Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.27; (P) 149.85; (R1) 150.90; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook. Choppy rise from 144.97 is seen as a corrective move. We’d expect strong resistance from 150.92 (50% retracement of 156.59 to 144.97 at 150.78) to limit upside and bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 148.37 minor support will bring retest of 144.97 low first. However, sustained break of 150.92 will indicate near term reversal and pave the way back to retest 156.69 high.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up. There is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. 146.96 support was taken out. And GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 135.43 and below. This will now be the preferred case as long as 150.92 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.80; (P) 131.83; (R1) 132.36; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and further fall is in favor with 133.17 minor resistance intact. Corrective rebound from 123.94 might have completed. Break of 130.63 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. Nevertheless, break of 130.64 will turn bias to the upside for 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.02; (P) 190.43; (R1) 191.00; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rally is in progress for 61.8% projection of 178.71 to 188.90 from 185.21 at 191.50. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 195.40. On the downside, below 189.05 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

GBP/JPY’s up trend continued last week and hit as high as 175.52. Initial bias remains on the upside for this week for 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51 next. Strong resistance could be seen from there to bring pull back, at least on first attempt. But break of 172.64 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 167.82 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 M EMA (now at 155.22) holds, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) could still extend higher to 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY dropped sharply to as low as 142.22 last week and broke 143.72 key support decisively. The development argues that whole rebound from 131.51 has completed at 148.87 already, ahead of 149.48 key resistance. Though, as a temporary low was formed just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 142.23, initial bias will be neutral this week for some consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 146.50 resistance to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 142.22 will resume the decline from 148.87 to 61.8% retracement at 138.14 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 122.36 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) doesn’t display a clear impulsive structure. Thus, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 131.51 support will bring 122.26 low back into focus.

GBP/JPY’s rise from 126.54 accelerated to as high as 147.95 last week and took out medium term trend line resistance decisively. As a temporary top was formed after subsequent retreat. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Downside should be contained above 142.47 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 147.95 will target 148.87 structural resistance next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

In the longer term picture, in spite of the current strong rally, there is no confirmation of long term bullish reversal yet. Focus is now on 156.59 key resistance. As long as it holds, another decline through 122.75 could still be seen. But firm break of 156.69 should at least bring further rally to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.21; (P) 132.70; (R1) 132.94; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Break of 131.90 support should indicate completion of whole rebound form 123.94. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. In case of another rise, we’d strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to limit upside. But sustained break of 135.74 will pave the way to 144.95 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY’s up trend continued last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Next target is 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51. Nevertheless, break of 171.26 minor support will delay the bullish case, and turn bias to the downside for deeper retreat.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 155.33 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 M EMA (now at 154.52) holds, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) could still extend higher at a later stage to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.99; (P) 150.34; (R1) 150.71; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral. We maintain that the choppy rise from 144.97 is a corrective move. Hence, strong resistance is expected from 150.92 (50% retracement of 156.59 to 144.97 at 150.78) to limit upside and bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 148.37 minor support will bring retest of 144.97 low first. However, sustained break of 150.92 will indicate near term reversal and pave the way back to retest 156.69 high.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up. There is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. 146.96 support was taken out. And GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 135.43 and below. This will now be the preferred case as long as 150.92 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.80; (P) 147.12; (R1) 147.56; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 148.57 is in progress. Downside of retreat should be contained by 144.84 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 148.57 will target 149.48 resistance first. Decisive break there will target 100% projection of 131.51 to 144.84 from 141.00 at 154.33 next.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline in turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 185.74; (P) 186.68; (R1) 187.39; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 186.14 minor support confirms short term topping at 188.90. Intraday bias is back on the downside for deeper pull back to 55 D EMA (now at 184.89) and possibly below. On the upside, break of 187.60 minor resistance will argue that the pull back has completed, and bring retest of 188.90 instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.65; (P) 163.17; (R1) 163.70; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral for the moment. Consolidation from pattern from 168.67 could extend further. On the upside, above 163.97 will turn bias to the upside, and resume the rebound to 166.31 resistance. Break there will be the first sign of up trend resumption. On the downside, break of 159.42 will extend the correction towards 155.57 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY’s breach of 172.30 resistance last week argues that larger up trend is resuming. Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week. Next target is 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 167.82 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 172.11 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break there will resume whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Next target will be 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. Nevertheless, firm break of 167.82 support will indicate rejection by 172.11 and extend the corrective pattern from there with another falling leg.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 M EMA (now at 154.46) holds, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) could still extend higher at a later stage to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.35; (P) 132.21; (R1) 132.81; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside. Firm break of 131.51 low will resume larger decline from 156.69 for 122.36 next. On the upside, above 133.07 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first. Recovery should be limited below 135.66 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.55; (P) 183.98; (R1) 184.60; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Risk will stays on the downside as long as 186.75 resistance holds. Break of 183.35 will resume the correction from 186.75 short term top to 55 D EMA (now at 181.17) and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.48; (P) 189.36; (R1) 190.49; More…..

GBP/JPY recovered after dipping to 188.22 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the downside, below 188.22 will resume the decline from 191.29 to 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 191.29 at 186.33. Sustained break there will raise the chance of larger reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 183.27. On the upside, though, firm break of 55 4H EMA (now at 189.96) will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 191.29 high.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.21; (P) 132.70; (R1) 132.94; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 131.90 support suggests that corrective rebound from 123.94 has completed. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. On the upside, above 133.17 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But after all, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY’s fall from from 172.30 was contained slightly above 167.95 resistance turned support last week, then it recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further rally is in favor. On the upside, break of 172.30 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51. Nevertheless, firm break of 167.95 should confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back to 165.40 support instead.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is likely ready to resume. Next target is 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. This will now remain the favored case as long as 165.40 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 M EMA (now at 154.40) holds, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) could still extend higher at a later stage to 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY’s late break of 136.55 suggests that decline from 148.87 is resuming. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 131.51 low next. On the upside, break of 138.32 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

In the longer term picture, firstly, GBP/JPY’s is kept well below 55 month EMA, keeping outlook bearish. But we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d expect range trading to continue longer. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. However, break of 122.26 will put 116.83 (2011 low) back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.30; (P) 153.07; (R1) 153.57; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 153.83 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained above 150.58 to bring another rally. Above 153.83 will extend the rise from 144.97 to retest 156.69 high. However, break of 150.58 will suggest that such rebound from 144.97 has completed and bring retest of this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 156.59 are viewed as a corrective pattern. For now, we’d expect at least one more fall for 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 before the consolidation completed. Though, firm break of 156.59 will resume whole up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 159.11 next.