, break of 135.66 should indicate completion of the rebound and bring retest of 133.03 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.97; (P) 148.29; (R1) 148.91; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally accelerates to as high as 150.95 so far, taking out 147.95 medium term resistance without much hesitation. Intraday bias stays on the upside. Current up trend from 123.94 should now target 100% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 151.80 next. On the downside, below 147.52 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). With 147.95 resistance taken out, further rally would now be seen to 156.59 resistance (2018 high), Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.62; (P) 150.36; (R1) 150.82; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. As long as 148.50 support holds, consolidation from 153.59 should be relatively brief. On the upside, break of 153.39 will resume the whole rise from 123.94 to 156.59 long term resistance next. However, firm break of 148.50 will bring deeper correction to channel support (now at 142.45).

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY’s up trend resumed by breaking through 170.07 last week. Initial bias is now on the upside this week. next target is 100% projection of 148.93 to 165.69 from 159.71 at 176.47. On the downside, break of 168.71 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), as part of the trend from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress. Further rise would be seen to 161.8% projection of 122.75 to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 151.36) holds, rise from 122.75 could still extend higher at a later stage. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.54; (P) 154.96; (R1) 155.24; More…

GBP/JPY is still staying in consolidation from 156.05 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is in favor with 153.81 support intact. On the upside, break of 156.05 will resume larger up trend for 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. On the downside, firm break of 153.81 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back, to 55 day EMA (now at 153.00) first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.11; (P) 143.61; (R1) 143.88; More…

With 142.16 minor support intact, further rise is expected in GBP/JPY, despite some loss of upside momentum. Current rally from 123.94 should target 61.8% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 144.62 first. Break will target 147.95 medium term structural resistance. On the downside, below 142.16 minor support will turn intraday bias to the downside for pull back towards channel support (now at 138.99).

In the bigger picture, rise of 123.94 is still as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.

GBP/JPY surged to as high as 151.52 last week as medium term rise from 122.36 has finally resumed. Initial bias remains on the upside this week. Current rally should target 61.8% projection of 122.36 to 148.42 from 139.29 at 155.39 next. On the downside, below 148.32 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the consolidation from 148.42 should have completed and medium term rebound from 122.36 is resuming. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. For now, the bullish scenario is preferred as long as 139.29 support holds.

In the longer term picture, current decline argues that the down from fro 195.86 (2015 high) has already completed at 122.36. Focus is now on 55 month EMA (now at 155.14). Firm break there will suggest that rise form 122.36 is developing in to a long term move that target 195.86 again. And, price actions from 116.83 (2011 low) is indeed a sideway pattern that could last more than a decade.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.52; (P) 144.33; (R1) 145.05; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 142.76 is still in progress and focus is on 145.81 support turned resistance. Firm break there will indicate completion of the fall from 149.70. Further rise should be seen back to 149.70. On the downside, break of 142.76 will extend the fall from 149.70 for retesting 139.88 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.