GBP/JPY’s fall reaccelerated to as low as 136.63 last week and initial bias stays on the downside this week. Now that 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14 is firmly taken out, next target will be 131.51 low. On the upside, break of 138.73 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

In the longer term picture, firstly, GBP/JPY’s is kept well below 55 week EMA, keeping outlook bearish. But we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d expect range trading to continue longer. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. However, break of 122.26 will put 116.83 (2011 low) back into focus.

GBP/JPY dropped sharply to as low as 140.92 last week. Strong break of 143.18 support confirmed resumption of whole decline from 156.59. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 139.29/47 key support level. We’ll pay attention to bottoming signal around that level. On the upside, break of 143.48 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 152.88) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.42; (P) 144.72; (R1) 145.05; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as it’s staying in range of 143.72/148.87. For now, further rise remains in favor as long as 143.72 support holds. Decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish in implications and target 156.58 resistance next. However, on the downside, sustained break of 143.72 will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.24; (P) 161.12; (R1) 162.80; More…

GBP/JPY recovered notably after dipping to 159.42 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Sideway consolidation from 168.67 could extend further. Break of 166.31 resistance will be the first sign of up trend resumption. meanwhile, break of 159.42 will bring deeper fall towards 155.57 support next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY surged to as high as 153.84 last week as rebound from 144.97 extended. As a temporary top is likely formed, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, above 153.83 will target 156.69 high. However, break of 150.58 will suggests that such rebound from 144.97 has completed and bring retest of this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 156.59 are viewed as a corrective pattern. For now, we’d expect at least one more fall for 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 before the consolidation completed. Though, firm break of 156.59 will resume whole up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 159.11 next.

In the longer term picture, current development suggests that rise from 122.36 (2016 low) is not completed yet. Such rally could extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 167.78 before completion. This will now be the preferred case as long as 139.29 support holds.

GBP/JPY was bounded in range of 135.38/137.83 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 137.83 will extend the rebound from 133.03. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 142.71 high. On the downside, break of 135.05 will argue that decline from 142.71 is resuming. intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03, and then 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.20) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.43; (P) 138.96; (R1) 139.51; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is back on the upside with break of 139.23 temporary top. Firm break of 139.73 will resume whole rise from 123.94. Next target will be 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. On the downside, through, break of 137.84 support will now indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 139.73.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is currently seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.35; (P) 132.96; (R1) 133.39; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Corrective rebound from 123.94 might not be over. But in case of another rise, we’d strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to limit upside. But sustained break of 135.74 will pave the way to 144.95 resistance next. On the downside, break of 131.90 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 123.94 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.25; (P) 159.24; (R1) 161.22; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Up trend form 123.94 has just resumed. Next target is 61.8% projection of 136.96 to 158.19 from 150.95 at 164.07. On the downside, below 159.25 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) should still be in progress, and notable support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93. Sustained break there will be a long term bullish signal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.94 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.56; (P) 153.08; (R1) 153.54; More…

Break of 153.07 support suggests that rebound from 151.28 has completed at 155.13. Correction from 156.05 is starting another falling leg. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 151.28 support and below. In this case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 136.96 to 156.05 at 148.75 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 155.13 will target a test on 156.05 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY rose to as high as 143.93 last week and break of 142.71 resistance indicates resumption of whole rise from 123.94. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 61.8% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 144.62 first. Break will target 147.95 medium term structural resistance. On the downside, below 142.16 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise of 123.94 is still as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) is still seen as a sideway pattern for now. Sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 143.73) will carry long term bullish implications. But still, firm break of 156.59 resistance is needed to confirm the start of an up trend. Otherwise, overall outlook will be neutral at best first.

GBP/JPY’s rise from 123.94 resumed last week by breaking 135.74 resistance and accelerated to as high as 139.73. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. Firm break there will target 147.95 key resistance. On the downside, break of 135.95 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, we’re still seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. however, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 145.32) will dampen this view and could open up further rise to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.38; (P) 146.75; (R1) 147.45; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 143.18 extended higher and break of 147.04 support turned resistance suggests that fall from 153.84 has completed at 143.18 already. Intraday bias is on the upside for 149.99 resistance first. Break will target 153.84 key near term resistance next. On the downside, break of 145.82 minor support will argue that the rebound is completed and bring retest of 143.18 low.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.50; (P) 139.08; (R1) 139.46; More…

GBP/JPY is losing downside momentum ahead of 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14. But recovery is so far weak. And, with 141.73 resistance intact, further decline is expected. On the downside, sustained break of 138.14 will extend the fall from 148.87 top retest 131.51 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.25; (P) 146.70; (R1) 147.09; More…

GBP/JPY retreated notably after hitting 147.13 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, above 147.13 will extend the rebound from 145.25 to 149.30/99 resistance zone. On the downside, below 145.25 will resume the fall from 149.30 to 143.18/76 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY edged higher to 135.74 last week but failed to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, sustained break of 135.07 will extend the rebound from 126.54 to 61.8% retracement at 140.33 next. However, break of 132.17 support will suggest rejection by 135.07 and turned bias back to the downside for retesting 126.54 low.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will extend 116.83 (2011 low).

In the longer term picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) as a corrective pattern. Hence, strong support could be seen at 122.75 to bring rebound before the pattern completes. However, sustained break will raise the chance of resuming long term down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Next downside target will be 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.36 from 156.59 at 111.16.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.24; (P) 140.53; (R1) 140.85; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Current decline should target 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 131.51 low. On the upside, above 141.64 minor resistance will turn intraday bias again and bring consolidations, before staging another decline

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.88; (P) 135.09; (R1) 138.26; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is neutral for some consolidations. But upside should be limited by 138.04 resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 133.88 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 131.51 low first. Break will pave the way back to 122.36 (2016 low). Nevertheless, touching of 138.04 will confirm short term bottoming and bring lengthier consolidation first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, corrective medium term rise from 122.36 (2016 low) has completed at 156.69 already. That came after failing to break through 55 month EMA. Fall from 156.69 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 195.86 (2015 high). Break of 122.36 will target 116.83 low first (2011 low). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 139.88 support turned resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.66; (P) 136.42; (R1) 137.33; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 137.88 temporary top. Some consolidation could be seen but downside should be contained well above 130.42 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 137.88 will target 61.8% retracement of 148.84 to 126.54 at 140.33. Firm break there will pave the way to 148.87 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 130.42 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.60; (P) 141.90; (R1) 142.29; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first and some more consolidation could be seen. Further rise is expected as long as 140.31 support holds. Firm break of 142.23/71 resistance zone will resume whole rise from 123.94 to 147.95 key resistance next. On the downside, though, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 140.31 will confirm short term topping at 142.34, and rejection by 142.71. Intraday will will be turned back to the downside for 139.96 support next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.