Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.28; (P) 144.92; (R1) 145.32; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as this point. The consolidation pattern from 143.18 should have completed with three waves up to 149.30 already. Deeper fall should be seen to 143.18/76 support zone. Deceive break there will resume larger decline from 156.59. On the upside, above 145.53 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY’s late breach of 158.53 support indicate that fall from 165.99 is resuming. This decline is seen as part of the whole fall from 172.11. Initial bias is now on the downside for retesting 155.33 low next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 163.32 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 153.06) holds, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) could still extend higher at a later stage to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.67; (P) 163.67; (R1) 164.57; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. On the upside, sustained break of 165.99 resume the whole rebound from 155.33 to 169.26 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 162.95 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias to the downside for 158.24 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.52; (P) 139.97; (R1) 140.86; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 141.50 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper retreat could be seen but downside should be contained by 135.74 resistance turned support. On the upside, above 141.50 will resume the rise from 126.54 for 148.87 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 130.42 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.16; (P) 184.55; (R1) 185.74; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside at this point. Fall from 186.75 short term top is in progress for 55 D EMA (now at 180.84). For now, risk will remain on the downside as long as 186.75 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.29; (P) 143.37; (R1) 144.02; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 144.84 temporary top. Further rise is still expected as long as 140.62 support holds. Above 144.84 will extend the rebound from 131.51 to trendline resistance at around 147.35. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside at first attempt. On the downside, firm break of 140.62 will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.23; (P) 128.78; (R1) 129.29; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 128.11 suggests resumption of recent decline. Intraday bias is turned to the downside to extend the fall from 148.84 to 122.36 low. On the upside, break of 130.06 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation again.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.69; (P) 141.03; (R1) 141.32; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with today’s retreat. Another rise is in favor as long as 139.48 support holds. Above 141.34 will target a test on 141.71 high. On the downside, though, break of 139.48 support will be the first sign of short term reversal. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 136.96 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.07; (P) 144.70; (R1) 145.27; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 143.18 is still in progress. Further recovery could be seen. But upside should be limited by 147.04 support turned resistance to bring decline resumption. Break of 143.18 will extend the fall from 159.59 to 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

GBP/JPY edged lower to 146.92 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Another decline is expected with 149.73 resistance intact. Below 146.92 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.29 to 152.82 at 144.45. Such decline is seen as a correction and we’d look for strong support from 144.45 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 149.73 support turned resistance will argue that the pull back is completed and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 152.82 high. However, sustained break of 144.45 will put 139.29 key support in focus.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after corrective pull back from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 139.29 will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

In the longer term picture, current rebound argues that the down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) has already completed at 122.36. Focus is now on 55 month EMA (now at 155.14). Firm break there will suggest that rise form 122.36 is developing into a long term move that target 195.86 again. And, price actions from 116.83 (2011 low) is indeed a sideway pattern that could last more than a decade. However, firm break of 139.29 will suggests that the long term down trend is still in progress and could break 116.83 low ahead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.07; (P) 152.68; (R1) 153.03; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral again with break of 152.38 minor support. Correction from 156.05 could still extend lower. Break of 150.64 will target 149.03 cluster support level. On the upside, break of 153.46 will turn bias back to the upside for 155.13/156.05 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY stayed in sideway trading between 134.40 and 137.83 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first . As long as 137.83 resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Below 134.40 will target 133.03 support first. Break there will resume larger fall from 142.71 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.20) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.59; (P) 154.41; (R1) 154.95; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first and another fall is expected with 155.16 resistance intact. Break of 152.63 will resume the fall from 158.04 to 148.94 support. However, firm break of 155.16 will argue that fall from 158.04 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 158.04/19.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.52; (P) 140.00; (R1) 140.64; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 141.50 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another fall, downside should be contained above 135.74 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 141.50 will resume the rise from 126.54 to for 148.87 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 135.74 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.74; (P) 143.00; (R1) 143.37; More…

A temporary top is formed at 143.25 with today’s retreat. Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral for some consolidations. Downside should be contained above 139.31 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 143.25 will resume the rally from 126.54. Sustained break of trend line resistance (now at 143.52) will pave the way to 148.87 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 126.54 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Further rally could be seen but for now, we’d expect strong resistance from 156.59 to limit upside. On the downside, sustained break of 135.74 resistance turned support will suggest that such rebound has completed. Deeper decline could the be seen to retest 126.54 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 179.09; (P) 180.32; (R1) 181.14; More…

GBP/JPY recovered after falling to 179.45 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further fall remains in favor, and break of 179.45 will target 55 D EMA (now at 176.65). On the upside, above 182.00 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 183.99 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, uptrend from 123.94 (2020 low) is expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 172.11 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.01; (P) 131.21; (R1) 131.48; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound today put focus on 132.40 minor resistance. Break there will resume the rise from 129.27. More importantly, that would suggests completion of the corrective fall from 135.74. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 135.74 resistance. on the downside, break of 129.17 will target 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 135.74 at 128.44.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 187.42; (P) 188.17; (R1) 188.99; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral as consolidation continues. Further rally is expected as long as 186.14 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 188.90, and sustained trading above 188.63 will confirm up trend resumption. Next target is 38.2% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 191.04. However, break of 186.14 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.07; (P) 137.43; (R1) 137.74; More…

GBP/JPY weakened after failing to sustain above 4 hour 55 EMA. But downside is contained above 136.55 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first and more consolidation could be seen. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 146.50 to 136.55 at 140.35 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 136.55 will turn bias to the downside and extend the fall from 148.87 to 131.51 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.99; (P) 153.32; (R1) 153.94; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside as fall from 158.19 would target 148.93 structural support level. On the upside, break of 154.63 minor resistance will revive near term bullishness and turn bias back to the upside for 158.19 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). The stay above 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current rise should now target 61.8% retracement 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93 next. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.93 structural support hold, even in case of deep pull back.