Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.55; (P) 142.75; (R1) 143.49; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 141.43 will extend the decline from 148.09. In such case, intraday bias is turned to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 140.35. At this point, we’d still expect rebound from 122.36 to resume later. Hence, we’d look for strong support below 140.35 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 143.93 will turn bias back to the upside for 148.09 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 122.36 medium term bottom is still expected to extend to of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. And decisive break there could pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, as the cross is starting to lose upside momentum, rejection below 150.42 and break of 135.58 support will indicate reversal and bring deeper fall back to retest 122.36 instead.

GBP/JPY’s sharp fall last week indicates that corrective rise from 144.97 has completed at 153.84 already. Decline from 153.84 should the third leg of the pattern fro 156.69. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for deeper fall to 148.30 support. Break till bring retest of 144.97 low. On the upside, above 151.68 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term risk will now stay on the downside as long as 153.84 holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 156.59 are viewed as a corrective pattern. For now, we’d expect at least one more fall for 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 before the consolidation completed. Though, firm break of 156.59 will resume whole up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 159.11 next.

In the longer term picture, current development suggests that rise from 122.36 (2016 low) is not completed yet. Such rally could extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 167.78 before completion. This will now be the preferred case as long as 139.29 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.88; (P) 140.28; (R1) 140.75; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Overall, price actions from 148.42 are viewed as a corrective pattern, with fall from 144.77 has a leg. On the downside, below 138.52 will target 136.44 first. Break will target 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39. But we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 141.96 will turn bias to the upside and probably extend the rise from 136.44 through 144.77.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.42; (P) 165.32; (R1) 166.25; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral first. Strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 166.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 172.11 high. However, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 148.93 to 172.11 at 163.25 will bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement at 157.78 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) could still resume through 172.11 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 159.71 support will argue that it’s already in correction to the up trend from 123.94, and deeper decline would be seen back towards 148.93 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 171.52; (P) 172.05; (R1) 172.90; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally is still in progress, as part of the larger up trend, and should target 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51. Nevertheless, firm break of 167.82 support should confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back to 165.40 support and possible below instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 172.11 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break there will resume whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Next target will be 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. Nevertheless, firm break of 165.40 support will indicate rejection by 172.11 and extend the corrective pattern from there with another falling leg.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.58; (P) 139.33; (R1) 140.59; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall accelerates to as low as 137.44 so far today. 139.29 key support is firmly taken out with no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 135.43 long term fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 140.93 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, firm break of 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) confirms completion of up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) at 156.59. Outlook is now turned bearish for 61.8% retracement at 135.43 first. Sustained break will pave the way back to 122.36 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.48; (P) 145.49; (R1) 147.26; More…

GBP/JPY rebounded strongly after pull back from 148.57 finished at 143.72. More importantly, current development suggests that rebound from 131.51 is still in progress. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 148.75 first. Break will target 149.48 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 143.72 will resume the pull back from 148.57 to 141.00 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline in turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above. However, firm break of 141.00 support will dampen this view and turn focus back to 131.51 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.37; (P) 139.88; (R1) 140.84; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with the current recovery. But near term outlook stays bearish with 142.75 resistance intact. Fall from 148.09 could still extend lower. In that case, we’d look for bottoming signal around 135.58, which is close to 135.39 fibonacci level, to bring rebound. Break of 142.75, nonetheless, will argue that fall from 148.09 is completed and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 135.58/39 will confirm reversal and target a retest on 122.36 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.62; (P) 146.20; (R1) 146.61; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 148.09 could extend. But in case of deeper fall downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 143.31 and bring rise resumption. Break of 148.42 will target 150.42 long term fibonacci level first. Break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 122.36 to 148.42 from 135.58 at 161.64.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, rise from 122.36 bottom should be developing into a medium term move. Break of 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 should pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. This will now be the favored case as long as 135.58 support holds.

GBP/JPY’s correction from 168.40 extended lower last week, but a temporary low should be in place at 155.57. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 162.16 minor resistance holds. Below 155.57 will target 150.95 key structural support next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds, even in case of deep pull back. However, firm break of 150.95 will indicate rejection by 167.93, and bearish trend reversal.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 could be the third leg the the pattern from 116.83 (2011 low). Further rise will remain in favor as long as 55 month EMA (now at 148.31) holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. will pave the way to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.82; (P) 191.54; (R1) 192.05; More…..

GBP/JPY retreated after brief rebound and intraday bias remains is turned neutral again. . For now, further rally is expected as long as 190.02 support holds, in case of retreat. Break of 193.51 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), and is in progress for long term resistance (2015 high). Break of 187.94 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.29; (P) 148.81; (R1) 149.12; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for 149.99 resistance. Break there will add more credence to the larger bullish case and target 153.84 resistance next. On the downside, though break of 147063 minor support will argue that the rebound from 143.76 might be finished and turn bias back to the downside

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.63; (P) 166.31; (R1) 167.47; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment, and further rally is mildly in favor with 164.95 support intact. On the upside, break of 172.11 will resume larger up trend. However, break of 164.95 will bring deeper pull back to 159.71 support and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), as part of the trend from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress. Further rise would be seen to 161.8% projection of 122.75 to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.