GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.51; (P) 142.20; (R1) 142.90; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. With 143.18 intact, near term outlook stays bearish and deeper decline is in favor. Below 141.40 minor support will turn bias back to the downside first. Break of 139.29 will target 135.58 key support level. At this point, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. Hence, we’ll expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 143.18 will indicate short term reversal and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is extending with another leg. We’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is still expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.90; (P) 143.53; (R1) 144.60; More

GBP/JPY surges to as high as 145.94 today and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rise from 139.29 should target a test on 147.76/148.42 resistance zone. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of medium term rebound from 122.36. On the downside, below 144.22 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Overall, for the moment, GBP/JPY is still bounded in sideway consolidation pattern from 148.42.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is still unfolding. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.48; (P) 145.49; (R1) 147.26; More…

GBP/JPY rebounded strongly after pull back from 148.57 finished at 143.72. More importantly, current development suggests that rebound from 131.51 is still in progress. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 148.75 first. Break will target 149.48 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 143.72 will resume the pull back from 148.57 to 141.00 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline in turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above. However, firm break of 141.00 support will dampen this view and turn focus back to 131.51 low instead.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.46; (P) 151.72; (R1) 151.95; More…

Breach of 152.07 suggests that GBP/JPY’s rebound from 149.40 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 153.39 resistance. Break will resume medium term rally. In any case, further rally will remain in favor as long as 150.36 minor support holds.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up a bit with last week’s sharp decline. But still, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And the corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.45; (P) 146.20; (R1) 146.73; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. As long as 143.72 support holds, further rise is in favor. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 156.58 resistance next. However. sustained break of 143.72 will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first.

In the bigger picture, focus is now staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.61; (P) 139.80; (R1) 140.68; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 148.42 short term top is in progress. Further decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 138.46. As note before, rise from 122.36 is seen as a corrective move. Sustained trading below 138.46 and downside acceleration will indicate that such correction is finished too. And in that case, deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 132.31 and below. On the upside, break of 142.16 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 148.42. Otherwise, near term outlook stays bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 195.86 top (2015 high) should have made a medium term bottom at 122.36 after hitting 100% projection of 195.86 to 154.70 from 163.87 at 122.71. Price actions from there are expected to develop into a medium term corrective pattern. Upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.4 for setting the medium term range.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.28; (P) 139.54; (R1) 140.42; More….

GBP/JPY recovers mildly after hitting 138.65 but stays well below 142.75 resistance. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 135.58 support. As this level is close to 135.39 fibonacci level, we’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring rebound. However, break of 142.75 resistance is needed to indicate completion of fall from 148.09. Otherwise, near term outlook will say mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 135.58/39 will confirm reversal and target a retest on 122.36 low.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.66; (P) 168.23; (R1) 168.82; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 169.07 resistance will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 172.11 high. However, break of 166.08 minor support will turn bias back to the downside to extend the corrective pattern from 172.11 with another fall.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) could still resume through 172.11 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 159.71 support will argue that it’s already in correction to the up trend from 123.94, and deeper decline would be seen back towards 148.93 support.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.55; (P) 160.65; (R1) 162.32; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Current development suggests that fall from 165.99 is a falling leg of the whole decline from 172.11. Deeper decline is expected as long as 164.12 resistance holds. Break of 158.54 will target a retest on 155.33 low. However, break of 164.12 resistance will bring stronger rise back to 165.99 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.79; (P) 163.63; (R1) 164.22; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral and further fall is in favor with 165.26 minor resistance intact. On the downside, below 160.37 support will target 155.57 key support level next. On the upside, above 165.26 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside and bring retest of 168.67 high instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.17; (P) 139.66; (R1) 140.13; More….

GBP/JPY rises to as high as 141.88 so far today. The strong break of 140.08 resistance should affirm our bullish view. That is, consolidation pattern from 148.42 has completed with three waves down to 135.58, after hitting 135.39 fibonacci level. Intraday bias is back on the upside and current rise should extend to 144.77 resistance next. On the downside, break of 139.19 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.04; (P) 148.69; (R1) 149.29; More…

With 149.98 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is expected in GBP/JPY for 146.92 support and below. Fall from 151.92 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 152.82. We’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 139.29 to 152.82 at 144.45 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 149.98 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 151.92/152.82 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after corrective pull back from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 139.29 will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY continued to trade sideway below 183.79 resistance last week a and outlook is unchanged. Further rally will remain mildly in favor as long as 181.00 support holds. Above 183.79 will resume the rise from 178.02 to retest 186.75 high. However, break of 181.00 will turn bias back to the downside for 178.02 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress but started losing upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, though, as long as 176.29 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.26; (P) 155.32; (R1) 156.49; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral as consolidation from 148.93 is still in progress. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 160.64 support turned resistance holds. Break of 148.93 will resume the decline from 169.10 towards 141.19 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 (2020 low) has completed at 169.10. 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 169.10 at 151.84 is already met, and there could be some support from there for rebound. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 169.10 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 151.84 will target 61.8% retracement at 141.19.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.42; (P) 165.32; (R1) 166.25; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral first. Strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 166.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 172.11 high. However, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 148.93 to 172.11 at 163.25 will bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement at 157.78 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) could still resume through 172.11 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 159.71 support will argue that it’s already in correction to the up trend from 123.94, and deeper decline would be seen back towards 148.93 support.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.77; (P) 150.08; (R1) 150.61; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook. Correction from 153.39 is still in progress and could extend lower. But downside should be contained by 148.50 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 151.95 will argue that larger rally is ready to resume, and bring retest of 153.39 high first. However, firm break of 148.50 will bring deeper correction to channel support (now at 143.31).

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

 

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.11; (P) 161.51; (R1) 162.17; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Corrective pattern from 168.67 would extend for a while. On the upside, break of 163.91 will bring stronger rise to 166.31 resistance. On the downside, below 160.07 will turn bias to the downside for 159.42 and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.83; (P) 140.21; (R1) 140.62; More.,.

GBP/JPY is still holding inside range of 139.44/141.18 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 139.44 minor support intact, another rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 141.28 will extend the choppy rise from 133.03 to retest 141.71 high. However, below 139.44 minor support will be the first sign of short term reversal. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 136.96 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.87; (P) 161.77; (R1) 162.33; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Corrective pattern from 168.67 would extend for a while. On the upside, break of 163.91 will bring stronger rise to 166.31 resistance. On the downside, below 160.07 will turn bias to the downside for 159.42 and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.08; (P) 144.40; (R1) 144.62; More

GBP/JPY is staying in range and intraday bias remains with focus on 144.01 support. Break will turn bias to the downside for trend line support (now at 141.87). Further break there will target 135.58/138.65 support zone. However, above 146.77 will turn bias to the upside. Further break of 147.76/148.42 key resistance zone will resume larger rebound from 122.36.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 122.36 is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case the sideway pattern from 148.42 extends, we’d be looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart